Philippines Economic Update, December 2020 : Building a Resilient Recovery

The Philippine economy contracted by 10.0 percent, year-on-year, in the first three quarters of 2020, given the triple shock brought by the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. COVID-19 delivered a triple shock of a health crisis, strict contai...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/983051607354214738/Philippines-Economic-Update-Building-a-Resilient-Recovery
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34899
id okr-10986-34899
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-348992021-04-23T14:02:11Z Philippines Economic Update, December 2020 : Building a Resilient Recovery World Bank ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC SHOCK CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT EXCHANGE RATE EXTERNAL SECTOR FISCAL TRENDS MONETARY POLICY EMPLOYMENT POVERTY SHARED PROSPERITY ECONOMIC OUTLOOK RISKS DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT DISASTER RESILIENCE The Philippine economy contracted by 10.0 percent, year-on-year, in the first three quarters of 2020, given the triple shock brought by the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. COVID-19 delivered a triple shock of a health crisis, strict containment measures, and a global recession of unprecedented scale. The sharp contraction in the second quarter was driven by the steep dive in private domestic demand, deep contraction in public investment activities, and the collapse of trade due to the impact of strict containment measures domestically and globally. Most of the country entered a more relaxed community quarantine in mid-August with a gradual opening of businesses and government operations. Yet, the economy further contracted in the third quarter, albeit a modest improvement from the peak of the outbreak. Moreover, the country was hit by a series of strong typhoons which may cause delay on the pace of the recovery as economic activities were affected in some areas. This report will feature disaster risk management (DRM) challenges the country faces and policy recommendations to strengthen its fiscal, physical, and social resilience. The severity of the recession can be explained, first and foremost, by the collapse in private consumption, as containment measures led to a fall in employment and incomes. Private consumption contracted by 8.2 percent, its worst performance on record. This was in large part due to a combination of factors that crippled domestic demand, including record-high unemployment, declining incomes (including remittances), movement restrictions that suppressed consumption, and a historic decline in consumer confidence. The deepest contraction was registered in the consumption of non-essential goods and services and those that were affected by the implementation of strict containment measures, while essential goods such as food registered small positive growth. In particular, the combination of travel restrictions and weak consumer confidence which weighed on demand, resulted in a collapse in domestic tourism expenditures, which make up a fifth of private consumption. 2020-12-08T15:44:22Z 2020-12-08T15:44:22Z 2020-12-02 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/983051607354214738/Philippines-Economic-Update-Building-a-Resilient-Recovery http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34899 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling East Asia and Pacific Philippines
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC SHOCK
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
EXCHANGE RATE
EXTERNAL SECTOR
FISCAL TRENDS
MONETARY POLICY
EMPLOYMENT
POVERTY
SHARED PROSPERITY
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
RISKS
DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT
DISASTER RESILIENCE
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC SHOCK
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
EXCHANGE RATE
EXTERNAL SECTOR
FISCAL TRENDS
MONETARY POLICY
EMPLOYMENT
POVERTY
SHARED PROSPERITY
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
RISKS
DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT
DISASTER RESILIENCE
World Bank
Philippines Economic Update, December 2020 : Building a Resilient Recovery
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Philippines
description The Philippine economy contracted by 10.0 percent, year-on-year, in the first three quarters of 2020, given the triple shock brought by the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. COVID-19 delivered a triple shock of a health crisis, strict containment measures, and a global recession of unprecedented scale. The sharp contraction in the second quarter was driven by the steep dive in private domestic demand, deep contraction in public investment activities, and the collapse of trade due to the impact of strict containment measures domestically and globally. Most of the country entered a more relaxed community quarantine in mid-August with a gradual opening of businesses and government operations. Yet, the economy further contracted in the third quarter, albeit a modest improvement from the peak of the outbreak. Moreover, the country was hit by a series of strong typhoons which may cause delay on the pace of the recovery as economic activities were affected in some areas. This report will feature disaster risk management (DRM) challenges the country faces and policy recommendations to strengthen its fiscal, physical, and social resilience. The severity of the recession can be explained, first and foremost, by the collapse in private consumption, as containment measures led to a fall in employment and incomes. Private consumption contracted by 8.2 percent, its worst performance on record. This was in large part due to a combination of factors that crippled domestic demand, including record-high unemployment, declining incomes (including remittances), movement restrictions that suppressed consumption, and a historic decline in consumer confidence. The deepest contraction was registered in the consumption of non-essential goods and services and those that were affected by the implementation of strict containment measures, while essential goods such as food registered small positive growth. In particular, the combination of travel restrictions and weak consumer confidence which weighed on demand, resulted in a collapse in domestic tourism expenditures, which make up a fifth of private consumption.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Philippines Economic Update, December 2020 : Building a Resilient Recovery
title_short Philippines Economic Update, December 2020 : Building a Resilient Recovery
title_full Philippines Economic Update, December 2020 : Building a Resilient Recovery
title_fullStr Philippines Economic Update, December 2020 : Building a Resilient Recovery
title_full_unstemmed Philippines Economic Update, December 2020 : Building a Resilient Recovery
title_sort philippines economic update, december 2020 : building a resilient recovery
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/983051607354214738/Philippines-Economic-Update-Building-a-Resilient-Recovery
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34899
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