Climate Anomalies and International Migration : A Disaggregated Analysis for West Africa
Migration is one of the channels West African populations can use to adjust to the negative impacts of climate change. Using novel geo-referenced and high- frequency data, this study investigates the extent to which soil moisture anomalies drive in...
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2021
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okr-10986-356122022-09-20T00:09:52Z Climate Anomalies and International Migration : A Disaggregated Analysis for West Africa Martínez Flores, Fernanda Milusheva, Sveta Reichert, Arndt R. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION CLIMATE CHANGE SOIL MOISTURE DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT Migration is one of the channels West African populations can use to adjust to the negative impacts of climate change. Using novel geo-referenced and high- frequency data, this study investigates the extent to which soil moisture anomalies drive international migration decisions within the region and toward Europe. The findings show that drier soil conditions decrease (rather than increase) the probability to migrate. A standard deviation decrease in soil moisture leads to a 2 percentage point drop in the probability to migrate, equivalent to a 25 percent decrease in the number of migrants. This effect is concentrated during the crop-growing season and likely driven by financial constraints. The effect is only seen for areas that are in the middle of the income distribution, with no impact on the poorest or richest areas of a country, suggesting that the former were constrained to start and the latter can address those financial constraints. 2021-05-20T14:49:39Z 2021-05-20T14:49:39Z 2021-05 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/906611621275380661/Climate-Anomalies-and-International-Migration-A-Disaggregated-Analysis-for-West-Africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35612 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9664 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Africa Western and Central (AFW) West Africa |
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Digital Repository |
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Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English |
topic |
INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION CLIMATE CHANGE SOIL MOISTURE DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT |
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INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION CLIMATE CHANGE SOIL MOISTURE DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT Martínez Flores, Fernanda Milusheva, Sveta Reichert, Arndt R. Climate Anomalies and International Migration : A Disaggregated Analysis for West Africa |
geographic_facet |
Africa Africa Western and Central (AFW) West Africa |
relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9664 |
description |
Migration is one of the channels West
African populations can use to adjust to the negative
impacts of climate change. Using novel geo-referenced and
high- frequency data, this study investigates the extent to
which soil moisture anomalies drive international migration
decisions within the region and toward Europe. The findings
show that drier soil conditions decrease (rather than
increase) the probability to migrate. A standard deviation
decrease in soil moisture leads to a 2 percentage point drop
in the probability to migrate, equivalent to a 25 percent
decrease in the number of migrants. This effect is
concentrated during the crop-growing season and likely
driven by financial constraints. The effect is only seen for
areas that are in the middle of the income distribution,
with no impact on the poorest or richest areas of a country,
suggesting that the former were constrained to start and the
latter can address those financial constraints. |
format |
Working Paper |
author |
Martínez Flores, Fernanda Milusheva, Sveta Reichert, Arndt R. |
author_facet |
Martínez Flores, Fernanda Milusheva, Sveta Reichert, Arndt R. |
author_sort |
Martínez Flores, Fernanda |
title |
Climate Anomalies and International Migration : A Disaggregated Analysis for West Africa |
title_short |
Climate Anomalies and International Migration : A Disaggregated Analysis for West Africa |
title_full |
Climate Anomalies and International Migration : A Disaggregated Analysis for West Africa |
title_fullStr |
Climate Anomalies and International Migration : A Disaggregated Analysis for West Africa |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate Anomalies and International Migration : A Disaggregated Analysis for West Africa |
title_sort |
climate anomalies and international migration : a disaggregated analysis for west africa |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/906611621275380661/Climate-Anomalies-and-International-Migration-A-Disaggregated-Analysis-for-West-Africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35612 |
_version_ |
1764483418259718144 |