Actual and Potential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific : Estimated Effects

This paper assesses and compares the economic impacts of four actual and potential free trade agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region: the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, the original Trans Pacific Partnership,...

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Main Authors: Ferrantino, Michael Joseph, Maliszewska, Maryla, Taran, Svitlana
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/599031607956041265/Actual-and-Potential-Trade-Agreements-in-the-Asia-Pacific-Estimated-Effects
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34940
id okr-10986-34940
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-349402022-09-20T00:09:53Z Actual and Potential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific : Estimated Effects Ferrantino, Michael Joseph Maliszewska, Maryla Taran, Svitlana TRADE AGREEMENT ASIA-PACIFIC TRADE REGIONAL TRADE TPP CPTPP RCEP TRADE AND INVESTMENT FTA TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP This paper assesses and compares the economic impacts of four actual and potential free trade agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region: the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, the original Trans Pacific Partnership, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, and the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific. Free trade areas with a larger scale and wider membership are expected to produce higher aggregate gains in increased gross domestic product and trade flows. U.S. withdrawal from the original Trans-Pacific Partnership reduced estimated gross domestic product gains for the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership countries by about half. For countries belonging to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership and also negotiating the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, the potential gains from an agreement with China and the Republic of Korea are substantial, but not as large as if the United States were to rejoin the original Trans-Pacific Partnership. On a sectoral basis, significant structural shifts are observed for food processing, wearing apparel, textiles, and transport equipment. 2020-12-17T15:12:31Z 2020-12-17T15:12:31Z 2020-12 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/599031607956041265/Actual-and-Potential-Trade-Agreements-in-the-Asia-Pacific-Estimated-Effects http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34940 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9496 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific East Asia North America Oceania
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TRADE AGREEMENT
ASIA-PACIFIC TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE
TPP
CPTPP
RCEP
TRADE AND INVESTMENT
FTA
TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP
spellingShingle TRADE AGREEMENT
ASIA-PACIFIC TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE
TPP
CPTPP
RCEP
TRADE AND INVESTMENT
FTA
TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP
Ferrantino, Michael Joseph
Maliszewska, Maryla
Taran, Svitlana
Actual and Potential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific : Estimated Effects
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
East Asia
North America
Oceania
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9496
description This paper assesses and compares the economic impacts of four actual and potential free trade agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region: the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, the original Trans Pacific Partnership, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, and the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific. Free trade areas with a larger scale and wider membership are expected to produce higher aggregate gains in increased gross domestic product and trade flows. U.S. withdrawal from the original Trans-Pacific Partnership reduced estimated gross domestic product gains for the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership countries by about half. For countries belonging to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership and also negotiating the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, the potential gains from an agreement with China and the Republic of Korea are substantial, but not as large as if the United States were to rejoin the original Trans-Pacific Partnership. On a sectoral basis, significant structural shifts are observed for food processing, wearing apparel, textiles, and transport equipment.
format Working Paper
author Ferrantino, Michael Joseph
Maliszewska, Maryla
Taran, Svitlana
author_facet Ferrantino, Michael Joseph
Maliszewska, Maryla
Taran, Svitlana
author_sort Ferrantino, Michael Joseph
title Actual and Potential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific : Estimated Effects
title_short Actual and Potential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific : Estimated Effects
title_full Actual and Potential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific : Estimated Effects
title_fullStr Actual and Potential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific : Estimated Effects
title_full_unstemmed Actual and Potential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific : Estimated Effects
title_sort actual and potential trade agreements in the asia-pacific : estimated effects
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/599031607956041265/Actual-and-Potential-Trade-Agreements-in-the-Asia-Pacific-Estimated-Effects
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34940
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