A Puzzle with Missing Pieces : Explaining the Effectiveness of World Bank Development Projects

The identification of key determinants of aid effectiveness is a long-standing question in the development community. This paper reviews the literature on aid effectiveness at the project level and then extends the inquiry in a variety of dimension...

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Main Authors: Ashton, Louise, Friedman, Jed, Goldemberg, Diana, Hussain, Mustafa Zakir, Kenyon, Thomas, Khan, Akib, Zhou, Mo
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/394731639508728939/A-Puzzle-with-Missing-Pieces-Explaining-the-Effectiveness-of-World-Bank-Development-Projects
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36742
id okr-10986-36742
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-367422021-12-17T05:10:55Z A Puzzle with Missing Pieces : Explaining the Effectiveness of World Bank Development Projects Ashton, Louise Friedman, Jed Goldemberg, Diana Hussain, Mustafa Zakir Kenyon, Thomas Khan, Akib Zhou, Mo DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUCCESS DEVELOPMENT AID EFFECTIVENESS PROJECT EFFECTIVENESS PROJECT DESIGN PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION INSTITUTIONAL SETTING WORLD BANK OPERATIONS The identification of key determinants of aid effectiveness is a long-standing question in the development community. This paper reviews the literature on aid effectiveness at the project level and then extends the inquiry in a variety of dimensions with new data on World Bank investment project financing. It confirms that the country institutional setting and quality of project supervision are associated with project success, as identified previously. However, many aspects of the development project cycle, especially project design, have been difficult to measure and therefore under-investigated. The paper finds that project design, as proxied by the estimated value added of design staff, the presence of prior analytic work, and other specially collected measures, is a significant predictor of ultimate project success. These factors generally grow in predictive importance as the income level of the country rises. The results also indicate that a key determinant of the staff’s contribution is their experience with previous World Bank projects, but not other characteristics such as age, education, or country location. Key inputs to the project production process associated with subsequent performance are not captured in routine data systems, although it is feasible to do so. Further, the conceptualization and measurement of the success of project-based aid should be revisited by evaluative bodies to reflect a project’s theorized contribution to development outcomes. 2021-12-16T17:07:19Z 2021-12-16T17:07:19Z 2021-12 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/394731639508728939/A-Puzzle-with-Missing-Pieces-Explaining-the-Effectiveness-of-World-Bank-Development-Projects http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36742 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9884 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUCCESS
DEVELOPMENT AID EFFECTIVENESS
PROJECT EFFECTIVENESS
PROJECT DESIGN
PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION
INSTITUTIONAL SETTING
WORLD BANK OPERATIONS
spellingShingle DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUCCESS
DEVELOPMENT AID EFFECTIVENESS
PROJECT EFFECTIVENESS
PROJECT DESIGN
PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION
INSTITUTIONAL SETTING
WORLD BANK OPERATIONS
Ashton, Louise
Friedman, Jed
Goldemberg, Diana
Hussain, Mustafa Zakir
Kenyon, Thomas
Khan, Akib
Zhou, Mo
A Puzzle with Missing Pieces : Explaining the Effectiveness of World Bank Development Projects
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9884
description The identification of key determinants of aid effectiveness is a long-standing question in the development community. This paper reviews the literature on aid effectiveness at the project level and then extends the inquiry in a variety of dimensions with new data on World Bank investment project financing. It confirms that the country institutional setting and quality of project supervision are associated with project success, as identified previously. However, many aspects of the development project cycle, especially project design, have been difficult to measure and therefore under-investigated. The paper finds that project design, as proxied by the estimated value added of design staff, the presence of prior analytic work, and other specially collected measures, is a significant predictor of ultimate project success. These factors generally grow in predictive importance as the income level of the country rises. The results also indicate that a key determinant of the staff’s contribution is their experience with previous World Bank projects, but not other characteristics such as age, education, or country location. Key inputs to the project production process associated with subsequent performance are not captured in routine data systems, although it is feasible to do so. Further, the conceptualization and measurement of the success of project-based aid should be revisited by evaluative bodies to reflect a project’s theorized contribution to development outcomes.
format Working Paper
author Ashton, Louise
Friedman, Jed
Goldemberg, Diana
Hussain, Mustafa Zakir
Kenyon, Thomas
Khan, Akib
Zhou, Mo
author_facet Ashton, Louise
Friedman, Jed
Goldemberg, Diana
Hussain, Mustafa Zakir
Kenyon, Thomas
Khan, Akib
Zhou, Mo
author_sort Ashton, Louise
title A Puzzle with Missing Pieces : Explaining the Effectiveness of World Bank Development Projects
title_short A Puzzle with Missing Pieces : Explaining the Effectiveness of World Bank Development Projects
title_full A Puzzle with Missing Pieces : Explaining the Effectiveness of World Bank Development Projects
title_fullStr A Puzzle with Missing Pieces : Explaining the Effectiveness of World Bank Development Projects
title_full_unstemmed A Puzzle with Missing Pieces : Explaining the Effectiveness of World Bank Development Projects
title_sort puzzle with missing pieces : explaining the effectiveness of world bank development projects
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/394731639508728939/A-Puzzle-with-Missing-Pieces-Explaining-the-Effectiveness-of-World-Bank-Development-Projects
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36742
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