Estimates of COVID-19 Impacts on Learning and Earning in Indonesia : How to Turn the Tide
The authors use the World Bank’s recently developed country tool for simulating Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) impacts on learning and schooling outcomes and data from the forthcoming Indonesia education service delivery indicator survey to simulate a...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2020
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/184651597383628008/Main-Report http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34378 |
| Summary: | The authors use the World Bank’s
recently developed country tool for simulating Coronavirus
2019 (COVID-19) impacts on learning and schooling outcomes
and data from the forthcoming Indonesia education service
delivery indicator survey to simulate and contextualize the
potential impact of COVID-19 school closures on learning
outcomes, proficiency levels, enrollments, and expected
earnings for Indonesian students in primary and secondary
school. The authors estimate that Indonesian children have
already lost 11 points on the program for international
student assessment (PISA) reading scale and United States
(U.S.) 249 dollars in future annual individual earnings due
to the four-month closure period from March 24 to the end of
July 2020. The authors provide estimates for six- and
eight-month closure scenarios, showing that these losses are
expected to increase in the coming months as schools
gradually re-open (and possibly re-close). To turn the tide
of these human capital losses, districts, provinces, and the
central ministries should prepare for both improved
face-to-face instruction, as well as improved quality of
distance education, in order to recapture lost learning and
improve overall system quality and resilience to possible
future shocks. |
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