Coping with Disasters : Two Centuries of International Official Lending

Official ending is much larger than commonly known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially during wars, financial crises and natural catastrophes. This paper assembles the first comprehensive long-run dataset of offic...

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Main Authors: Horn, Sebastian, Reinhart, Carmen M., Trebesch, Christoph
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/858211617653033046/Coping-with-Disasters-Two-Centuries-of-International-Official-Lending
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35407
id okr-10986-35407
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-354072022-09-20T00:09:26Z Coping with Disasters : Two Centuries of International Official Lending Horn, Sebastian Reinhart, Carmen M. Trebesch, Christoph CAPITAL FLOWS DISASTER RESPONSE GLOBAL SAFETY NET BAILOUTS OFFICIAL LENDING NATURAL DISASTER SOVEREIGN DEBT CENTRAL BANK COORDINATION Official ending is much larger than commonly known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially during wars, financial crises and natural catastrophes. This paper assembles the first comprehensive long-run dataset of official international loans, covering 230,000 loans, grants and guarantees extended by governments, central banks, and multilateral institutions in the period 1790–2015. Historically, wars have been the main catalyst of government-to-government lending. The scale of official credits granted in and around WW1 and WW2 was particularly large, easily surpassing the scale of total international bailout lending after the 2008 crash. During peacetime, development finance and financial crises are the main drivers of official cross-border finance, with official flows often stepping in when private flows retrench. In line with predictions of recent theoretical contributions, this paper finds that official lending increases with the degree of economic integration. In financial crises, governments help those countries to which they have greater trade and banking exposure, hoping to reduce the collateral damage to their own economies. Since the 2000s, official finance has made a sharp comeback, largely due to the rise of China as an international creditor and the return of central bank cross-border lending in times of stress, this time through swap lines. 2021-04-08T16:34:16Z 2021-04-08T16:34:16Z 2021-04 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/858211617653033046/Coping-with-Disasters-Two-Centuries-of-International-Official-Lending http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35407 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9612 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CAPITAL FLOWS
DISASTER RESPONSE
GLOBAL SAFETY NET
BAILOUTS
OFFICIAL LENDING
NATURAL DISASTER
SOVEREIGN DEBT
CENTRAL BANK COORDINATION
spellingShingle CAPITAL FLOWS
DISASTER RESPONSE
GLOBAL SAFETY NET
BAILOUTS
OFFICIAL LENDING
NATURAL DISASTER
SOVEREIGN DEBT
CENTRAL BANK COORDINATION
Horn, Sebastian
Reinhart, Carmen M.
Trebesch, Christoph
Coping with Disasters : Two Centuries of International Official Lending
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9612
description Official ending is much larger than commonly known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially during wars, financial crises and natural catastrophes. This paper assembles the first comprehensive long-run dataset of official international loans, covering 230,000 loans, grants and guarantees extended by governments, central banks, and multilateral institutions in the period 1790–2015. Historically, wars have been the main catalyst of government-to-government lending. The scale of official credits granted in and around WW1 and WW2 was particularly large, easily surpassing the scale of total international bailout lending after the 2008 crash. During peacetime, development finance and financial crises are the main drivers of official cross-border finance, with official flows often stepping in when private flows retrench. In line with predictions of recent theoretical contributions, this paper finds that official lending increases with the degree of economic integration. In financial crises, governments help those countries to which they have greater trade and banking exposure, hoping to reduce the collateral damage to their own economies. Since the 2000s, official finance has made a sharp comeback, largely due to the rise of China as an international creditor and the return of central bank cross-border lending in times of stress, this time through swap lines.
format Working Paper
author Horn, Sebastian
Reinhart, Carmen M.
Trebesch, Christoph
author_facet Horn, Sebastian
Reinhart, Carmen M.
Trebesch, Christoph
author_sort Horn, Sebastian
title Coping with Disasters : Two Centuries of International Official Lending
title_short Coping with Disasters : Two Centuries of International Official Lending
title_full Coping with Disasters : Two Centuries of International Official Lending
title_fullStr Coping with Disasters : Two Centuries of International Official Lending
title_full_unstemmed Coping with Disasters : Two Centuries of International Official Lending
title_sort coping with disasters : two centuries of international official lending
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/858211617653033046/Coping-with-Disasters-Two-Centuries-of-International-Official-Lending
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35407
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