COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia : Do Social Protection Programs Protect?

This paper assesses the impact of Ethiopia's flagship social protection program, the Productive Safety Net Program on the adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the food and nutrition security of households, mothers, and children. The ana...

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Main Authors: Abay, Kibrom A., Berhane, Guush, Hoddinott, John, Tafere, Kibrom
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/917941605204533596/COVID-19-and-Food-Security-in-Ethiopia-Do-Social-Protection-Programs-Protect
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34794
id okr-10986-34794
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-347942022-09-20T00:10:09Z COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia : Do Social Protection Programs Protect? Abay, Kibrom A. Berhane, Guush Hoddinott, John Tafere, Kibrom CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 SOCIAL PROTECTION FOOD SECURITY PANDEMIC RESPONSE DIET DIVERSITY PSNP SAFETY NETS FOOD GAP This paper assesses the impact of Ethiopia's flagship social protection program, the Productive Safety Net Program on the adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the food and nutrition security of households, mothers, and children. The analysis uses pre-pandemic, in-person household survey data and a post-pandemic phone survey. Two-thirds of the respondents reported that their incomes had fallen after the pandemic began, and almost half reported that their ability to satisfy their food needs had worsened. Employing a household fixed effects difference-in-difference approach, the study finds that household food insecurity increased by 11.7 percentage points and the size of the food gap by 0.47 months in the aftermath of the onset of the pandemic. Participation in the Productive Safety Net Program offsets virtually all of this adverse change -- the likelihood of becoming food insecure increased by only 2.4 percentage points for Productive Safety Net Program households and the duration of the food gap increased by only 0.13 month. The protective role of the program is greater for poorer households and those living in remote areas. The results are robust to various definitions of program participation, different estimators, and different ways of accounting for the non-randomness of mobile phone ownership. Productive Safety Net Program participants were less likely to reduce expenditures on health and education by 7.7 percentage points and less likely to reduce expenditures on agricultural inputs by 13 percentage points. By contrast, mothers' and children's diets changed little, despite some changes in the composition of diets, with consumption of animal source foods declining significantly. 2020-11-19T15:17:29Z 2020-11-19T15:17:29Z 2020-11 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/917941605204533596/COVID-19-and-Food-Security-in-Ethiopia-Do-Social-Protection-Programs-Protect http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34794 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9475 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE) Ethiopia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
SOCIAL PROTECTION
FOOD SECURITY
PANDEMIC RESPONSE
DIET DIVERSITY
PSNP
SAFETY NETS
FOOD GAP
spellingShingle CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
SOCIAL PROTECTION
FOOD SECURITY
PANDEMIC RESPONSE
DIET DIVERSITY
PSNP
SAFETY NETS
FOOD GAP
Abay, Kibrom A.
Berhane, Guush
Hoddinott, John
Tafere, Kibrom
COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia : Do Social Protection Programs Protect?
geographic_facet Africa
Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE)
Ethiopia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9475
description This paper assesses the impact of Ethiopia's flagship social protection program, the Productive Safety Net Program on the adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the food and nutrition security of households, mothers, and children. The analysis uses pre-pandemic, in-person household survey data and a post-pandemic phone survey. Two-thirds of the respondents reported that their incomes had fallen after the pandemic began, and almost half reported that their ability to satisfy their food needs had worsened. Employing a household fixed effects difference-in-difference approach, the study finds that household food insecurity increased by 11.7 percentage points and the size of the food gap by 0.47 months in the aftermath of the onset of the pandemic. Participation in the Productive Safety Net Program offsets virtually all of this adverse change -- the likelihood of becoming food insecure increased by only 2.4 percentage points for Productive Safety Net Program households and the duration of the food gap increased by only 0.13 month. The protective role of the program is greater for poorer households and those living in remote areas. The results are robust to various definitions of program participation, different estimators, and different ways of accounting for the non-randomness of mobile phone ownership. Productive Safety Net Program participants were less likely to reduce expenditures on health and education by 7.7 percentage points and less likely to reduce expenditures on agricultural inputs by 13 percentage points. By contrast, mothers' and children's diets changed little, despite some changes in the composition of diets, with consumption of animal source foods declining significantly.
format Working Paper
author Abay, Kibrom A.
Berhane, Guush
Hoddinott, John
Tafere, Kibrom
author_facet Abay, Kibrom A.
Berhane, Guush
Hoddinott, John
Tafere, Kibrom
author_sort Abay, Kibrom A.
title COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia : Do Social Protection Programs Protect?
title_short COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia : Do Social Protection Programs Protect?
title_full COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia : Do Social Protection Programs Protect?
title_fullStr COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia : Do Social Protection Programs Protect?
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 and Food Security in Ethiopia : Do Social Protection Programs Protect?
title_sort covid-19 and food security in ethiopia : do social protection programs protect?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/917941605204533596/COVID-19-and-Food-Security-in-Ethiopia-Do-Social-Protection-Programs-Protect
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34794
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