Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia
Somalia, one of the poorest countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, still faces many challenges as it remains fragile. Terrorist groups and their attacks are threatening the government and limiting its capacity to implement effective development policies....
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okr-10986-379862022-09-13T05:10:37Z Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo Pape, Utz Johann SOMALI HIGH FREQUENCY SURVEY (SHFS) VIOLENCE MICRO DATA NATIONAL SECURITY POVERTY CONFLICT VULNERABILITY ECONOMIC IMPACT OF TERRORISM DECLINING FOOD CONSUMPTION POLICE COMPETENCE Somalia, one of the poorest countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, still faces many challenges as it remains fragile. Terrorist groups and their attacks are threatening the government and limiting its capacity to implement effective development policies. Using difference-in-difference and instrumental variables approaches with micro-data from two waves of the Somali High Frequency Survey, this paper estimates the immediate (within a week) impact of terrorist attacks on households. The consumption of households exposed to terrorist incidents decreases by 33 percent, mainly on food items. As a result, poverty and the depth of poverty among the poor increases. The decline in consumption seems to be explained by a smaller share of household members working and earning income after an attack. In addition, the effect on consumption is restricted to a 4-kilometer radius from incidents and has a heterogeneous impact, not affecting households in the top 20 percent of the consumption distribution. The paper also finds a deterioration in people’s perception of police competence. Achieving peace is a fundamental first step to increase welfare conditions that will also bring other wider long-term benefits in Somalia. 2022-09-12T12:17:14Z 2022-09-12T12:17:14Z 2022-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099415109082281442/IDU03861d1b0002f304b090b8c80ea73003b5ba6 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37986 English en Policy Research Working Papers;10169 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Somalia |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
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World Bank |
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English English |
topic |
SOMALI HIGH FREQUENCY SURVEY (SHFS) VIOLENCE MICRO DATA NATIONAL SECURITY POVERTY CONFLICT VULNERABILITY ECONOMIC IMPACT OF TERRORISM DECLINING FOOD CONSUMPTION POLICE COMPETENCE |
spellingShingle |
SOMALI HIGH FREQUENCY SURVEY (SHFS) VIOLENCE MICRO DATA NATIONAL SECURITY POVERTY CONFLICT VULNERABILITY ECONOMIC IMPACT OF TERRORISM DECLINING FOOD CONSUMPTION POLICE COMPETENCE Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo Pape, Utz Johann Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia |
geographic_facet |
Somalia |
relation |
Policy Research Working Papers;10169 |
description |
Somalia, one of the poorest countries
in Sub-Saharan Africa, still faces many challenges as it
remains fragile. Terrorist groups and their attacks are
threatening the government and limiting its capacity to
implement effective development policies. Using
difference-in-difference and instrumental variables
approaches with micro-data from two waves of the Somali High
Frequency Survey, this paper estimates the immediate (within
a week) impact of terrorist attacks on households. The
consumption of households exposed to terrorist incidents
decreases by 33 percent, mainly on food items. As a result,
poverty and the depth of poverty among the poor increases.
The decline in consumption seems to be explained by a
smaller share of household members working and earning
income after an attack. In addition, the effect on
consumption is restricted to a 4-kilometer radius from
incidents and has a heterogeneous impact, not affecting
households in the top 20 percent of the consumption
distribution. The paper also finds a deterioration in
people’s perception of police competence. Achieving peace is
a fundamental first step to increase welfare conditions that
will also bring other wider long-term benefits in Somalia. |
format |
Working Paper |
author |
Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo Pape, Utz Johann |
author_facet |
Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo Pape, Utz Johann |
author_sort |
Nunez-Chaim, Gonzalo |
title |
Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia |
title_short |
Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia |
title_full |
Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia |
title_fullStr |
Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Poverty and Violence : The Immediate Impact of Terrorist Attacks against Civilians in Somalia |
title_sort |
poverty and violence : the immediate impact of terrorist attacks against civilians in somalia |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099415109082281442/IDU03861d1b0002f304b090b8c80ea73003b5ba6 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37986 |
_version_ |
1764488259958734848 |