A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class

Measurement of the middle class has recently come to the center of policy debate in middle-income countries as they search for the potential engines of growth and good governance. This debate assumes, first, that there is a meaningful definition of...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Lopez-Calva, Luis F., Ortiz-Juarez, Eduardo
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111207160021
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3669
id okr-10986-3669
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABSOLUTE POVERTY
ABSOLUTE POVERTY LINE
ABSOLUTE TERMS
AGRICULTURAL WORKERS
CAPITA EXPENDITURE
CARIBBEAN REGION
CENTRAL REGION
CROSS-SECTIONAL DATA
DAILY INCOME
DATA QUALITY
DECLINING INEQUALITY
DEFINITIONS OF POVERTY
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING WORLD
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC SHOCK
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
EMPIRICAL WORK
FARMER
FARMERS
GROUP MEANS
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD DATA
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS
HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD STRATEGIES
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSING
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT
INCIDENCE OF POVERTY
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS
INCOME EQUATION
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME QUINTILES
INCOME RISK
INCOME SHARE
INCOMES
INEQUALITY
INSURANCE
INSURANCE MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINE
LABOR MARKET
LINEAR MODEL
LINEAR REGRESSION
LOCAL INSTITUTIONS
LOGARITHMIC SCALE
LONGITUDINAL DATA
MEASUREMENT OF POVERTY
MEDIAN INCOME
MEDIAN POVERTY
METROPOLITAN REGION
MIDDLE CLASS
MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS
MINIMUM LEVEL
NEGATIVE SHOCKS
PER CAPITA INCOMES
POLICY DISCUSSIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL SCIENTISTS
POLITICAL STABILITY
POOR
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POOR INDIVIDUALS
POOR POPULATION
POVERTY ANALYSIS
POVERTY DYNAMICS
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY INCIDENCE
POVERTY LEVELS
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY MEASURE
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY PROGRAMS
POVERTY STATUS
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PUBLIC INTERVENTION
REGIONAL LEVELS
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL RESIDENCE
SAFETY NETS
SANITATION
SAVINGS
SCHOOLING
SIGNIFICANCE LEVEL
SKILLED WORKERS
SMALL FARMERS
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
SOCIAL MOBILITY
SOCIAL POLICIES
SOCIAL PROTECTION
UNEMPLOYMENT
URBAN AREAS
VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY
VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS
spellingShingle ABSOLUTE POVERTY
ABSOLUTE POVERTY LINE
ABSOLUTE TERMS
AGRICULTURAL WORKERS
CAPITA EXPENDITURE
CARIBBEAN REGION
CENTRAL REGION
CROSS-SECTIONAL DATA
DAILY INCOME
DATA QUALITY
DECLINING INEQUALITY
DEFINITIONS OF POVERTY
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING WORLD
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC SHOCK
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
EMPIRICAL WORK
FARMER
FARMERS
GROUP MEANS
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD DATA
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS
HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD STRATEGIES
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSING
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT
INCIDENCE OF POVERTY
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS
INCOME EQUATION
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME QUINTILES
INCOME RISK
INCOME SHARE
INCOMES
INEQUALITY
INSURANCE
INSURANCE MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINE
LABOR MARKET
LINEAR MODEL
LINEAR REGRESSION
LOCAL INSTITUTIONS
LOGARITHMIC SCALE
LONGITUDINAL DATA
MEASUREMENT OF POVERTY
MEDIAN INCOME
MEDIAN POVERTY
METROPOLITAN REGION
MIDDLE CLASS
MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS
MINIMUM LEVEL
NEGATIVE SHOCKS
PER CAPITA INCOMES
POLICY DISCUSSIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL SCIENTISTS
POLITICAL STABILITY
POOR
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POOR INDIVIDUALS
POOR POPULATION
POVERTY ANALYSIS
POVERTY DYNAMICS
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY INCIDENCE
POVERTY LEVELS
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY MEASURE
POVERTY MEASUREMENT
POVERTY PROGRAMS
POVERTY STATUS
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PUBLIC INTERVENTION
REGIONAL LEVELS
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL RESIDENCE
SAFETY NETS
SANITATION
SAVINGS
SCHOOLING
SIGNIFICANCE LEVEL
SKILLED WORKERS
SMALL FARMERS
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
SOCIAL MOBILITY
SOCIAL POLICIES
SOCIAL PROTECTION
UNEMPLOYMENT
URBAN AREAS
VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY
VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS
Lopez-Calva, Luis F.
Ortiz-Juarez, Eduardo
A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Chile
Peru
Mexico
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5902
description Measurement of the middle class has recently come to the center of policy debate in middle-income countries as they search for the potential engines of growth and good governance. This debate assumes, first, that there is a meaningful definition of class, and second, that thresholds that define relatively homogeneous groups in terms of pre-determined sociological characteristics can be found empirically. This paper aims at proposing a view of the middle class based on vulnerability to poverty. Following this approach the paper exploits panel data to determine the amount of comparable income -- associated with a low probability of falling into poverty -- which could define the lower bound of the middle class. The paper looks at absolute thresholds, challenging the view that people above the poverty line are actually part of the middle class. The estimated lower threshold is used in cross-section surveys to quantify the size and the evolution of middle classes in Chile, Mexico, and Peru over the past two decades. The first relevant feature relates to the fact that the proposed thresholds lie around the 60th percentile of the distribution. The evidence also shows that the middle class has increased significantly in all three countries, suggesting that a higher number of households face lower probabilities of falling into poverty than they did in the 1990s. There is an important group of people, however, which cannot be defined as middle class from this perspective, but are not eligible for poverty programs according to traditional definitions of poverty.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Lopez-Calva, Luis F.
Ortiz-Juarez, Eduardo
author_facet Lopez-Calva, Luis F.
Ortiz-Juarez, Eduardo
author_sort Lopez-Calva, Luis F.
title A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class
title_short A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class
title_full A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class
title_fullStr A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class
title_full_unstemmed A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class
title_sort vulnerability approach to the definition of the middle class
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111207160021
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3669
_version_ 1764387722363928576
spelling okr-10986-36692021-04-23T14:02:11Z A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class Lopez-Calva, Luis F. Ortiz-Juarez, Eduardo ABSOLUTE POVERTY ABSOLUTE POVERTY LINE ABSOLUTE TERMS AGRICULTURAL WORKERS CAPITA EXPENDITURE CARIBBEAN REGION CENTRAL REGION CROSS-SECTIONAL DATA DAILY INCOME DATA QUALITY DECLINING INEQUALITY DEFINITIONS OF POVERTY DEPENDENT VARIABLE DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC INEQUALITY ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC SHOCK ECONOMIC SHOCKS ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION EMPIRICAL WORK FARMER FARMERS GROUP MEANS HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD DATA HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS HOUSEHOLD PER CAPITA INCOME HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD STRATEGIES HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT INCIDENCE OF POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS INCOME EQUATION INCOME GROUPS INCOME LEVEL INCOME LEVELS INCOME QUINTILES INCOME RISK INCOME SHARE INCOMES INEQUALITY INSURANCE INSURANCE MARKETS INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINE LABOR MARKET LINEAR MODEL LINEAR REGRESSION LOCAL INSTITUTIONS LOGARITHMIC SCALE LONGITUDINAL DATA MEASUREMENT OF POVERTY MEDIAN INCOME MEDIAN POVERTY METROPOLITAN REGION MIDDLE CLASS MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS MINIMUM LEVEL NEGATIVE SHOCKS PER CAPITA INCOMES POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL SCIENTISTS POLITICAL STABILITY POOR POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR INDIVIDUALS POOR POPULATION POVERTY ANALYSIS POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY INCIDENCE POVERTY LEVELS POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MEASURE POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY PROGRAMS POVERTY STATUS PRIMARY EDUCATION PUBLIC INTERVENTION REGIONAL LEVELS REGRESSION ANALYSIS RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL RESIDENCE SAFETY NETS SANITATION SAVINGS SCHOOLING SIGNIFICANCE LEVEL SKILLED WORKERS SMALL FARMERS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL MOBILITY SOCIAL POLICIES SOCIAL PROTECTION UNEMPLOYMENT URBAN AREAS VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS Measurement of the middle class has recently come to the center of policy debate in middle-income countries as they search for the potential engines of growth and good governance. This debate assumes, first, that there is a meaningful definition of class, and second, that thresholds that define relatively homogeneous groups in terms of pre-determined sociological characteristics can be found empirically. This paper aims at proposing a view of the middle class based on vulnerability to poverty. Following this approach the paper exploits panel data to determine the amount of comparable income -- associated with a low probability of falling into poverty -- which could define the lower bound of the middle class. The paper looks at absolute thresholds, challenging the view that people above the poverty line are actually part of the middle class. The estimated lower threshold is used in cross-section surveys to quantify the size and the evolution of middle classes in Chile, Mexico, and Peru over the past two decades. The first relevant feature relates to the fact that the proposed thresholds lie around the 60th percentile of the distribution. The evidence also shows that the middle class has increased significantly in all three countries, suggesting that a higher number of households face lower probabilities of falling into poverty than they did in the 1990s. There is an important group of people, however, which cannot be defined as middle class from this perspective, but are not eligible for poverty programs according to traditional definitions of poverty. 2012-03-19T18:06:32Z 2012-03-19T18:06:32Z 2011-12-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111207160021 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3669 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5902 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Chile Peru Mexico