Biofuels and Climate Change Mitigation : A CGE Analysis Incorporating Land-Use Change
The question of whether biofuels help mitigate climate change has attracted much debate in the literature. Using a global computable general equilibrium model that explicitly represents land-use change impacts due to the expansion of biofuels, this...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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2012
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| Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110602160352 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3435 |
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okr-10986-34352021-04-23T14:02:09Z Biofuels and Climate Change Mitigation : A CGE Analysis Incorporating Land-Use Change Timilsina, Govinda R. Mevel, Simon ABOVE GROUND BIOMASS ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AMAZONIAN RAINFOREST ANNUAL EMISSION ANNUAL EMISSIONS ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC EMISSIONS BIODIVERSITY BIOMASS CAPITAL STRUCTURE CARBON CARBON CONTENT CARBON DEBT CARBON EMISSIONS CARBON MASS CARBON POOLS CARBON STOCK CELLULOSIC ETHANOL CHANGING LAND USE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION CO2 COAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL CONSERVATION CONSERVATION RESERVE PROGRAM CONSUMPTION OF FOSSIL CONVERSION OF LAND CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS CUMULATIVE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS DEFORESTATION ACTIVITIES DIESEL DOMESTIC SUPPLY ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC SECTORS ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMISSION EMISSION COEFFICIENTS EMISSION FACTOR EMISSION FACTORS EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSIONS DATA EMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION EMISSIONS FROM LAND-USE CHANGE EMISSIONS FROM RICE FIELDS EMISSIONS REDUCTION ENERGY BALANCE ENERGY CAPITAL ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION ENERGY POLICY ENERGY PRICE ENERGY PRICES ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ETHANOL ETHANOL FROM SUGARCANE FEEDSTOCKS FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOREST FOREST LAND FOREST LANDS FOREST PROTECTION FOREST STOCK FOREST STOCKS FORESTRY FORESTS FOSSIL FUEL FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION FOSSIL FUELS FREE TRADE FREEZE FUEL CONSUMPTION FUEL SUBSTITUTION GAS RESERVES GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GHG GHGS GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORIES GREENHOUSE GASES GREENHOUSE GASES EMISSIONS HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES IMPORTS INCOME INDIRECT EMISSIONS INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY IPCC LABOR SUPPLY LAND -USE LAND AREA LAND CLEARING LAND CONVERSION LAND DATA LAND USE LAND USE CHANGE LAND USE CHANGES LAND-USE LAND-USE EMISSIONS METHANE METHANE EMISSIONS MITIGATION POTENTIAL NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL FORESTS NATURAL GAS NITROUS OXIDE OIL OILS PASTURE LAND RAIN RAINFOREST LOSS RATE OF DEFORESTATION REDUCTION OF EMISSIONS REVENUE NEUTRAL SCENARIOS SOIL CARBON TAX RATES TOTAL DEMAND TROPICAL RAIN FORESTS The question of whether biofuels help mitigate climate change has attracted much debate in the literature. Using a global computable general equilibrium model that explicitly represents land-use change impacts due to the expansion of biofuels, this study attempts to shed some light on this question. The study shows that if biofuel mandates and targets currently announced by more than 40 countries around the world are implemented by 2020 using crop feedstocks, and if both forests and pasture lands are used to meet the new land demands for biofuel expansion, this would cause a net increase of greenhouse gas emissions released to the atmosphere until 2043, since the cumulative greenhouse gas emissions released through land-use change would exceed the reduction of emissions due to replacement of gasoline and diesel until then. However, if the use of forest lands is avoided by channeling only pasture lands to meet the demand for new lands, a net increase of cumulative greenhouse gas emissions would occur but would cease by 2021, only a year after the assumed full implementation of the mandates and targets. The study also shows, contrary to common perceptions, that the rate of deforestation does not increase with the rate of biofuel expansion; instead, the marginal rate of deforestation and corresponding land-use emissions decrease even if the production of biofuels increases. 2012-03-19T18:02:25Z 2012-03-19T18:02:25Z 2011-06-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110602160352 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3435 English Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5672 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
ABOVE GROUND BIOMASS ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AMAZONIAN RAINFOREST ANNUAL EMISSION ANNUAL EMISSIONS ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC EMISSIONS BIODIVERSITY BIOMASS CAPITAL STRUCTURE CARBON CARBON CONTENT CARBON DEBT CARBON EMISSIONS CARBON MASS CARBON POOLS CARBON STOCK CELLULOSIC ETHANOL CHANGING LAND USE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION CO2 COAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL CONSERVATION CONSERVATION RESERVE PROGRAM CONSUMPTION OF FOSSIL CONVERSION OF LAND CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS CUMULATIVE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS DEFORESTATION ACTIVITIES DIESEL DOMESTIC SUPPLY ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC SECTORS ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMISSION EMISSION COEFFICIENTS EMISSION FACTOR EMISSION FACTORS EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSIONS DATA EMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION EMISSIONS FROM LAND-USE CHANGE EMISSIONS FROM RICE FIELDS EMISSIONS REDUCTION ENERGY BALANCE ENERGY CAPITAL ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION ENERGY POLICY ENERGY PRICE ENERGY PRICES ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ETHANOL ETHANOL FROM SUGARCANE FEEDSTOCKS FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOREST FOREST LAND FOREST LANDS FOREST PROTECTION FOREST STOCK FOREST STOCKS FORESTRY FORESTS FOSSIL FUEL FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION FOSSIL FUELS FREE TRADE FREEZE FUEL CONSUMPTION FUEL SUBSTITUTION GAS RESERVES GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GHG GHGS GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORIES GREENHOUSE GASES GREENHOUSE GASES EMISSIONS HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES IMPORTS INCOME INDIRECT EMISSIONS INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY IPCC LABOR SUPPLY LAND -USE LAND AREA LAND CLEARING LAND CONVERSION LAND DATA LAND USE LAND USE CHANGE LAND USE CHANGES LAND-USE LAND-USE EMISSIONS METHANE METHANE EMISSIONS MITIGATION POTENTIAL NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL FORESTS NATURAL GAS NITROUS OXIDE OIL OILS PASTURE LAND RAIN RAINFOREST LOSS RATE OF DEFORESTATION REDUCTION OF EMISSIONS REVENUE NEUTRAL SCENARIOS SOIL CARBON TAX RATES TOTAL DEMAND TROPICAL RAIN FORESTS |
| spellingShingle |
ABOVE GROUND BIOMASS ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AMAZONIAN RAINFOREST ANNUAL EMISSION ANNUAL EMISSIONS ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC EMISSIONS BIODIVERSITY BIOMASS CAPITAL STRUCTURE CARBON CARBON CONTENT CARBON DEBT CARBON EMISSIONS CARBON MASS CARBON POOLS CARBON STOCK CELLULOSIC ETHANOL CHANGING LAND USE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION CO2 COAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL CONSERVATION CONSERVATION RESERVE PROGRAM CONSUMPTION OF FOSSIL CONVERSION OF LAND CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS CUMULATIVE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS DEFORESTATION ACTIVITIES DIESEL DOMESTIC SUPPLY ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC SECTORS ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMISSION EMISSION COEFFICIENTS EMISSION FACTOR EMISSION FACTORS EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSIONS DATA EMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION EMISSIONS FROM LAND-USE CHANGE EMISSIONS FROM RICE FIELDS EMISSIONS REDUCTION ENERGY BALANCE ENERGY CAPITAL ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION ENERGY POLICY ENERGY PRICE ENERGY PRICES ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ETHANOL ETHANOL FROM SUGARCANE FEEDSTOCKS FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOREST FOREST LAND FOREST LANDS FOREST PROTECTION FOREST STOCK FOREST STOCKS FORESTRY FORESTS FOSSIL FUEL FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION FOSSIL FUELS FREE TRADE FREEZE FUEL CONSUMPTION FUEL SUBSTITUTION GAS RESERVES GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GHG GHGS GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORIES GREENHOUSE GASES GREENHOUSE GASES EMISSIONS HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES IMPORTS INCOME INDIRECT EMISSIONS INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY IPCC LABOR SUPPLY LAND -USE LAND AREA LAND CLEARING LAND CONVERSION LAND DATA LAND USE LAND USE CHANGE LAND USE CHANGES LAND-USE LAND-USE EMISSIONS METHANE METHANE EMISSIONS MITIGATION POTENTIAL NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL FORESTS NATURAL GAS NITROUS OXIDE OIL OILS PASTURE LAND RAIN RAINFOREST LOSS RATE OF DEFORESTATION REDUCTION OF EMISSIONS REVENUE NEUTRAL SCENARIOS SOIL CARBON TAX RATES TOTAL DEMAND TROPICAL RAIN FORESTS Timilsina, Govinda R. Mevel, Simon Biofuels and Climate Change Mitigation : A CGE Analysis Incorporating Land-Use Change |
| geographic_facet |
The World Region |
| relation |
Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change
Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5672 |
| description |
The question of whether biofuels help
mitigate climate change has attracted much debate in the
literature. Using a global computable general equilibrium
model that explicitly represents land-use change impacts due
to the expansion of biofuels, this study attempts to shed
some light on this question. The study shows that if biofuel
mandates and targets currently announced by more than 40
countries around the world are implemented by 2020 using
crop feedstocks, and if both forests and pasture lands are
used to meet the new land demands for biofuel expansion,
this would cause a net increase of greenhouse gas emissions
released to the atmosphere until 2043, since the cumulative
greenhouse gas emissions released through land-use change
would exceed the reduction of emissions due to replacement
of gasoline and diesel until then. However, if the use of
forest lands is avoided by channeling only pasture lands to
meet the demand for new lands, a net increase of cumulative
greenhouse gas emissions would occur but would cease by
2021, only a year after the assumed full implementation of
the mandates and targets. The study also shows, contrary to
common perceptions, that the rate of deforestation does not
increase with the rate of biofuel expansion; instead, the
marginal rate of deforestation and corresponding land-use
emissions decrease even if the production of biofuels increases. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Timilsina, Govinda R. Mevel, Simon |
| author_facet |
Timilsina, Govinda R. Mevel, Simon |
| author_sort |
Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| title |
Biofuels and Climate Change Mitigation : A CGE Analysis Incorporating Land-Use Change |
| title_short |
Biofuels and Climate Change Mitigation : A CGE Analysis Incorporating Land-Use Change |
| title_full |
Biofuels and Climate Change Mitigation : A CGE Analysis Incorporating Land-Use Change |
| title_fullStr |
Biofuels and Climate Change Mitigation : A CGE Analysis Incorporating Land-Use Change |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Biofuels and Climate Change Mitigation : A CGE Analysis Incorporating Land-Use Change |
| title_sort |
biofuels and climate change mitigation : a cge analysis incorporating land-use change |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110602160352 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3435 |
| _version_ |
1764386993863655424 |