Groundswell Africa : A Deep Dive Into Internal Climate Migration in Uganda

Uganda is a diverse and verdant country. From the tall volcanic mountains along the eastern and western borders to the densely forested wetlands of the Albert Nile River and the rainforests in the center of the country, it encompasses many differen...

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Main Authors: Rigaud, Kanta Kumari, de Sherbinin, Alex, Jones, Bryan, Casals Fernandez, Anna Taeko, Adamo, Susan
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/101161634533716676/Groundswell-Africa-A-Deep-Dive-Into-Internal-Climate-Migration-in-Uganda
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36447
id okr-10986-36447
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-364472022-01-14T15:55:49Z Groundswell Africa : A Deep Dive Into Internal Climate Migration in Uganda Rigaud, Kanta Kumari de Sherbinin, Alex Jones, Bryan Casals Fernandez, Anna Taeko Adamo, Susan CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION INTERNAL MIGRATION DISPLACEMENT CLIMATE MIGRATION Uganda is a diverse and verdant country. From the tall volcanic mountains along the eastern and western borders to the densely forested wetlands of the Albert Nile River and the rainforests in the center of the country, it encompasses many different ecosystems. Kampala, the capital city, is built around seven hills not far from the shores of Lake Victoria. These varying landscapes provide Ugandans with ample resources to capitalize on tourism and cultivate crops, including Ugandan coffee, which has become a favorite of coffee drinkers around the world. These rich and beautiful landscapes, however, are under threat from climate change, which could have disastrous effects for Ugandans. This report shows that by 2050, as many as 12 million people, or 11 percent of the population could move within Uganda because of slow onset climate factors, without concrete climate and development action. Immediate, rapid, and aggressive action on the cutting down emissions as a global community and pursuing inclusive resilient development at the national level could bring down this scale of climate migration by about 35 per cent. Contextualizing the results from an innovative climate migration model applied to Lake Victoria Basin countries, it finds that such climate-induced migration, if unattended, may deepen existing vulnerabilities across the country, potentially leading to greater poverty, fragility, and conflict. As lives, livelihoods, and the economy are integrally linked to the environment, addressing climate change is an imperative for Uganda. Adopting inclusive development policies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions and integrate climate resilience could decrease the number of internal migrants significantly. Acting early and focusing on improved management of forest and other landscapes, developing local job opportunities, and providing basic services for both host communities and refugees will be important to help these communities survive and thrive in a changing climate. The right mix of policies would also encourage the ingenuity and energy of Uganda’s youthful population, which is projected to almost triple by 2050. 2021-11-02T14:04:29Z 2021-11-02T14:04:29Z 2021-10-18 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/101161634533716676/Groundswell-Africa-A-Deep-Dive-Into-Internal-Climate-Migration-in-Uganda http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36447 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Working Paper Africa Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE) Uganda
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT
MIGRATION
INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
INTERNAL MIGRATION
DISPLACEMENT
CLIMATE MIGRATION
spellingShingle CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT
MIGRATION
INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
INTERNAL MIGRATION
DISPLACEMENT
CLIMATE MIGRATION
Rigaud, Kanta Kumari
de Sherbinin, Alex
Jones, Bryan
Casals Fernandez, Anna Taeko
Adamo, Susan
Groundswell Africa : A Deep Dive Into Internal Climate Migration in Uganda
geographic_facet Africa
Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE)
Uganda
description Uganda is a diverse and verdant country. From the tall volcanic mountains along the eastern and western borders to the densely forested wetlands of the Albert Nile River and the rainforests in the center of the country, it encompasses many different ecosystems. Kampala, the capital city, is built around seven hills not far from the shores of Lake Victoria. These varying landscapes provide Ugandans with ample resources to capitalize on tourism and cultivate crops, including Ugandan coffee, which has become a favorite of coffee drinkers around the world. These rich and beautiful landscapes, however, are under threat from climate change, which could have disastrous effects for Ugandans. This report shows that by 2050, as many as 12 million people, or 11 percent of the population could move within Uganda because of slow onset climate factors, without concrete climate and development action. Immediate, rapid, and aggressive action on the cutting down emissions as a global community and pursuing inclusive resilient development at the national level could bring down this scale of climate migration by about 35 per cent. Contextualizing the results from an innovative climate migration model applied to Lake Victoria Basin countries, it finds that such climate-induced migration, if unattended, may deepen existing vulnerabilities across the country, potentially leading to greater poverty, fragility, and conflict. As lives, livelihoods, and the economy are integrally linked to the environment, addressing climate change is an imperative for Uganda. Adopting inclusive development policies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions and integrate climate resilience could decrease the number of internal migrants significantly. Acting early and focusing on improved management of forest and other landscapes, developing local job opportunities, and providing basic services for both host communities and refugees will be important to help these communities survive and thrive in a changing climate. The right mix of policies would also encourage the ingenuity and energy of Uganda’s youthful population, which is projected to almost triple by 2050.
format Report
author Rigaud, Kanta Kumari
de Sherbinin, Alex
Jones, Bryan
Casals Fernandez, Anna Taeko
Adamo, Susan
author_facet Rigaud, Kanta Kumari
de Sherbinin, Alex
Jones, Bryan
Casals Fernandez, Anna Taeko
Adamo, Susan
author_sort Rigaud, Kanta Kumari
title Groundswell Africa : A Deep Dive Into Internal Climate Migration in Uganda
title_short Groundswell Africa : A Deep Dive Into Internal Climate Migration in Uganda
title_full Groundswell Africa : A Deep Dive Into Internal Climate Migration in Uganda
title_fullStr Groundswell Africa : A Deep Dive Into Internal Climate Migration in Uganda
title_full_unstemmed Groundswell Africa : A Deep Dive Into Internal Climate Migration in Uganda
title_sort groundswell africa : a deep dive into internal climate migration in uganda
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/101161634533716676/Groundswell-Africa-A-Deep-Dive-Into-Internal-Climate-Migration-in-Uganda
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36447
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