Somalia Economic Update, June 2020 : Impact of COVID-19 - Policies to Manage the Crisis and Strengthen Economic Recovery

Before the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) pandemic, Somalia’s economy was on an upward trajectory, recovering from the 2016/17 drought. The economy grew at an estimated rate of 2.9 percent in 2019, on par with population growth, and was projected to grow a...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/252881595627954924/Somalia-Economic-Update-Impact-of-COVID-19-Policies-to-Manage-the-Crisis-and-Strengthen-Economic-Recovery
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34239
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spelling okr-10986-342392021-06-14T09:56:33Z Somalia Economic Update, June 2020 : Impact of COVID-19 - Policies to Manage the Crisis and Strengthen Economic Recovery World Bank COMBATING THE FINANCING OF TERRORISM ECONOMIC GROWTH RISKS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT CRISIS MANAGEMENT SECURITY SECTOR REFORM FISCAL TRENDS CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT PANDEMIC RESPONSE Before the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) pandemic, Somalia’s economy was on an upward trajectory, recovering from the 2016/17 drought. The economy grew at an estimated rate of 2.9 percent in 2019, on par with population growth, and was projected to grow at 3.2 percent in 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic has interrupted Somalia’s economic recovery. The crisis will have a large negative impact on real GDP growth in 2020, affecting the economy through a combination of supply and demand shocks. As a result of shutdowns, global supply chains have disrupted imports of consumption and capital goods from Somalia’s trading partners (mainly China, the United Arab Emirates, India, Turkey, and Oman); cancellations of the 2020 Hajj and export bans by Saudi Arabia have tamped down demand for exports (mostly live animals); and the global recession and travel restrictions/flight suspensions are limiting remittance flows into Somalia. The economy, which is driven mainly by the private sector, is exposed to increased business vulnerabilities, interruption of supply chains, decreased capital and venture inflows, diminished access to financing, and shortages of basic raw materials. The pandemic is projected to push the economy into contraction, increase fiscal pressures, and deepen poverty in 2020. The economy is projected to contract by 2.5 percent in 2020. A slowdown in economic activities, declining remittances, falling exports, and the government-mandated closures of airports and businesses to contain the spread of the virus are reducing household income. Household consumption will fall sharply and rapidly with supply disruptions. Panic buying led to an uptick in prices in an economy that depends on imports even for food products at the start of the pandemic, but this has eased. 2020-07-29T18:43:33Z 2020-07-29T18:43:33Z 2020-06 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/252881595627954924/Somalia-Economic-Update-Impact-of-COVID-19-Policies-to-Manage-the-Crisis-and-Strengthen-Economic-Recovery http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34239 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Africa Somalia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic COMBATING THE FINANCING OF TERRORISM
ECONOMIC GROWTH
RISKS
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
CRISIS MANAGEMENT
SECURITY SECTOR REFORM
FISCAL TRENDS
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
PANDEMIC RESPONSE
spellingShingle COMBATING THE FINANCING OF TERRORISM
ECONOMIC GROWTH
RISKS
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
CRISIS MANAGEMENT
SECURITY SECTOR REFORM
FISCAL TRENDS
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
PANDEMIC RESPONSE
World Bank
Somalia Economic Update, June 2020 : Impact of COVID-19 - Policies to Manage the Crisis and Strengthen Economic Recovery
geographic_facet Africa
Somalia
description Before the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) pandemic, Somalia’s economy was on an upward trajectory, recovering from the 2016/17 drought. The economy grew at an estimated rate of 2.9 percent in 2019, on par with population growth, and was projected to grow at 3.2 percent in 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic has interrupted Somalia’s economic recovery. The crisis will have a large negative impact on real GDP growth in 2020, affecting the economy through a combination of supply and demand shocks. As a result of shutdowns, global supply chains have disrupted imports of consumption and capital goods from Somalia’s trading partners (mainly China, the United Arab Emirates, India, Turkey, and Oman); cancellations of the 2020 Hajj and export bans by Saudi Arabia have tamped down demand for exports (mostly live animals); and the global recession and travel restrictions/flight suspensions are limiting remittance flows into Somalia. The economy, which is driven mainly by the private sector, is exposed to increased business vulnerabilities, interruption of supply chains, decreased capital and venture inflows, diminished access to financing, and shortages of basic raw materials. The pandemic is projected to push the economy into contraction, increase fiscal pressures, and deepen poverty in 2020. The economy is projected to contract by 2.5 percent in 2020. A slowdown in economic activities, declining remittances, falling exports, and the government-mandated closures of airports and businesses to contain the spread of the virus are reducing household income. Household consumption will fall sharply and rapidly with supply disruptions. Panic buying led to an uptick in prices in an economy that depends on imports even for food products at the start of the pandemic, but this has eased.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Somalia Economic Update, June 2020 : Impact of COVID-19 - Policies to Manage the Crisis and Strengthen Economic Recovery
title_short Somalia Economic Update, June 2020 : Impact of COVID-19 - Policies to Manage the Crisis and Strengthen Economic Recovery
title_full Somalia Economic Update, June 2020 : Impact of COVID-19 - Policies to Manage the Crisis and Strengthen Economic Recovery
title_fullStr Somalia Economic Update, June 2020 : Impact of COVID-19 - Policies to Manage the Crisis and Strengthen Economic Recovery
title_full_unstemmed Somalia Economic Update, June 2020 : Impact of COVID-19 - Policies to Manage the Crisis and Strengthen Economic Recovery
title_sort somalia economic update, june 2020 : impact of covid-19 - policies to manage the crisis and strengthen economic recovery
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/252881595627954924/Somalia-Economic-Update-Impact-of-COVID-19-Policies-to-Manage-the-Crisis-and-Strengthen-Economic-Recovery
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34239
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