An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Climate Variables on National Level Economic Growth

The influence of climate on economic growth is a topic of growing interest. Few studies have investigated the potential role that climate hazards and their cumulative effects have on the growth prospects for a country. Due to the relatively station...

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Main Authors: Brown, Casey, Meeks, Robyn, Ghile, Yonas, Hunu, Kenneth
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
GCM
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100719133806
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3841
id okr-10986-3841
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
ANOMALOUSLY WET CONDITIONS
APPLIED METEOROLOGY
CALCULATION
CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENTS
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CONDITIONS
CLIMATE DATA
CLIMATE EFFECT
CLIMATE EFFECTS
CLIMATE EVENTS
CLIMATE EXTREMES
CLIMATE FACTORS
CLIMATE HAZARDS
CLIMATE IMPACT
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE RISKS
CLIMATE SCIENTISTS
CLIMATE SIGNAL
CLIMATE VARIABILITY
CLIMATE VARIABLE
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATE VARIATION
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC CHANGE
COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
DAILY PRECIPITATION
DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE
DAMAGES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DROUGHT
DROUGHT INDEX
DROUGHT INDICES
DROUGHT SEVERITY
DUST
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DATA
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
ECONOMIC MODELS
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EFFECT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY ECONOMICS
ENERGY SOURCES
ESTIMATES OF PRECIPITATION
EXCESS RAINFALL
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
EXPOSURE TO CLIMATE VARIABILITY
FERTILIZERS
FLOOD
FLOOD EVENTS
FLOOD HAZARD
FLOOD RISK
FLOODING
FLOODS
FOOD SECURITY
FUTURE PRECIPITATION
GCM
GLOBAL CLIMATE
GLOBAL SCALE
GLOBAL TEMPERATURES
GLOBAL WARMING
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPACTS OF DROUGHT
INCOME
INSURANCE
INSURANCE MECHANISMS
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
LOW RAINFALL
METEOROLOGY
MONETARY ECONOMICS
MONSOON
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEGATIVE IMPACTS
PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY MAKERS
PRECIPITATION
PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES
PRECIPITATION PATTERNS
RAINFALL
RAINFALL ANOMALIES
RAINFALL VARIABILITY
RAINFALL VARIATIONS
RAINY SEASON
REGIONAL SCALE PRECIPITATION
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
RISK AVERSION
RISK MANAGEMENT
SINK
SOUTHERN OSCILLATION INDEX
STRATEGY FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TEMPERATURE DATA
TEMPERATURE EFFECT
TEMPERATURE EFFECTS
TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY
TEMPERATURES
TEMPORAL VARIABILITY
TERRESTRIAL SURFACE CLIMATE
TROPICS
VARIABILITY OF RAINFALL
WEATHER
spellingShingle AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
ANOMALOUSLY WET CONDITIONS
APPLIED METEOROLOGY
CALCULATION
CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENTS
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CONDITIONS
CLIMATE DATA
CLIMATE EFFECT
CLIMATE EFFECTS
CLIMATE EVENTS
CLIMATE EXTREMES
CLIMATE FACTORS
CLIMATE HAZARDS
CLIMATE IMPACT
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE RISKS
CLIMATE SCIENTISTS
CLIMATE SIGNAL
CLIMATE VARIABILITY
CLIMATE VARIABLE
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATE VARIATION
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC CHANGE
COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
DAILY PRECIPITATION
DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE
DAMAGES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DROUGHT
DROUGHT INDEX
DROUGHT INDICES
DROUGHT SEVERITY
DUST
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DATA
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
ECONOMIC MODELS
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EFFECT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY ECONOMICS
ENERGY SOURCES
ESTIMATES OF PRECIPITATION
EXCESS RAINFALL
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
EXPOSURE TO CLIMATE VARIABILITY
FERTILIZERS
FLOOD
FLOOD EVENTS
FLOOD HAZARD
FLOOD RISK
FLOODING
FLOODS
FOOD SECURITY
FUTURE PRECIPITATION
GCM
GLOBAL CLIMATE
GLOBAL SCALE
GLOBAL TEMPERATURES
GLOBAL WARMING
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPACTS OF DROUGHT
INCOME
INSURANCE
INSURANCE MECHANISMS
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
LOW RAINFALL
METEOROLOGY
MONETARY ECONOMICS
MONSOON
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEGATIVE IMPACTS
PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY MAKERS
PRECIPITATION
PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES
PRECIPITATION PATTERNS
RAINFALL
RAINFALL ANOMALIES
RAINFALL VARIABILITY
RAINFALL VARIATIONS
RAINY SEASON
REGIONAL SCALE PRECIPITATION
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
RISK AVERSION
RISK MANAGEMENT
SINK
SOUTHERN OSCILLATION INDEX
STRATEGY FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TEMPERATURE DATA
TEMPERATURE EFFECT
TEMPERATURE EFFECTS
TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY
TEMPERATURES
TEMPORAL VARIABILITY
TERRESTRIAL SURFACE CLIMATE
TROPICS
VARIABILITY OF RAINFALL
WEATHER
Brown, Casey
Meeks, Robyn
Ghile, Yonas
Hunu, Kenneth
An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Climate Variables on National Level Economic Growth
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5357
description The influence of climate on economic growth is a topic of growing interest. Few studies have investigated the potential role that climate hazards and their cumulative effects have on the growth prospects for a country. Due to the relatively stationary spatial patterns of global climate, some regions and countries are more prone to climate hazards and climate variability than others. This study uses a precipitation index that preserves the spatial and temporal variability of precipitation and differentiates between precipitation maximums (such as floods) and minimums (such as droughts). The authors develop a year and country fixed effects regression model to test the influence of climate variables on measures of economic growth and activity. The results indicate that precipitation extremes (floods and droughts) are the dominant climate influence on economic growth and that the effects are significant and negative. The drought index is associated with a highly significant negative influence on growth of growth domestic product, while the flood index is associated with a negative influence on growth of gross domestic product and lagged effects on growth. Temperature has little significant effect. These results have important implications for economic projections of climate change impacts. In addition, adaptation strategies should give new consideration to the importance of water resources given the identification of precipitation extremes as the key climate influence on historical growth of gross domestic product.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Brown, Casey
Meeks, Robyn
Ghile, Yonas
Hunu, Kenneth
author_facet Brown, Casey
Meeks, Robyn
Ghile, Yonas
Hunu, Kenneth
author_sort Brown, Casey
title An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Climate Variables on National Level Economic Growth
title_short An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Climate Variables on National Level Economic Growth
title_full An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Climate Variables on National Level Economic Growth
title_fullStr An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Climate Variables on National Level Economic Growth
title_full_unstemmed An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Climate Variables on National Level Economic Growth
title_sort empirical analysis of the effects of climate variables on national level economic growth
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100719133806
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3841
_version_ 1764388617022603264
spelling okr-10986-38412021-04-23T14:02:13Z An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Climate Variables on National Level Economic Growth Brown, Casey Meeks, Robyn Ghile, Yonas Hunu, Kenneth AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ANOMALOUSLY WET CONDITIONS APPLIED METEOROLOGY CALCULATION CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENTS CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EFFECT CLIMATE EFFECTS CLIMATE EVENTS CLIMATE EXTREMES CLIMATE FACTORS CLIMATE HAZARDS CLIMATE IMPACT CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE RISKS CLIMATE SCIENTISTS CLIMATE SIGNAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLE CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE VARIATION CLIMATES CLIMATIC CHANGE COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE DAILY PRECIPITATION DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DROUGHT DROUGHT INDEX DROUGHT INDICES DROUGHT SEVERITY DUST ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DATA ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACTS ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMIC INDICATORS ECONOMIC MODELS ECONOMIC SYSTEMS ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY ELECTRICITY ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY SOURCES ESTIMATES OF PRECIPITATION EXCESS RAINFALL EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXPOSURE TO CLIMATE VARIABILITY FERTILIZERS FLOOD FLOOD EVENTS FLOOD HAZARD FLOOD RISK FLOODING FLOODS FOOD SECURITY FUTURE PRECIPITATION GCM GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL SCALE GLOBAL TEMPERATURES GLOBAL WARMING IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS OF DROUGHT INCOME INSURANCE INSURANCE MECHANISMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE LOW RAINFALL METEOROLOGY MONETARY ECONOMICS MONSOON NEGATIVE IMPACT NEGATIVE IMPACTS PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX POLICY IMPLICATIONS POLICY MAKERS PRECIPITATION PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES PRECIPITATION PATTERNS RAINFALL RAINFALL ANOMALIES RAINFALL VARIABILITY RAINFALL VARIATIONS RAINY SEASON REGIONAL SCALE PRECIPITATION RESOURCE ECONOMICS RISK AVERSION RISK MANAGEMENT SINK SOUTHERN OSCILLATION INDEX STRATEGY FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA TEMPERATURE EFFECT TEMPERATURE EFFECTS TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY TEMPERATURES TEMPORAL VARIABILITY TERRESTRIAL SURFACE CLIMATE TROPICS VARIABILITY OF RAINFALL WEATHER The influence of climate on economic growth is a topic of growing interest. Few studies have investigated the potential role that climate hazards and their cumulative effects have on the growth prospects for a country. Due to the relatively stationary spatial patterns of global climate, some regions and countries are more prone to climate hazards and climate variability than others. This study uses a precipitation index that preserves the spatial and temporal variability of precipitation and differentiates between precipitation maximums (such as floods) and minimums (such as droughts). The authors develop a year and country fixed effects regression model to test the influence of climate variables on measures of economic growth and activity. The results indicate that precipitation extremes (floods and droughts) are the dominant climate influence on economic growth and that the effects are significant and negative. The drought index is associated with a highly significant negative influence on growth of growth domestic product, while the flood index is associated with a negative influence on growth of gross domestic product and lagged effects on growth. Temperature has little significant effect. These results have important implications for economic projections of climate change impacts. In addition, adaptation strategies should give new consideration to the importance of water resources given the identification of precipitation extremes as the key climate influence on historical growth of gross domestic product. 2012-03-19T18:40:46Z 2012-03-19T18:40:46Z 2010-07-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100719133806 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3841 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5357 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region