Scars of Pandemics from Lost Schooling and Experience : Aggregate Implications and Gender Differences Through the Lens of COVID-19

Pandemic shocks disrupt human capital accumulation through schooling and work experience. This study quantifies the long-term economic impact of these disruptions in the case of COVID-19, focusing on countries at different levels of development and...

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Main Authors: Samaniego, Roberto, Jedwab, Remi, Romer, Paul, Islam, Asif M.
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/277671644367755892/Scars-of-Pandemics-from-Lost-Schooling-and-Experience-Aggregate-Implications-and-Gender-Differences-Through-the-Lens-of-COVID-19
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36972
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recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-369722022-02-11T05:10:37Z Scars of Pandemics from Lost Schooling and Experience : Aggregate Implications and Gender Differences Through the Lens of COVID-19 Samaniego, Roberto Jedwab, Remi Romer, Paul Islam, Asif M. CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT HUMAN CAPITAL RETURNS TO EDUCATION GENDER GENDER PAY GAP FEMALE RELATIVE INCOME LABOR MARKETS RETURNS TO EXPERIENCE LOST SCHOOLING Pandemic shocks disrupt human capital accumulation through schooling and work experience. This study quantifies the long-term economic impact of these disruptions in the case of COVID-19, focusing on countries at different levels of development and using returns to education and experience by college status that are globally estimated using 1,084 household surveys across 145 countries. The results show that both lost schooling and experience contribute to significant losses in global learning and output. Developed countries incur greater losses than developing countries, because they have more schooling to start with and higher returns to experience. The returns to education and experience are also separately estimated for men and women, to explore the differential effects by gender of the COVID-19 pandemic. Surprisingly, while the study uncovers gender differences in returns to education and schooling, gender differences in the impact of COVID-19 are small and short-lived, with a loss in female relative income of only 2.5 percent or less, mainly due to the greater severity of the employment shock on impact. These findings might challenge some of the ongoing narratives in policy circles. The methodology employed in this study is easily implementable for future pandemics. 2022-02-10T15:45:00Z 2022-02-10T15:45:00Z 2022-02 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/277671644367755892/Scars-of-Pandemics-from-Lost-Schooling-and-Experience-Aggregate-Implications-and-Gender-Differences-Through-the-Lens-of-COVID-19 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36972 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9932 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
HUMAN CAPITAL
RETURNS TO EDUCATION
GENDER
GENDER PAY GAP
FEMALE RELATIVE INCOME
LABOR MARKETS
RETURNS TO EXPERIENCE
LOST SCHOOLING
spellingShingle CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
HUMAN CAPITAL
RETURNS TO EDUCATION
GENDER
GENDER PAY GAP
FEMALE RELATIVE INCOME
LABOR MARKETS
RETURNS TO EXPERIENCE
LOST SCHOOLING
Samaniego, Roberto
Jedwab, Remi
Romer, Paul
Islam, Asif M.
Scars of Pandemics from Lost Schooling and Experience : Aggregate Implications and Gender Differences Through the Lens of COVID-19
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9932
description Pandemic shocks disrupt human capital accumulation through schooling and work experience. This study quantifies the long-term economic impact of these disruptions in the case of COVID-19, focusing on countries at different levels of development and using returns to education and experience by college status that are globally estimated using 1,084 household surveys across 145 countries. The results show that both lost schooling and experience contribute to significant losses in global learning and output. Developed countries incur greater losses than developing countries, because they have more schooling to start with and higher returns to experience. The returns to education and experience are also separately estimated for men and women, to explore the differential effects by gender of the COVID-19 pandemic. Surprisingly, while the study uncovers gender differences in returns to education and schooling, gender differences in the impact of COVID-19 are small and short-lived, with a loss in female relative income of only 2.5 percent or less, mainly due to the greater severity of the employment shock on impact. These findings might challenge some of the ongoing narratives in policy circles. The methodology employed in this study is easily implementable for future pandemics.
format Working Paper
author Samaniego, Roberto
Jedwab, Remi
Romer, Paul
Islam, Asif M.
author_facet Samaniego, Roberto
Jedwab, Remi
Romer, Paul
Islam, Asif M.
author_sort Samaniego, Roberto
title Scars of Pandemics from Lost Schooling and Experience : Aggregate Implications and Gender Differences Through the Lens of COVID-19
title_short Scars of Pandemics from Lost Schooling and Experience : Aggregate Implications and Gender Differences Through the Lens of COVID-19
title_full Scars of Pandemics from Lost Schooling and Experience : Aggregate Implications and Gender Differences Through the Lens of COVID-19
title_fullStr Scars of Pandemics from Lost Schooling and Experience : Aggregate Implications and Gender Differences Through the Lens of COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed Scars of Pandemics from Lost Schooling and Experience : Aggregate Implications and Gender Differences Through the Lens of COVID-19
title_sort scars of pandemics from lost schooling and experience : aggregate implications and gender differences through the lens of covid-19
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/277671644367755892/Scars-of-Pandemics-from-Lost-Schooling-and-Experience-Aggregate-Implications-and-Gender-Differences-Through-the-Lens-of-COVID-19
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36972
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