Labor Market Transitions in Egypt Post-Arab Spring
This paper examines the Arab Republic of Egypt’s labor market transition dynamics post–Arab Spring based on the two most recent rounds of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey conducted in 2012 and 2018. In addition to providing disaggregated-level a...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2022
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099927007212248886/IDU08d9f53e404fb204f070ad7d0c6836da56458 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37755 |
| Summary: | This paper examines the Arab Republic
of Egypt’s labor market transition dynamics post–Arab Spring
based on the two most recent rounds of the Egypt Labor
Market Panel Survey conducted in 2012 and 2018. In addition
to providing disaggregated-level analysis by examining labor
market transitions by gender, education, and age groups, the
paper provides a cross-country, cross-regional perspective
by comparing Egypt’s labor market transitions with Mexico’s,
relying on data from the Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y
Empleo. To match the span of Mexico’s transitions (which are
measured over a one-year period) and Egypt’s (which are
measured over six years), the analysis uses Monte Carlo
simulations of repeated discrete-time Markov chains. Based
on these results, the Egyptian labor market appears to be
highly rigid compared to the Mexican labor market, which
instead shows a large degree of dynamism regardless of
individual initial labor market states at baseline.
Auxiliary regression analyses focusing on transitions to and
from the dominant absorbing labor market states in Egypt
—public sector employment for both genders, nonparticipation
for women, and the informal sector for men—show that having
a post-secondary education is associated with a lower
probability of remaining out of the labor force for women
who were already out of the labor force at baseline, while
being married at baseline is found to be a significant
predictor for women to stay out of the labor force if they
were already so. Among men, the better educated are found to
be more likely to secure formal employment, be it in the
public or private sector, and are more likely to keep their
public formal jobs once they secure them. |
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