Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East

Innovations in water management and irrigated agriculture powered water-scarce Middle Eastern economies for millennia. However, as water becomes scarcer because of population growth and economic development, and even more erratic because of climate change, the region’s water security is coming under...

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Main Authors:	Taheripour, Farzad, Tyner, Wallace E., Sajedinia, Ehsanreza, Aguiar, Angel, Chepeliev, Maksym, Corong, Erwin, de Lima, Cicero Z., Haqiqi, Iman
Format:	Report
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:	CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT WATER SCARCITY CROP YIELD WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT WATER USE IRRIGATION TRANSBOUNDARY WATER WATER DEMAND
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34498

id	okr-10986-34498
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-344982021-05-25T09:58:27Z Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East Taheripour, Farzad Tyner, Wallace E. Sajedinia, Ehsanreza Aguiar, Angel Chepeliev, Maksym Corong, Erwin de Lima, Cicero Z. Haqiqi, Iman CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT WATER SCARCITY CROP YIELD WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT WATER USE IRRIGATION TRANSBOUNDARY WATER WATER DEMAND Innovations in water management and irrigated agriculture powered water-scarce Middle Eastern economies for millennia. However, as water becomes scarcer because of population growth and economic development, and even more erratic because of climate change, the region’s water security is coming under increasing threat. This report applies an economic model, the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium model, to assess the economic impacts of water scarcity for six Middle Eastern countries and also to examine how water-use efficiency improvements and trade can mitigate these impacts. A 20 percent reduction in water supply could decrease GDP by up to 10 percent, compared to 2016 levels. Furthermore, increased water scarcity could reduce labor demand by up to 12 percent and lead to significant land-use changes, including loss of beneficial hydrological services. The report emphasizes how the growing dependence on shared water resources reinforces the need to manage water across boundaries. The message is clear: unless new and transformative policies for sustainable, efficient and cooperative water management are promoted, water scarcity will negatively impact the region’s economic prospects and undermine its human and natural capital. 2020-09-23T20:38:12Z 2020-09-23T20:38:12Z 2020-09-28 Report http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34498 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Working Paper
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
topic	CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT WATER SCARCITY CROP YIELD WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT WATER USE IRRIGATION TRANSBOUNDARY WATER WATER DEMAND
spellingShingle	CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT WATER SCARCITY CROP YIELD WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT WATER USE IRRIGATION TRANSBOUNDARY WATER WATER DEMAND Taheripour, Farzad Tyner, Wallace E. Sajedinia, Ehsanreza Aguiar, Angel Chepeliev, Maksym Corong, Erwin de Lima, Cicero Z. Haqiqi, Iman Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East
description	Innovations in water management and irrigated agriculture powered water-scarce Middle Eastern economies for millennia. However, as water becomes scarcer because of population growth and economic development, and even more erratic because of climate change, the region’s water security is coming under increasing threat. This report applies an economic model, the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium model, to assess the economic impacts of water scarcity for six Middle Eastern countries and also to examine how water-use efficiency improvements and trade can mitigate these impacts. A 20 percent reduction in water supply could decrease GDP by up to 10 percent, compared to 2016 levels. Furthermore, increased water scarcity could reduce labor demand by up to 12 percent and lead to significant land-use changes, including loss of beneficial hydrological services. The report emphasizes how the growing dependence on shared water resources reinforces the need to manage water across boundaries. The message is clear: unless new and transformative policies for sustainable, efficient and cooperative water management are promoted, water scarcity will negatively impact the region’s economic prospects and undermine its human and natural capital.
format	Report
author	Taheripour, Farzad Tyner, Wallace E. Sajedinia, Ehsanreza Aguiar, Angel Chepeliev, Maksym Corong, Erwin de Lima, Cicero Z. Haqiqi, Iman
author_facet	Taheripour, Farzad Tyner, Wallace E. Sajedinia, Ehsanreza Aguiar, Angel Chepeliev, Maksym Corong, Erwin de Lima, Cicero Z. Haqiqi, Iman
author_sort	Taheripour, Farzad
title	Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East
title_short	Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East
title_full	Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East
title_fullStr	Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East
title_full_unstemmed	Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East
title_sort	water in the balance : the economic impacts of climate change and water scarcity in the middle east
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2020
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34498
_version_	1764481029877268480

Water in the Balance : The Economic Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Middle East

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