Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies

Frequently, factors other than structural developments in technology and production efficiency drive changes in labor productivity in advanced and emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). This paper uses a new method to extract technology...

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Main Authors: Dieppe, Alistair, Francis, Neville, Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/499561611604841870/Technology-and-Demand-Drivers-of-Productivity-Dynamics-in-Developed-and-Emerging-Market-Economies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35072
id okr-10986-35072
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-350722022-09-20T00:10:57Z Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies Dieppe, Alistair Francis, Neville Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene PRODUCTIVITY DYNAMICS EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES DEMAND DRIVER TECHNOLOGY LABOR PRODUCTIVITY BUSINESS CYCLE ADVANCED ECONOMIES DEVELOPING ECONOMIES TECHNOLOGY DIFFUSION Frequently, factors other than structural developments in technology and production efficiency drive changes in labor productivity in advanced and emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). This paper uses a new method to extract technology shocks that excludes these influences, resulting in lasting improvements in labor productivity. The same methodology in turn is used to identify a stylized example of the effects of a demand shock on productivity. Technology innovations are accompanied by higher and more rapidly increasing rates of investment in EMDEs relative to advanced economies, suggesting that positive technological developments are often capital-embodied in the former economies. Employment falls in both advanced economies and EMDEs following positive technology developments, with the effect smaller but more persistent in EMDEs. Uncorrelated technological developments across economies suggest that global synchronization of labor productivity growth is due to cyclical (demand) influences. Demand drivers of labor productivity are found to have highly persistent effects in EMDEs and some advanced economies. Unlike technology shocks, however, demand shocks influence labor productivity only through the capital deepening channel, particularly in economies with low capacity for counter-cyclical fiscal policy. Overall, non-technological factors accounted for most of the fall in labor productivity growth during 2007-08 and around one-third of the longer-term productivity decline after the global financial crisis. 2021-01-28T15:46:41Z 2021-01-28T15:46:41Z 2021-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/499561611604841870/Technology-and-Demand-Drivers-of-Productivity-Dynamics-in-Developed-and-Emerging-Market-Economies http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35072 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9525 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic PRODUCTIVITY DYNAMICS
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
DEMAND DRIVER
TECHNOLOGY
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
BUSINESS CYCLE
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
TECHNOLOGY DIFFUSION
spellingShingle PRODUCTIVITY DYNAMICS
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
DEMAND DRIVER
TECHNOLOGY
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
BUSINESS CYCLE
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
TECHNOLOGY DIFFUSION
Dieppe, Alistair
Francis, Neville
Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene
Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9525
description Frequently, factors other than structural developments in technology and production efficiency drive changes in labor productivity in advanced and emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). This paper uses a new method to extract technology shocks that excludes these influences, resulting in lasting improvements in labor productivity. The same methodology in turn is used to identify a stylized example of the effects of a demand shock on productivity. Technology innovations are accompanied by higher and more rapidly increasing rates of investment in EMDEs relative to advanced economies, suggesting that positive technological developments are often capital-embodied in the former economies. Employment falls in both advanced economies and EMDEs following positive technology developments, with the effect smaller but more persistent in EMDEs. Uncorrelated technological developments across economies suggest that global synchronization of labor productivity growth is due to cyclical (demand) influences. Demand drivers of labor productivity are found to have highly persistent effects in EMDEs and some advanced economies. Unlike technology shocks, however, demand shocks influence labor productivity only through the capital deepening channel, particularly in economies with low capacity for counter-cyclical fiscal policy. Overall, non-technological factors accounted for most of the fall in labor productivity growth during 2007-08 and around one-third of the longer-term productivity decline after the global financial crisis.
format Working Paper
author Dieppe, Alistair
Francis, Neville
Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene
author_facet Dieppe, Alistair
Francis, Neville
Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene
author_sort Dieppe, Alistair
title Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies
title_short Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies
title_full Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies
title_fullStr Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies
title_full_unstemmed Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies
title_sort technology and demand drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/499561611604841870/Technology-and-Demand-Drivers-of-Productivity-Dynamics-in-Developed-and-Emerging-Market-Economies
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35072
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