Can Disaggregated Indicators Identify Governance Reform Priorities?

Many highly-disaggregated cross-country indicators of institutional quality and the business environment have been developed in recent years. The promise of these indicators is that they can be used to identify specific reform priorities that polic...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kraay, Aart, Tawara, Norikazu
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
GDP
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100331142656
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3746
id okr-10986-3746
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCESS TO INFORMATION
ACCOUNTABILITY
ADDITIONAL REGRESSORS
ADMINISTRATIVE REGULATIONS
AGGREGATE INDICATOR
AGGREGATE INDICATORS
ALGORITHMS
ANTICORRUPTION
BENCHMARK
BRIBERY
BUREAUCRACY
BUSINESS CLIMATE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAUSAL EFFECT
CAUSATION
CITIZEN
CITIZEN PARTICIPATION
CITIZENS
CIVIL SOCIETY
COMMERCIAL RISK RATING AGENCIES
COMPETITIVENESS
CORRELATIONS
CORRUPT OFFICIALS
CORRUPTION
CORRUPTION TRENDS
CORRUPTION VARIABLES
COUNTRY COVERAGE
DEGREES OF FREEDOM
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPENDENT VARIABLES
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMICS
ECONOMISTS
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
ENVIRONMENTAL
ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS
ENVIRONMENTS
ERROR TERM
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
FINANCIAL HONESTY
FINITE SAMPLES
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FORMAL ANALYSIS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOOD GOVERNANCE
GOVERNANCE CHALLENGES
GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
GOVERNANCE INSTITUTIONS
GOVERNANCE OUTCOMES
GOVERNANCE REFORM
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSION
GROWTH THEORIES
IMPORT BARRIERS
IMPROVING GOVERNANCE
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INDIVIDUAL VARIABLES
INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATION
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
JUDICIAL DECISIONS
LARGE NUMBER
LEADING INDICATORS
LINEAR REGRESSION
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MACROECONOMICS
MATRIX
MEASUREMENT ERROR
MEASURING CORRUPTION
MODEL SPECIFICATION
MONOPOLY
NORMAL DENSITY
0 HYPOTHESIS
NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS
NUMBER OF REGRESSORS
NUMBER OF VARIABLES
PANEL DATA
PARSIMONIOUS MODELS
POLITICAL FINANCING
POLITICAL SYSTEM
POSITIVE CORRELATION
PRICE CONTROLS
PROBABILITIES
PROBABILITY
PUBLIC CONTRACTS
PUBLIC FUNDS
PUBLIC INFORMATION
PUBLIC OFFICIALS
PUBLIC UTILITIES
RANDOM VARIABLE
REGULATORY OUTCOMES
REGULATORY POLICY
REGULATORY QUALITY
REVERSE CAUSATION
RULE OF LAW
SAMPLE SIZE
SET OF VARIABLES
SLOPE COEFFICIENT
SLOPE COEFFICIENTS
SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE
SUBJECTIVE ASSESSMENTS
TAX COLLECTION
TAX SYSTEM
TRADE POLICY
TRANSPARENCY
UNIT INCREASE
WORLDWIDE GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
spellingShingle ACCESS TO INFORMATION
ACCOUNTABILITY
ADDITIONAL REGRESSORS
ADMINISTRATIVE REGULATIONS
AGGREGATE INDICATOR
AGGREGATE INDICATORS
ALGORITHMS
ANTICORRUPTION
BENCHMARK
BRIBERY
BUREAUCRACY
BUSINESS CLIMATE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAUSAL EFFECT
CAUSATION
CITIZEN
CITIZEN PARTICIPATION
CITIZENS
CIVIL SOCIETY
COMMERCIAL RISK RATING AGENCIES
COMPETITIVENESS
CORRELATIONS
CORRUPT OFFICIALS
CORRUPTION
CORRUPTION TRENDS
CORRUPTION VARIABLES
COUNTRY COVERAGE
DEGREES OF FREEDOM
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPENDENT VARIABLES
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMICS
ECONOMISTS
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
ENVIRONMENTAL
ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS
ENVIRONMENTS
ERROR TERM
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
FINANCIAL HONESTY
FINITE SAMPLES
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FORMAL ANALYSIS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOOD GOVERNANCE
GOVERNANCE CHALLENGES
GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
GOVERNANCE INSTITUTIONS
GOVERNANCE OUTCOMES
GOVERNANCE REFORM
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSION
GROWTH THEORIES
IMPORT BARRIERS
IMPROVING GOVERNANCE
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INDIVIDUAL VARIABLES
INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATION
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
JUDICIAL DECISIONS
LARGE NUMBER
LEADING INDICATORS
LINEAR REGRESSION
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MACROECONOMICS
MATRIX
MEASUREMENT ERROR
MEASURING CORRUPTION
MODEL SPECIFICATION
MONOPOLY
NORMAL DENSITY
0 HYPOTHESIS
NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS
NUMBER OF REGRESSORS
NUMBER OF VARIABLES
PANEL DATA
PARSIMONIOUS MODELS
POLITICAL FINANCING
POLITICAL SYSTEM
POSITIVE CORRELATION
PRICE CONTROLS
PROBABILITIES
PROBABILITY
PUBLIC CONTRACTS
PUBLIC FUNDS
PUBLIC INFORMATION
PUBLIC OFFICIALS
PUBLIC UTILITIES
RANDOM VARIABLE
REGULATORY OUTCOMES
REGULATORY POLICY
REGULATORY QUALITY
REVERSE CAUSATION
RULE OF LAW
SAMPLE SIZE
SET OF VARIABLES
SLOPE COEFFICIENT
SLOPE COEFFICIENTS
SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE
SUBJECTIVE ASSESSMENTS
TAX COLLECTION
TAX SYSTEM
TRADE POLICY
TRANSPARENCY
UNIT INCREASE
WORLDWIDE GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
Kraay, Aart
Tawara, Norikazu
Can Disaggregated Indicators Identify Governance Reform Priorities?
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5254
description Many highly-disaggregated cross-country indicators of institutional quality and the business environment have been developed in recent years. The promise of these indicators is that they can be used to identify specific reform priorities that policymakers and aid donors can target in their efforts to improve institutional and regulatory quality outcomes. Doing so however requires evidence on the partial effects of these many very detailed variables on outcomes of interest, for example, investor perceptions of corruption or the quality of the regulatory environment. In this paper we use Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to systematically document the partial correlations between disaggregated indicators and several closely-related outcome variables of interest using two leading datasets: the Global Integrity Index and the Doing Business indicators. We find major instability across outcomes and across levels of disaggregation in the set of indicators identified by BMA as important determinants of outcomes. Disaggregated indicators that are important determinants of one outcome are on average not important determinants of other very similar outcomes. And for a given outcome variable, indicators that are important at one level of disaggregation are on average not important at other levels of disaggregation. These findings illustrate the difficulties in using highly-disaggregated indicators to identify reform priorities.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Kraay, Aart
Tawara, Norikazu
author_facet Kraay, Aart
Tawara, Norikazu
author_sort Kraay, Aart
title Can Disaggregated Indicators Identify Governance Reform Priorities?
title_short Can Disaggregated Indicators Identify Governance Reform Priorities?
title_full Can Disaggregated Indicators Identify Governance Reform Priorities?
title_fullStr Can Disaggregated Indicators Identify Governance Reform Priorities?
title_full_unstemmed Can Disaggregated Indicators Identify Governance Reform Priorities?
title_sort can disaggregated indicators identify governance reform priorities?
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100331142656
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3746
_version_ 1764388115930152960
spelling okr-10986-37462021-04-23T14:02:12Z Can Disaggregated Indicators Identify Governance Reform Priorities? Kraay, Aart Tawara, Norikazu ACCESS TO INFORMATION ACCOUNTABILITY ADDITIONAL REGRESSORS ADMINISTRATIVE REGULATIONS AGGREGATE INDICATOR AGGREGATE INDICATORS ALGORITHMS ANTICORRUPTION BENCHMARK BRIBERY BUREAUCRACY BUSINESS CLIMATE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT CAPITAL MARKETS CAUSAL EFFECT CAUSATION CITIZEN CITIZEN PARTICIPATION CITIZENS CIVIL SOCIETY COMMERCIAL RISK RATING AGENCIES COMPETITIVENESS CORRELATIONS CORRUPT OFFICIALS CORRUPTION CORRUPTION TRENDS CORRUPTION VARIABLES COUNTRY COVERAGE DEGREES OF FREEDOM DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEPENDENT VARIABLES ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS ECONOMISTS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS ENVIRONMENTS ERROR TERM EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FINANCIAL HONESTY FINITE SAMPLES FOREIGN AID FOREIGN INVESTORS FORMAL ANALYSIS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GOOD GOVERNANCE GOVERNANCE CHALLENGES GOVERNANCE INDICATORS GOVERNANCE INSTITUTIONS GOVERNANCE OUTCOMES GOVERNANCE REFORM GROWTH RATES GROWTH REGRESSION GROWTH THEORIES IMPORT BARRIERS IMPROVING GOVERNANCE INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INDIVIDUAL VARIABLES INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATION INVESTMENT CLIMATE JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS JUDICIAL DECISIONS LARGE NUMBER LEADING INDICATORS LINEAR REGRESSION MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MACROECONOMICS MATRIX MEASUREMENT ERROR MEASURING CORRUPTION MODEL SPECIFICATION MONOPOLY NORMAL DENSITY 0 HYPOTHESIS NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS NUMBER OF REGRESSORS NUMBER OF VARIABLES PANEL DATA PARSIMONIOUS MODELS POLITICAL FINANCING POLITICAL SYSTEM POSITIVE CORRELATION PRICE CONTROLS PROBABILITIES PROBABILITY PUBLIC CONTRACTS PUBLIC FUNDS PUBLIC INFORMATION PUBLIC OFFICIALS PUBLIC UTILITIES RANDOM VARIABLE REGULATORY OUTCOMES REGULATORY POLICY REGULATORY QUALITY REVERSE CAUSATION RULE OF LAW SAMPLE SIZE SET OF VARIABLES SLOPE COEFFICIENT SLOPE COEFFICIENTS SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD DEVIATIONS STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE SUBJECTIVE ASSESSMENTS TAX COLLECTION TAX SYSTEM TRADE POLICY TRANSPARENCY UNIT INCREASE WORLDWIDE GOVERNANCE INDICATORS Many highly-disaggregated cross-country indicators of institutional quality and the business environment have been developed in recent years. The promise of these indicators is that they can be used to identify specific reform priorities that policymakers and aid donors can target in their efforts to improve institutional and regulatory quality outcomes. Doing so however requires evidence on the partial effects of these many very detailed variables on outcomes of interest, for example, investor perceptions of corruption or the quality of the regulatory environment. In this paper we use Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to systematically document the partial correlations between disaggregated indicators and several closely-related outcome variables of interest using two leading datasets: the Global Integrity Index and the Doing Business indicators. We find major instability across outcomes and across levels of disaggregation in the set of indicators identified by BMA as important determinants of outcomes. Disaggregated indicators that are important determinants of one outcome are on average not important determinants of other very similar outcomes. And for a given outcome variable, indicators that are important at one level of disaggregation are on average not important at other levels of disaggregation. These findings illustrate the difficulties in using highly-disaggregated indicators to identify reform priorities. 2012-03-19T18:39:04Z 2012-03-19T18:39:04Z 2010-03-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100331142656 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3746 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5254 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region