One-Stop Source : A Global Database of Inflation

This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator changes); (...

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Main Authors: Ha, Jongrim, Kose, M. Ayhan, Ohnsorge, Franziska
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/287091627411399489/One-Stop-Source-A-Global-Database-of-Inflation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36037
id okr-10986-36037
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-360372021-07-30T05:10:36Z One-Stop Source : A Global Database of Inflation Ha, Jongrim Kose, M. Ayhan Ohnsorge, Franziska INFLATION DEFLATION INFLATION SYNCHRONIZATION PRICES CONSUMER PRICE INDEX This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator changes); (ii) at multiple frequencies (monthly, quarterly and annual) for an extended period (1970–2021); and (iii) for a large number (up to 196) of countries. As it doubles the number of observations over the next-largest publicly available sources, the database constitutes a comprehensive, single source for inflation series. The paper illustrates the potential use of the database with three applications. First, it studies the evolution of inflation since 1970 and document the broad-based disinflation around the world over the past half-century, with global consumer price inflation down from a peak of roughly 17 percent in 1974 to 2.5 percent in 2020. Second, it examines the behavior of inflation during global recessions. Global inflation fell sharply (on average by 0.9 percentage points) in the year to the trough of global recessions and continued to decline even as recoveries got underway. In 2020, inflation declined less, and more briefly, than in any of the previous four global recessions over the past 50 years. Third, the paper analyzes the role of common factors in explaining movements in different measures of inflation. While, across all inflation measures, inflation synchronization has risen since the early 2000s, it has been much higher for inflation measures that involve a larger share of tradable goods. 2021-07-29T12:40:44Z 2021-07-29T12:40:44Z 2021-07 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/287091627411399489/One-Stop-Source-A-Global-Database-of-Inflation http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36037 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9737 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic INFLATION
DEFLATION
INFLATION SYNCHRONIZATION
PRICES
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
spellingShingle INFLATION
DEFLATION
INFLATION SYNCHRONIZATION
PRICES
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Ha, Jongrim
Kose, M. Ayhan
Ohnsorge, Franziska
One-Stop Source : A Global Database of Inflation
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9737
description This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator changes); (ii) at multiple frequencies (monthly, quarterly and annual) for an extended period (1970–2021); and (iii) for a large number (up to 196) of countries. As it doubles the number of observations over the next-largest publicly available sources, the database constitutes a comprehensive, single source for inflation series. The paper illustrates the potential use of the database with three applications. First, it studies the evolution of inflation since 1970 and document the broad-based disinflation around the world over the past half-century, with global consumer price inflation down from a peak of roughly 17 percent in 1974 to 2.5 percent in 2020. Second, it examines the behavior of inflation during global recessions. Global inflation fell sharply (on average by 0.9 percentage points) in the year to the trough of global recessions and continued to decline even as recoveries got underway. In 2020, inflation declined less, and more briefly, than in any of the previous four global recessions over the past 50 years. Third, the paper analyzes the role of common factors in explaining movements in different measures of inflation. While, across all inflation measures, inflation synchronization has risen since the early 2000s, it has been much higher for inflation measures that involve a larger share of tradable goods.
format Working Paper
author Ha, Jongrim
Kose, M. Ayhan
Ohnsorge, Franziska
author_facet Ha, Jongrim
Kose, M. Ayhan
Ohnsorge, Franziska
author_sort Ha, Jongrim
title One-Stop Source : A Global Database of Inflation
title_short One-Stop Source : A Global Database of Inflation
title_full One-Stop Source : A Global Database of Inflation
title_fullStr One-Stop Source : A Global Database of Inflation
title_full_unstemmed One-Stop Source : A Global Database of Inflation
title_sort one-stop source : a global database of inflation
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/287091627411399489/One-Stop-Source-A-Global-Database-of-Inflation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36037
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