Deep Integration in Trade Agreements : Labor Clauses, Tariffs, and Trade Flows

Deepening preferential trade agreements extend coverage to social issues, including labor clauses. While there is a long history of debate over the intent of labor clauses, less is known about the impact of labor clauses. Recent studies show that l...

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Main Author: Robertson, Raymond
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/405441616682154606/Deep-Integration-in-Trade-Agreements-Labor-Clauses-Tariffs-and-Trade-Flows
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35352
id okr-10986-35352
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-353522022-09-20T00:09:59Z Deep Integration in Trade Agreements : Labor Clauses, Tariffs, and Trade Flows Robertson, Raymond DEEP TRADE AGREEMENT LABOR STANDARDS LABOR POLICY GRAVITY MODEL LABOR CLAUSE CHILD LABOR INTERNATIONAL LABOR STANDARD FREEDOM OF ASSOCIATION Deepening preferential trade agreements extend coverage to social issues, including labor clauses. While there is a long history of debate over the intent of labor clauses, less is known about the impact of labor clauses. Recent studies show that labor clauses improve working conditions, but the impact on trade flows is still debated. Existing studies do not include a full set of fixed effects (to control for endogeneity and unobserved confounding factors), other dimensions of deep agreements that could be correlated with labor clauses (tariffs and other “deep” clauses), and pseudo-Poisson maximum likelihood estimation. This paper combines all three with additional robustness checks. While the estimated effect of trade agreements is positive overall, the estimated marginal relationship between labor clauses and trade volume is generally negative but varies with the type of clauses. Freedom of Association, Forced and Child Labor, and International Labor Standards are consistently associated with higher trade flows. Clauses that are more likely to eliminate illicit trade, including clauses related to discrimination, protection of working conditions, and third-party monitoring exhibit a negative marginal relationship with trade flows. 2021-04-02T13:37:34Z 2021-04-02T13:37:34Z 2021-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/405441616682154606/Deep-Integration-in-Trade-Agreements-Labor-Clauses-Tariffs-and-Trade-Flows http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35352 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9599 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic DEEP TRADE AGREEMENT
LABOR STANDARDS
LABOR POLICY
GRAVITY MODEL
LABOR CLAUSE
CHILD LABOR
INTERNATIONAL LABOR STANDARD
FREEDOM OF ASSOCIATION
spellingShingle DEEP TRADE AGREEMENT
LABOR STANDARDS
LABOR POLICY
GRAVITY MODEL
LABOR CLAUSE
CHILD LABOR
INTERNATIONAL LABOR STANDARD
FREEDOM OF ASSOCIATION
Robertson, Raymond
Deep Integration in Trade Agreements : Labor Clauses, Tariffs, and Trade Flows
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9599
description Deepening preferential trade agreements extend coverage to social issues, including labor clauses. While there is a long history of debate over the intent of labor clauses, less is known about the impact of labor clauses. Recent studies show that labor clauses improve working conditions, but the impact on trade flows is still debated. Existing studies do not include a full set of fixed effects (to control for endogeneity and unobserved confounding factors), other dimensions of deep agreements that could be correlated with labor clauses (tariffs and other “deep” clauses), and pseudo-Poisson maximum likelihood estimation. This paper combines all three with additional robustness checks. While the estimated effect of trade agreements is positive overall, the estimated marginal relationship between labor clauses and trade volume is generally negative but varies with the type of clauses. Freedom of Association, Forced and Child Labor, and International Labor Standards are consistently associated with higher trade flows. Clauses that are more likely to eliminate illicit trade, including clauses related to discrimination, protection of working conditions, and third-party monitoring exhibit a negative marginal relationship with trade flows.
format Working Paper
author Robertson, Raymond
author_facet Robertson, Raymond
author_sort Robertson, Raymond
title Deep Integration in Trade Agreements : Labor Clauses, Tariffs, and Trade Flows
title_short Deep Integration in Trade Agreements : Labor Clauses, Tariffs, and Trade Flows
title_full Deep Integration in Trade Agreements : Labor Clauses, Tariffs, and Trade Flows
title_fullStr Deep Integration in Trade Agreements : Labor Clauses, Tariffs, and Trade Flows
title_full_unstemmed Deep Integration in Trade Agreements : Labor Clauses, Tariffs, and Trade Flows
title_sort deep integration in trade agreements : labor clauses, tariffs, and trade flows
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/405441616682154606/Deep-Integration-in-Trade-Agreements-Labor-Clauses-Tariffs-and-Trade-Flows
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35352
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