Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia

Somalia, one of the poorest countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, still faces many challenges as it remains fragile. Terrorist groups and their attacks are threatening the government and limiting its capacity to implement effective development policies....

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo, Pape, Utz Johann
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099415109082281442/IDU03861d1b0002f304b090b8c80ea73003b5ba6
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37986
id okr-10986-37986
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-379862022-09-13T05:10:37Z Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo Pape, Utz Johann SOMALI HIGH FREQUENCY SURVEY (SHFS) VIOLENCE MICRO DATA NATIONAL SECURITY POVERTY CONFLICT VULNERABILITY ECONOMIC IMPACT OF TERRORISM DECLINING FOOD CONSUMPTION POLICE COMPETENCE Somalia, one of the poorest countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, still faces many challenges as it remains fragile. Terrorist groups and their attacks are threatening the government and limiting its capacity to implement effective development policies. Using difference-in-difference and instrumental variables approaches with micro-data from two waves of the Somali High Frequency Survey, this paper estimates the immediate (within a week) impact of terrorist attacks on households. The consumption of households exposed to terrorist incidents decreases by 33 percent, mainly on food items. As a result, poverty and the depth of poverty among the poor increases. The decline in consumption seems to be explained by a smaller share of household members working and earning income after an attack. In addition, the effect on consumption is restricted to a 4-kilometer radius from incidents and has a heterogeneous impact, not affecting households in the top 20 percent of the consumption distribution. The paper also finds a deterioration in people’s perception of police competence. Achieving peace is a fundamental first step to increase welfare conditions that will also bring other wider long-term benefits in Somalia. 2022-09-12T12:17:14Z 2022-09-12T12:17:14Z 2022-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099415109082281442/IDU03861d1b0002f304b090b8c80ea73003b5ba6 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37986 English en Policy Research Working Papers;10169 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Somalia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
English
topic SOMALI HIGH FREQUENCY SURVEY (SHFS)
VIOLENCE MICRO DATA
NATIONAL SECURITY
POVERTY
CONFLICT
VULNERABILITY
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF TERRORISM
DECLINING FOOD CONSUMPTION
POLICE COMPETENCE
spellingShingle SOMALI HIGH FREQUENCY SURVEY (SHFS)
VIOLENCE MICRO DATA
NATIONAL SECURITY
POVERTY
CONFLICT
VULNERABILITY
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF TERRORISM
DECLINING FOOD CONSUMPTION
POLICE COMPETENCE
Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo
Pape, Utz Johann
Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia
geographic_facet Somalia
relation Policy Research Working Papers;10169
description Somalia, one of the poorest countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, still faces many challenges as it remains fragile. Terrorist groups and their attacks are threatening the government and limiting its capacity to implement effective development policies. Using difference-in-difference and instrumental variables approaches with micro-data from two waves of the Somali High Frequency Survey, this paper estimates the immediate (within a week) impact of terrorist attacks on households. The consumption of households exposed to terrorist incidents decreases by 33 percent, mainly on food items. As a result, poverty and the depth of poverty among the poor increases. The decline in consumption seems to be explained by a smaller share of household members working and earning income after an attack. In addition, the effect on consumption is restricted to a 4-kilometer radius from incidents and has a heterogeneous impact, not affecting households in the top 20 percent of the consumption distribution. The paper also finds a deterioration in people’s perception of police competence. Achieving peace is a fundamental first step to increase welfare conditions that will also bring other wider long-term benefits in Somalia.
format Working Paper
author Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo
Pape, Utz Johann
author_facet Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo
Pape, Utz Johann
author_sort Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo
title Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia
title_short Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia
title_full Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia
title_fullStr Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia
title_full_unstemmed Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia
title_sort poverty and violence : the immediate impact of terrorist attacks against civilians in somalia
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099415109082281442/IDU03861d1b0002f304b090b8c80ea73003b5ba6
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37986
_version_ 1764488259958734848