Effectiveness of Government Support for the Private Sector during the COVID-19 Crisis : Evidence from El Salvador and Georgia

This paper estimates the effectiveness of government support to the private sector during the COVID-19 pandemic in El Salvador and Georgia using firm-level data collected before and during the pandemic. The two countries are selected because eligib...

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Main Authors: Karalashvili, Nona, Tamkoc, M. Nazim
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/772451647971587082/Effectiveness-of-Government-Support-for-the-Private-Sector-during-the-COVID-19-Crisis-Evidence-from-El-Salvador-and-Georgia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37289
id okr-10986-37289
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-372892022-04-22T15:19:21Z Effectiveness of Government Support for the Private Sector during the COVID-19 Crisis : Evidence from El Salvador and Georgia Karalashvili, Nona Tamkoc, M. Nazim COVID SUPPORT EFFECTIVENESS PANDEMIC COVID-19 COVID RELIEF ELIGIBILITY GOVERNMENT SUPPORT TO FIRMS PRIVATE SECTOR COVID RELIEF EFFECTIVENESS WAGE SUBSIDIES CASH TRANSFERS EXPORT VULNERABILITY RESILIENCE HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA SHOCK CORONAVIRUS This paper estimates the effectiveness of government support to the private sector during the COVID-19 pandemic in El Salvador and Georgia using firm-level data collected before and during the pandemic. The two countries are selected because eligibility criteria for support involved pre-pandemic features of firms, as opposed to more prevalent criteria directly linked to firms’ experiences during the pandemic and that greatly exacerbate concerns about selection bias in estimation. Four outcome variables are studied relating to firms’ workforce, hours of operations, and expectations. Matching and panel estimation techniques are used on full and restricted samples, with the latter aimed at reducing selection bias. Government support appears to have helped firms avoid a reduction in operations in El Salvador, mainly through cash transfers, which also helped in terms of permanent workers, with the latter effect counteracted by wage subsidies. Smaller firms in Georgia appear to have benefited more from government support, mostly through fiscal relief, which was partially counteracted by wage subsidies that benefited larger firms more. The finding that smaller firms have benefited more helps raise confidence in the analysis as strong negative selection bias is expected in this context. Manufacturers of textiles and garments in El Salvador and hotels and restaurants in Georgia appear to have benefited from government support, but the patterns in other sectors are mixed and country-specific, highlighting potential complexities of attempting to target sectors. 2022-04-12T15:40:53Z 2022-04-12T15:40:53Z 2022-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/772451647971587082/Effectiveness-of-Government-Support-for-the-Private-Sector-during-the-COVID-19-Crisis-Evidence-from-El-Salvador-and-Georgia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37289 English Policy Research Working Paper;9975 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Europe and Central Asia Latin America & Caribbean
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic COVID SUPPORT EFFECTIVENESS
PANDEMIC
COVID-19
COVID RELIEF ELIGIBILITY
GOVERNMENT SUPPORT TO FIRMS
PRIVATE SECTOR COVID RELIEF EFFECTIVENESS
WAGE SUBSIDIES
CASH TRANSFERS
EXPORT
VULNERABILITY
RESILIENCE
HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA
SHOCK
CORONAVIRUS
spellingShingle COVID SUPPORT EFFECTIVENESS
PANDEMIC
COVID-19
COVID RELIEF ELIGIBILITY
GOVERNMENT SUPPORT TO FIRMS
PRIVATE SECTOR COVID RELIEF EFFECTIVENESS
WAGE SUBSIDIES
CASH TRANSFERS
EXPORT
VULNERABILITY
RESILIENCE
HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA
SHOCK
CORONAVIRUS
Karalashvili, Nona
Tamkoc, M. Nazim
Effectiveness of Government Support for the Private Sector during the COVID-19 Crisis : Evidence from El Salvador and Georgia
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Latin America & Caribbean
relation Policy Research Working Paper;9975
description This paper estimates the effectiveness of government support to the private sector during the COVID-19 pandemic in El Salvador and Georgia using firm-level data collected before and during the pandemic. The two countries are selected because eligibility criteria for support involved pre-pandemic features of firms, as opposed to more prevalent criteria directly linked to firms’ experiences during the pandemic and that greatly exacerbate concerns about selection bias in estimation. Four outcome variables are studied relating to firms’ workforce, hours of operations, and expectations. Matching and panel estimation techniques are used on full and restricted samples, with the latter aimed at reducing selection bias. Government support appears to have helped firms avoid a reduction in operations in El Salvador, mainly through cash transfers, which also helped in terms of permanent workers, with the latter effect counteracted by wage subsidies. Smaller firms in Georgia appear to have benefited more from government support, mostly through fiscal relief, which was partially counteracted by wage subsidies that benefited larger firms more. The finding that smaller firms have benefited more helps raise confidence in the analysis as strong negative selection bias is expected in this context. Manufacturers of textiles and garments in El Salvador and hotels and restaurants in Georgia appear to have benefited from government support, but the patterns in other sectors are mixed and country-specific, highlighting potential complexities of attempting to target sectors.
format Working Paper
author Karalashvili, Nona
Tamkoc, M. Nazim
author_facet Karalashvili, Nona
Tamkoc, M. Nazim
author_sort Karalashvili, Nona
title Effectiveness of Government Support for the Private Sector during the COVID-19 Crisis : Evidence from El Salvador and Georgia
title_short Effectiveness of Government Support for the Private Sector during the COVID-19 Crisis : Evidence from El Salvador and Georgia
title_full Effectiveness of Government Support for the Private Sector during the COVID-19 Crisis : Evidence from El Salvador and Georgia
title_fullStr Effectiveness of Government Support for the Private Sector during the COVID-19 Crisis : Evidence from El Salvador and Georgia
title_full_unstemmed Effectiveness of Government Support for the Private Sector during the COVID-19 Crisis : Evidence from El Salvador and Georgia
title_sort effectiveness of government support for the private sector during the covid-19 crisis : evidence from el salvador and georgia
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/772451647971587082/Effectiveness-of-Government-Support-for-the-Private-Sector-during-the-COVID-19-Crisis-Evidence-from-El-Salvador-and-Georgia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37289
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