Firm Recovery during COVID-19 : Six Stylized Facts

Building on prior work that documented the impact of COVID-19 on firms in developing countries using the first wave of Business Pulse Surveys, this paper presents a new set of stylized facts on firm recovery, covering 65,000 observations in 38 coun...

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Main Authors: Cirera, Xavier, Cruz, Marcio, Grover, Arti, Iacovone, Leonardo, Medvedev, Denis, Pereira-Lopez, Mariana, Reyes, Santiago
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/862851634563353449/Firm-Recovery-during-COVID-19-Six-Stylized-Facts
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36428
id okr-10986-36428
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-364282021-10-29T05:10:46Z Firm Recovery during COVID-19 : Six Stylized Facts Cirera, Xavier Cruz, Marcio Grover, Arti Iacovone, Leonardo Medvedev, Denis Pereira-Lopez, Mariana Reyes, Santiago CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT FIRM PERFORMANCE RECOVERY EMPLOYMENT SALES REVENUE Building on prior work that documented the impact of COVID-19 on firms in developing countries using the first wave of Business Pulse Surveys, this paper presents a new set of stylized facts on firm recovery, covering 65,000 observations in 38 countries. This paper suggests that: One, since the outset of the pandemic, some aspects of business performance such as sales show signs of partial recovery. Two, other aspects remain challenging, including persistently high uncertainty and financial fragility. Three, recovery is heterogeneous across firms and more sensitive to firm-level attributes such as size, sector, and initial productivity than to country-level differences in the severity of the initial shock. In particular, larger and more productive firms are recovering faster, with implications for competition policy and allocative efficiency. Four, the decline in jobs has been steeper during the initial shock than the expansion in employment during recovery, raising the risk of a "jobless" recovery pattern. Five, the diffusion of digital technology and product innovation accelerated during the pandemic but did so unevenly, further widening gaps between small and large firms. Six, businesses now have more access to policy support, but poorer countries continue to lag behind and appropriate targeting of firms remains a challenge. 2021-10-28T14:09:44Z 2021-10-28T14:09:44Z 2021-10 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/862851634563353449/Firm-Recovery-during-COVID-19-Six-Stylized-Facts http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36428 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9810 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
FIRM PERFORMANCE
RECOVERY
EMPLOYMENT
SALES REVENUE
spellingShingle CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
FIRM PERFORMANCE
RECOVERY
EMPLOYMENT
SALES REVENUE
Cirera, Xavier
Cruz, Marcio
Grover, Arti
Iacovone, Leonardo
Medvedev, Denis
Pereira-Lopez, Mariana
Reyes, Santiago
Firm Recovery during COVID-19 : Six Stylized Facts
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9810
description Building on prior work that documented the impact of COVID-19 on firms in developing countries using the first wave of Business Pulse Surveys, this paper presents a new set of stylized facts on firm recovery, covering 65,000 observations in 38 countries. This paper suggests that: One, since the outset of the pandemic, some aspects of business performance such as sales show signs of partial recovery. Two, other aspects remain challenging, including persistently high uncertainty and financial fragility. Three, recovery is heterogeneous across firms and more sensitive to firm-level attributes such as size, sector, and initial productivity than to country-level differences in the severity of the initial shock. In particular, larger and more productive firms are recovering faster, with implications for competition policy and allocative efficiency. Four, the decline in jobs has been steeper during the initial shock than the expansion in employment during recovery, raising the risk of a "jobless" recovery pattern. Five, the diffusion of digital technology and product innovation accelerated during the pandemic but did so unevenly, further widening gaps between small and large firms. Six, businesses now have more access to policy support, but poorer countries continue to lag behind and appropriate targeting of firms remains a challenge.
format Working Paper
author Cirera, Xavier
Cruz, Marcio
Grover, Arti
Iacovone, Leonardo
Medvedev, Denis
Pereira-Lopez, Mariana
Reyes, Santiago
author_facet Cirera, Xavier
Cruz, Marcio
Grover, Arti
Iacovone, Leonardo
Medvedev, Denis
Pereira-Lopez, Mariana
Reyes, Santiago
author_sort Cirera, Xavier
title Firm Recovery during COVID-19 : Six Stylized Facts
title_short Firm Recovery during COVID-19 : Six Stylized Facts
title_full Firm Recovery during COVID-19 : Six Stylized Facts
title_fullStr Firm Recovery during COVID-19 : Six Stylized Facts
title_full_unstemmed Firm Recovery during COVID-19 : Six Stylized Facts
title_sort firm recovery during covid-19 : six stylized facts
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/862851634563353449/Firm-Recovery-during-COVID-19-Six-Stylized-Facts
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36428
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