Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia
A forward-looking measure of “vulnerability to poverty” is estimated and a concerted effort is made to understand the sources of vulnerability in the drought-prone lowlands of Ethiopia. Using the Household Consumption Expenditure Survey and the Wel...
Main Authors: | , , |
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Format: | Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2021
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/876701612298436975/Quantifying-Vulnerability-to-Poverty-in-the-Drought-Prone-Lowlands-of-Ethiopia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35107 |
Summary: | A forward-looking measure of
“vulnerability to poverty” is estimated and a concerted
effort is made to understand the sources of vulnerability in
the drought-prone lowlands of Ethiopia. Using the Household
Consumption Expenditure Survey and the Welfare Monitoring
Survey of 2016, the analysis reveals that vulnerability is
remarkably higher in the drought-prone lowlands than in the
other ecological zones, although differences in poverty
rates are modest; the vulnerability rate is more than two
times larger than the poverty rate in the lowlands, while
the ratio is only 1.6 for the whole country. The analysis
also reveals important distinctions in the sources of
vulnerability. In the drought-prone lowlands: (i)
vulnerability due to aggregate shocks such as droughts is
lower than vulnerability due to idiosyncratic shocks in
absolute terms, but its relative importance is higher
compared with other ecological zones; and (ii)
poverty-induced vulnerability is relatively more important
than risk-induced vulnerability in contrast to other regions
where risk-induced vulnerability is higher than
poverty-induced vulnerability. These findings attest to the
unique nature of the drought-prone lowlands compared with
the other agroecological zones and points in favor of
policies and programs tailored specifically to the areas. |
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