The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy : Evidence from a Narrative Approach

This paper analyzes the macroeconomic effects of macroprudential policy—in the form of legal reserve requirements—in three Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay). To correctly identify innovations in changes in legal reserve requ...

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Main Authors: Rojas, Diego, Vegh, Carlos, Vuletin, Guillermo
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099542508242283333/IDU04a228ead0c60204e6b0b1e002a61b8860edb
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37923
id okr-10986-37923
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-379232022-08-26T05:10:37Z The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy : Evidence from a Narrative Approach Rojas, Diego Vegh, Carlos Vuletin, Guillermo MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY RESERVE REQUIREMENTS MONETARY POLICY NARRATIVE APPROACH IDENTIFICATION BUSINESS CYCLE ENDOGENEITY MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS STABILITY SYSTEMIC RISK This paper analyzes the macroeconomic effects of macroprudential policy—in the form of legal reserve requirements—in three Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay). To correctly identify innovations in changes in legal reserve requirements, a narrative approach—based on contemporaneous reports from the IMF and central banks in the spirit of Romer and Romer (2010)—is developed in which each change is classified into endogenous or exogenous to the business cycle. This distinction is critical in understanding the macroeconomic effects of reserve requirements. In particular, while output falls in response to exogenous increases in legal reserve requirements, it is not affected when using all changes and relying on traditional time-identifying strategies. This bias reflects the practical relevance of the misidentification of endogenous countercyclical changes in reserve requirements. The empirical frontier is also pushed along two important dimensions. First, in measuring legal reserve requirements, both the different types of legal reserve requirements in terms of maturity and currency of denomination as well as the structure of deposits are taken in account. Second, since in practice reserve requirement policy is tightly linked to monetary policy, the study jointly analyze the macroeconomic effects of changes in central bank interest rates. To properly identify exogenous central bank interest rate shocks, the Romer and Romer (2004) strategy is used. 2022-08-25T16:49:17Z 2022-08-25T16:49:17Z 2022-08 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099542508242283333/IDU04a228ead0c60204e6b0b1e002a61b8860edb http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37923 English en Policy Research Working Papers;10145 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Argentina Brazil Uruguay
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
English
topic MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
MONETARY POLICY
NARRATIVE APPROACH
IDENTIFICATION
BUSINESS CYCLE
ENDOGENEITY
MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS
STABILITY
SYSTEMIC RISK
spellingShingle MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
MONETARY POLICY
NARRATIVE APPROACH
IDENTIFICATION
BUSINESS CYCLE
ENDOGENEITY
MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS
STABILITY
SYSTEMIC RISK
Rojas, Diego
Vegh, Carlos
Vuletin, Guillermo
The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy : Evidence from a Narrative Approach
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Argentina
Brazil
Uruguay
relation Policy Research Working Papers;10145
description This paper analyzes the macroeconomic effects of macroprudential policy—in the form of legal reserve requirements—in three Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay). To correctly identify innovations in changes in legal reserve requirements, a narrative approach—based on contemporaneous reports from the IMF and central banks in the spirit of Romer and Romer (2010)—is developed in which each change is classified into endogenous or exogenous to the business cycle. This distinction is critical in understanding the macroeconomic effects of reserve requirements. In particular, while output falls in response to exogenous increases in legal reserve requirements, it is not affected when using all changes and relying on traditional time-identifying strategies. This bias reflects the practical relevance of the misidentification of endogenous countercyclical changes in reserve requirements. The empirical frontier is also pushed along two important dimensions. First, in measuring legal reserve requirements, both the different types of legal reserve requirements in terms of maturity and currency of denomination as well as the structure of deposits are taken in account. Second, since in practice reserve requirement policy is tightly linked to monetary policy, the study jointly analyze the macroeconomic effects of changes in central bank interest rates. To properly identify exogenous central bank interest rate shocks, the Romer and Romer (2004) strategy is used.
format Working Paper
author Rojas, Diego
Vegh, Carlos
Vuletin, Guillermo
author_facet Rojas, Diego
Vegh, Carlos
Vuletin, Guillermo
author_sort Rojas, Diego
title The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy : Evidence from a Narrative Approach
title_short The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy : Evidence from a Narrative Approach
title_full The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy : Evidence from a Narrative Approach
title_fullStr The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy : Evidence from a Narrative Approach
title_full_unstemmed The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy : Evidence from a Narrative Approach
title_sort macroeconomic effects of macroprudential policy : evidence from a narrative approach
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099542508242283333/IDU04a228ead0c60204e6b0b1e002a61b8860edb
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37923
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