Nigeria Development Update, December 2020 : Rising to the Challenge - Nigeria's COVID Response

This report highlights how the COVID-19 (coronavirus) crisis has impacted Nigeria’s economy. In 2020, Nigeria’s economy is expected to experience its deepest recession since the 1980s due to the COVID-19-related disruptions, notably lower oil price...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/152691607607461391/Rising-to-the-Challenge-Nigerias-COVID-Response
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34921
id okr-10986-34921
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-349212021-04-23T14:02:11Z Nigeria Development Update, December 2020 : Rising to the Challenge - Nigeria's COVID Response World Bank ECONOMIC GROWTH RECESSION FOOD PRICES EXTERNAL SECTOR CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT FISCAL TRENDS MONETARY POLICY EXCHANGE RATE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK SOCIAL PROTECTION HEALTH SYSTEM RESPONSE EDUCATION GENDER GAP MIGRATION YOUTH EMPLOYMENT This report highlights how the COVID-19 (coronavirus) crisis has impacted Nigeria’s economy. In 2020, Nigeria’s economy is expected to experience its deepest recession since the 1980s due to the COVID-19-related disruptions, notably lower oil prices and remittances, enhanced risk aversion in global capital markets, and mobility restrictions. In the baseline scenario—which assumes further macroeconomic reforms and a gradual recovery in oil prices—Nigeria’s gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to contract by about 4 percent in 2020, growing modestly by 1.1 percent in 2021, and then recovering gradually towards the estimated population growth rate of 2.6 percent. With the rate of economic growth remaining below the population growth rate, per-capita incomes would continue declining and better full-time jobs will be much harder to find. This edition of the Nigeria Development Update takes stock of the recently implemented reforms and proposes policy options to both mitigate the impact of COVID-19 and foster a resilient, sustainable, and inclusive recovery. Managing the current crisis while strengthening the institutional and policy framework will require carefully sequenced reforms implemented over the immediate- and near-term. Robust mitigation and recovery policies would be based on five pillars: 1. Managing the domestic spread of COVID-19 until a vaccine is distributed; 2. Enhancing macroeconomic management to boost investor confidence; 3. Safeguarding and mobilizing revenues; 4. Reprioritizing public spending to protect critical development expenditures; and 5. Supporting economic activity and access to services and providing relief for poor and vulnerable communities. 2020-12-14T15:53:39Z 2020-12-14T15:53:39Z 2020-12 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/152691607607461391/Rising-to-the-Challenge-Nigerias-COVID-Response http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34921 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Africa Africa Western and Central (AFW) Nigeria
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
RECESSION
FOOD PRICES
EXTERNAL SECTOR
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
FISCAL TRENDS
MONETARY POLICY
EXCHANGE RATE
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
SOCIAL PROTECTION
HEALTH SYSTEM RESPONSE
EDUCATION
GENDER GAP
MIGRATION
YOUTH EMPLOYMENT
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
RECESSION
FOOD PRICES
EXTERNAL SECTOR
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
FISCAL TRENDS
MONETARY POLICY
EXCHANGE RATE
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
SOCIAL PROTECTION
HEALTH SYSTEM RESPONSE
EDUCATION
GENDER GAP
MIGRATION
YOUTH EMPLOYMENT
World Bank
Nigeria Development Update, December 2020 : Rising to the Challenge - Nigeria's COVID Response
geographic_facet Africa
Africa Western and Central (AFW)
Nigeria
description This report highlights how the COVID-19 (coronavirus) crisis has impacted Nigeria’s economy. In 2020, Nigeria’s economy is expected to experience its deepest recession since the 1980s due to the COVID-19-related disruptions, notably lower oil prices and remittances, enhanced risk aversion in global capital markets, and mobility restrictions. In the baseline scenario—which assumes further macroeconomic reforms and a gradual recovery in oil prices—Nigeria’s gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to contract by about 4 percent in 2020, growing modestly by 1.1 percent in 2021, and then recovering gradually towards the estimated population growth rate of 2.6 percent. With the rate of economic growth remaining below the population growth rate, per-capita incomes would continue declining and better full-time jobs will be much harder to find. This edition of the Nigeria Development Update takes stock of the recently implemented reforms and proposes policy options to both mitigate the impact of COVID-19 and foster a resilient, sustainable, and inclusive recovery. Managing the current crisis while strengthening the institutional and policy framework will require carefully sequenced reforms implemented over the immediate- and near-term. Robust mitigation and recovery policies would be based on five pillars: 1. Managing the domestic spread of COVID-19 until a vaccine is distributed; 2. Enhancing macroeconomic management to boost investor confidence; 3. Safeguarding and mobilizing revenues; 4. Reprioritizing public spending to protect critical development expenditures; and 5. Supporting economic activity and access to services and providing relief for poor and vulnerable communities.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Nigeria Development Update, December 2020 : Rising to the Challenge - Nigeria's COVID Response
title_short Nigeria Development Update, December 2020 : Rising to the Challenge - Nigeria's COVID Response
title_full Nigeria Development Update, December 2020 : Rising to the Challenge - Nigeria's COVID Response
title_fullStr Nigeria Development Update, December 2020 : Rising to the Challenge - Nigeria's COVID Response
title_full_unstemmed Nigeria Development Update, December 2020 : Rising to the Challenge - Nigeria's COVID Response
title_sort nigeria development update, december 2020 : rising to the challenge - nigeria's covid response
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/152691607607461391/Rising-to-the-Challenge-Nigerias-COVID-Response
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34921
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