The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States

This paper assesses the impact of water supply variability on treaty cooperation between international bilateral river basin riparian states. Climate change is anticipated to change the variability of water supply, as well as its expected magnitude...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dinar, Ariel, Blankespoor, Brian, Dinar, Shlomi, Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100622080636
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3828
id okr-10986-3828
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-38282021-04-23T14:02:13Z The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States Dinar, Ariel Blankespoor, Brian Dinar, Shlomi Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION AGREEMENTS ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ANNUAL RUNOFF ARID AREAS AVAILABLE WATER BASIN AREA BASIN LEVEL CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE STUDIES CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATES CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC PHENOMENA COAST CONSTRUCTION DRIER REGIONS DROUGHT ENVIRONMENTAL LAW ENVIRONMENTS EXTERNALITIES FLOOD CONTROL FLOW REGIMES FOREST FOREST COVER GROUNDWATER HYDROLOGIC CYCLE HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE HYDROLOGICAL MODEL INTERNATIONAL RIVER BASINS INTERNATIONAL WATERS LAND COVER LAND USE MEAN ANNUAL RUNOFF MUNICIPAL WATER NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL RESOURCES POLLUTION PROPERTY RIGHTS QUALITY OF WATER RAINFALL RESOURCE ALLOCATION RIPARIAN COUNTRIES RIPARIAN STATES RIVER RIVER BASIN RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT RIVER BASINS RIVER FLOW RIVER SYSTEM RIVERS SCARCE WATER SCARCE WATER RESOURCES SEA SNOW SOIL SOIL MOISTURE SOILS SURFACE WATER SURFACE WATER BODIES TREATIES VEGETATION WATER ALLOCATION WATER AVAILABILITY WATER FLOWS WATER LAW WATER MANAGEMENT WATER PROVIDERS WATER QUANTITY WATER REGULATION WATER RESOURCE WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES WATER SCARCITY WATER SECTOR WATER SHARING WATER SUPPLIES WATER SUPPLY WATER SYSTEMS This paper assesses the impact of water supply variability on treaty cooperation between international bilateral river basin riparian states. Climate change is anticipated to change the variability of water supply, as well as its expected magnitude. Previous studies have focused mainly on water scarcity, measured in terms of mean precipitation or per capita water availability in the country, as a trigger for conflict or cooperation. The water variability measure used here captures both annual runoff variability and precipitation variability over periods of 30 and 100 years. The analysis used economic and international relations data to identify incentives for international cooperation in addressing water supply variability. The authors find that small-to-moderate increases in variability create an impetus for cooperation, although large increases in variability would reduce incentives for treaty cooperation. Stronger diplomatic and trade relations support cooperation, while uneven economic power inhibits cooperation. Various measures of democracy/governance suggest different impacts on cooperation across the basin riparians. The findings have policy implications in the context of preparedness for impacts of climate change on the water sector. 2012-03-19T18:40:32Z 2012-03-19T18:40:32Z 2010-05-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100622080636 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3828 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5307 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGRICULTURE
ALLOCATION AGREEMENTS
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
ANNUAL RUNOFF
ARID AREAS
AVAILABLE WATER
BASIN AREA
BASIN LEVEL
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE STUDIES
CLIMATE VARIABILITY
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC CONDITIONS
CLIMATIC PHENOMENA
COAST
CONSTRUCTION
DRIER REGIONS
DROUGHT
ENVIRONMENTAL LAW
ENVIRONMENTS
EXTERNALITIES
FLOOD CONTROL
FLOW REGIMES
FOREST
FOREST COVER
GROUNDWATER
HYDROLOGIC CYCLE
HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE
HYDROLOGICAL MODEL
INTERNATIONAL RIVER BASINS
INTERNATIONAL WATERS
LAND COVER
LAND USE
MEAN ANNUAL RUNOFF
MUNICIPAL WATER
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL RESOURCES
POLLUTION
PROPERTY RIGHTS
QUALITY OF WATER
RAINFALL
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
RIPARIAN COUNTRIES
RIPARIAN STATES
RIVER
RIVER BASIN
RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT
RIVER BASINS
RIVER FLOW
RIVER SYSTEM
RIVERS
SCARCE WATER
SCARCE WATER RESOURCES
SEA
SNOW
SOIL
SOIL MOISTURE
SOILS
SURFACE WATER
SURFACE WATER BODIES
TREATIES
VEGETATION
WATER ALLOCATION
WATER AVAILABILITY
WATER FLOWS
WATER LAW
WATER MANAGEMENT
WATER PROVIDERS
WATER QUANTITY
WATER REGULATION
WATER RESOURCE
WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
WATER RESOURCES
WATER SCARCITY
WATER SECTOR
WATER SHARING
WATER SUPPLIES
WATER SUPPLY
WATER SYSTEMS
spellingShingle AGRICULTURE
ALLOCATION AGREEMENTS
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
ANNUAL RUNOFF
ARID AREAS
AVAILABLE WATER
BASIN AREA
BASIN LEVEL
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE STUDIES
CLIMATE VARIABILITY
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC CONDITIONS
CLIMATIC PHENOMENA
COAST
CONSTRUCTION
DRIER REGIONS
DROUGHT
ENVIRONMENTAL LAW
ENVIRONMENTS
EXTERNALITIES
FLOOD CONTROL
FLOW REGIMES
FOREST
FOREST COVER
GROUNDWATER
HYDROLOGIC CYCLE
HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE
HYDROLOGICAL MODEL
INTERNATIONAL RIVER BASINS
INTERNATIONAL WATERS
LAND COVER
LAND USE
MEAN ANNUAL RUNOFF
MUNICIPAL WATER
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL RESOURCES
POLLUTION
PROPERTY RIGHTS
QUALITY OF WATER
RAINFALL
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
RIPARIAN COUNTRIES
RIPARIAN STATES
RIVER
RIVER BASIN
RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT
RIVER BASINS
RIVER FLOW
RIVER SYSTEM
RIVERS
SCARCE WATER
SCARCE WATER RESOURCES
SEA
SNOW
SOIL
SOIL MOISTURE
SOILS
SURFACE WATER
SURFACE WATER BODIES
TREATIES
VEGETATION
WATER ALLOCATION
WATER AVAILABILITY
WATER FLOWS
WATER LAW
WATER MANAGEMENT
WATER PROVIDERS
WATER QUANTITY
WATER REGULATION
WATER RESOURCE
WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
WATER RESOURCES
WATER SCARCITY
WATER SECTOR
WATER SHARING
WATER SUPPLIES
WATER SUPPLY
WATER SYSTEMS
Dinar, Ariel
Blankespoor, Brian
Dinar, Shlomi
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5307
description This paper assesses the impact of water supply variability on treaty cooperation between international bilateral river basin riparian states. Climate change is anticipated to change the variability of water supply, as well as its expected magnitude. Previous studies have focused mainly on water scarcity, measured in terms of mean precipitation or per capita water availability in the country, as a trigger for conflict or cooperation. The water variability measure used here captures both annual runoff variability and precipitation variability over periods of 30 and 100 years. The analysis used economic and international relations data to identify incentives for international cooperation in addressing water supply variability. The authors find that small-to-moderate increases in variability create an impetus for cooperation, although large increases in variability would reduce incentives for treaty cooperation. Stronger diplomatic and trade relations support cooperation, while uneven economic power inhibits cooperation. Various measures of democracy/governance suggest different impacts on cooperation across the basin riparians. The findings have policy implications in the context of preparedness for impacts of climate change on the water sector.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Dinar, Ariel
Blankespoor, Brian
Dinar, Shlomi
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
author_facet Dinar, Ariel
Blankespoor, Brian
Dinar, Shlomi
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
author_sort Dinar, Ariel
title The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States
title_short The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States
title_full The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States
title_fullStr The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Water Supply Variability on Treaty Cooperation between International Bilateral River Basin Riparian States
title_sort impact of water supply variability on treaty cooperation between international bilateral river basin riparian states
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100622080636
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3828
_version_ 1764388552395718656