Opening-up Trajectories and Economic Recovery : Lessons after the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic

This paper analyzes the reopening process of countries in Europe and Central Asia after the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and provides evidence on the effects of different reopening trajectories and their timing and speed on economic recovery...

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Main Authors: Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, Lokshin, Michael, Torre, Ivan
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/655041606235025254/Opening-up-Trajectories-and-Economic-Recovery-Lessons-after-the-First-Wave-of-the-COVID-19-Pandemic
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34835
id okr-10986-34835
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-348352022-09-20T00:10:54Z Opening-up Trajectories and Economic Recovery : Lessons after the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic Demirguc-Kunt, Asli Lokshin, Michael Torre, Ivan CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC RECOVERY ECONOMIC IMPACT LOCKDOWN RE-OPENING This paper analyzes the reopening process of countries in Europe and Central Asia after the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and provides evidence on the effects of different reopening trajectories and their timing and speed on economic recovery. The analysis indicates that countries that adopted a gradual, staged reopening experienced stronger economic recovery compared with the countries that rushed into lifting the restrictive measures before the pandemic was under control. Postponing lifting the restrictions until after the pandemic's peak was reached has a positive impact on economic activity. Governance also matters: a higher level of trust in government is associated with increased economic activity among countries that carried out a gradual reopening process. There is also suggestive evidence that providing people objective data on the progress of the pandemic may speed up the recovery process. 2020-11-30T21:01:56Z 2020-11-30T21:01:56Z 2020-11 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/655041606235025254/Opening-up-Trajectories-and-Economic-Recovery-Lessons-after-the-First-Wave-of-the-COVID-19-Pandemic http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34835 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9480 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Europe and Central Asia Central Asia Eastern Europe Europe and Central Asia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC RECOVERY
ECONOMIC IMPACT
LOCKDOWN
RE-OPENING
spellingShingle CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC RECOVERY
ECONOMIC IMPACT
LOCKDOWN
RE-OPENING
Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
Lokshin, Michael
Torre, Ivan
Opening-up Trajectories and Economic Recovery : Lessons after the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Central Asia
Eastern Europe
Europe and Central Asia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9480
description This paper analyzes the reopening process of countries in Europe and Central Asia after the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and provides evidence on the effects of different reopening trajectories and their timing and speed on economic recovery. The analysis indicates that countries that adopted a gradual, staged reopening experienced stronger economic recovery compared with the countries that rushed into lifting the restrictive measures before the pandemic was under control. Postponing lifting the restrictions until after the pandemic's peak was reached has a positive impact on economic activity. Governance also matters: a higher level of trust in government is associated with increased economic activity among countries that carried out a gradual reopening process. There is also suggestive evidence that providing people objective data on the progress of the pandemic may speed up the recovery process.
format Working Paper
author Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
Lokshin, Michael
Torre, Ivan
author_facet Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
Lokshin, Michael
Torre, Ivan
author_sort Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
title Opening-up Trajectories and Economic Recovery : Lessons after the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_short Opening-up Trajectories and Economic Recovery : Lessons after the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_full Opening-up Trajectories and Economic Recovery : Lessons after the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_fullStr Opening-up Trajectories and Economic Recovery : Lessons after the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_full_unstemmed Opening-up Trajectories and Economic Recovery : Lessons after the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_sort opening-up trajectories and economic recovery : lessons after the first wave of the covid-19 pandemic
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/655041606235025254/Opening-up-Trajectories-and-Economic-Recovery-Lessons-after-the-First-Wave-of-the-COVID-19-Pandemic
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34835
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