Global Economic Prospects, June 2022
The world economy continues to suffer from a series of destabilizing shocks. After more than two years of pandemic, the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine and its global effects on commodity markets, supply chains, inflation, and financial conditions have steepened the slowdown in global growt...
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okr-10986-372242022-07-12T18:32:20Z Global Economic Prospects, June 2022 World Bank POST-PANDEMIC RECOVERY COVID-19 RECOVERY WORLD ECONOMY 2022 ECONOMIC RECOVERY RISK UKRAINE WAR IMPACT COMMODITY MARKETS SUPPLY CHAIN IMPACT GLOBAL INFLATION GLOBAL GROWTH SLOWDOWN STAGFLATION AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY PRICES MONETARY POLICY TIGHTENING MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK ECONOMIC POLICY RESPONSE DEVELOPING ECONOMIES GLOBAL SHOCKS The world economy continues to suffer from a series of destabilizing shocks. After more than two years of pandemic, the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine and its global effects on commodity markets, supply chains, inflation, and financial conditions have steepened the slowdown in global growth. In particular, the war in Ukraine is leading to soaring prices and volatility in energy markets, with improvements in activity in energy exporters more than offset by headwinds to activity in most other economies. The invasion of Ukraine has also led to a significant increase in agricultural commodity prices, which is exacerbating food insecurity and extreme poverty in many emerging market and developing economies. Numerous risks could further derail what is now a precarious recovery. Among them is, in particular, the possibility of stubbornly high global inflation accompanied by tepid growth, reminiscent of the stagflation of the 1970s. This could eventually result in a sharp tightening of monetary policy in advanced economies to rein in inflation, lead to surging borrowing costs, and possibly culminate in financial stress in some emerging market and developing economies. A forceful and wide-ranging policy response is required by policy makers in these economies and the global community to boost growth, bolster macroeconomic frameworks, reduce financial vulnerabilities, provide support to vulnerable population groups, and attenuate the long-term impacts of the global shocks of recent years. 2022-03-28T19:03:34Z 2022-03-28T19:03:34Z 2022-06 Book https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/099355006072293045/idu0e94d9de80f675045770a99b033f67b449448 978-1-4648-1843-1 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37224 Global Economic Prospects; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research World |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
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World Bank |
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POST-PANDEMIC RECOVERY COVID-19 RECOVERY WORLD ECONOMY 2022 ECONOMIC RECOVERY RISK UKRAINE WAR IMPACT COMMODITY MARKETS SUPPLY CHAIN IMPACT GLOBAL INFLATION GLOBAL GROWTH SLOWDOWN STAGFLATION AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY PRICES MONETARY POLICY TIGHTENING MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK ECONOMIC POLICY RESPONSE DEVELOPING ECONOMIES GLOBAL SHOCKS |
spellingShingle |
POST-PANDEMIC RECOVERY COVID-19 RECOVERY WORLD ECONOMY 2022 ECONOMIC RECOVERY RISK UKRAINE WAR IMPACT COMMODITY MARKETS SUPPLY CHAIN IMPACT GLOBAL INFLATION GLOBAL GROWTH SLOWDOWN STAGFLATION AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY PRICES MONETARY POLICY TIGHTENING MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK ECONOMIC POLICY RESPONSE DEVELOPING ECONOMIES GLOBAL SHOCKS World Bank Global Economic Prospects, June 2022 |
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World |
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Global Economic Prospects; |
description |
The world economy continues to suffer from a series of destabilizing shocks. After more than two years of pandemic, the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine and its global effects on commodity markets, supply chains, inflation, and financial conditions have steepened the slowdown in global growth. In particular, the war in Ukraine is leading to soaring prices and volatility in energy markets, with improvements in activity in energy exporters more than offset by headwinds to activity in most other economies. The invasion of Ukraine has also led to a significant increase in agricultural commodity prices, which is exacerbating food insecurity and extreme poverty in many emerging market and developing economies. Numerous risks could further derail what is now a precarious recovery. Among them is, in particular, the possibility of stubbornly high global inflation accompanied by tepid growth, reminiscent of the stagflation of the 1970s. This could eventually result in a sharp tightening of monetary policy in advanced economies to rein in inflation, lead to surging borrowing costs, and possibly culminate in financial stress in some emerging market and developing economies. A forceful and wide-ranging policy response is required by policy makers in these economies and the global community to boost growth, bolster macroeconomic frameworks, reduce financial vulnerabilities, provide support to vulnerable population groups, and attenuate the long-term impacts of the global shocks of recent years. |
format |
Book |
author |
World Bank |
author_facet |
World Bank |
author_sort |
World Bank |
title |
Global Economic Prospects, June 2022 |
title_short |
Global Economic Prospects, June 2022 |
title_full |
Global Economic Prospects, June 2022 |
title_fullStr |
Global Economic Prospects, June 2022 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Global Economic Prospects, June 2022 |
title_sort |
global economic prospects, june 2022 |
publisher |
Washington, DC: World Bank |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/099355006072293045/idu0e94d9de80f675045770a99b033f67b449448 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37224 |
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1764486764337037312 |