Does It Matter Who You Sign With? Comparing the Impacts of North-South and South-South Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade

Free trade agreements lead to a rise in bilateral trade regardless of whether the signatories are developed or developing countries. Furthermore, the percentage increase in bilateral trade is higher for South-South agreements than for North-South a...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Behar, Alberto, Cirera i Criville, Laia
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
GDP
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110406081055
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3392
id okr-10986-3392
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABSOLUTE VALUE
AGGREGATE TRADE
AGRICULTURE
BARRIERS TO IMPORTS
BILATERAL TRADE
BLOC TRADE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
CHANGES IN TRADE
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMON MARKET
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITION FRAMEWORK
COMPETITION POLICY
CONSUMERS
COST REDUCTIONS
COUNTRY DUMMIES
CURRENCY
CURRENCY UNION
CUSTOMS
CUSTOMS UNION
CUSTOMS UNIONS
DATE OF ENTRY INTO FORCE
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC RELATIONS
ECONOMIC SIZE
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS RESEARCH
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EUROPEAN UNION
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL TARIFF
EXTERNAL TARIFFS
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
FREE TRADE AREA
FREE TRADE AREAS
FREE TRADE ASSOCIATION
FREE TRADE ZONES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL MARKET
GLOBAL TRADE
GRAVITY EQUATION
GRAVITY MODEL
GRAVITY MODELS
HARMONIZATION
IMPACT OF TRADE
INEQUALITY
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS
INTERNAL TRADE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LIBERALIZATIONS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MARKET ACCESS
MATURE MARKETS
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
MULTILATERAL TRADE
MULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
MULTIPLIERS
NATIONAL INCOME
OPPORTUNITY COST
OUTPUT
PARTICULAR COUNTRIES
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POTENTIAL BENEFITS
PREFERENTIAL AGREEMENTS
PREFERENTIAL TRADE
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENT
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
PREFERENTIAL TRADING ARRANGEMENTS
PROTECTIONIST
REAL GDP
RED TAPE
REGIONAL AGREEMENTS
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
REGIONAL TRADE ARRANGEMENTS
REGIONALISM
REGIONALIZATION
RESTRICTIVE RULES OF ORIGIN
SIGNATORY COUNTRIES
TARIFF SCHEDULES
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE AGREEMENTS
TRADE BARRIER
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE CONCESSIONS
TRADE COSTS
TRADE CREATION
TRADE DIVERSION
TRADE EFFECTS
TRADE FACILITATION
TRADE FLOWS
TRADE INTEGRATION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE MORE
TRADE PARTNERS
TRADE POLICY
TRADE POLICY REFORMS
TRADE VOLUME
TRADE VOLUMES
TRADING BLOCS
TRADING SYSTEM
TRANSFER OF TECHNOLOGY
TRANSPORT COSTS
UTILITY FUNCTION
VOLUME OF TRADE
WELFARE GAINS
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD ECONOMY
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
spellingShingle ABSOLUTE VALUE
AGGREGATE TRADE
AGRICULTURE
BARRIERS TO IMPORTS
BILATERAL TRADE
BLOC TRADE
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
CHANGES IN TRADE
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMON MARKET
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITION FRAMEWORK
COMPETITION POLICY
CONSUMERS
COST REDUCTIONS
COUNTRY DUMMIES
CURRENCY
CURRENCY UNION
CUSTOMS
CUSTOMS UNION
CUSTOMS UNIONS
DATE OF ENTRY INTO FORCE
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC RELATIONS
ECONOMIC SIZE
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS RESEARCH
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EUROPEAN UNION
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL TARIFF
EXTERNAL TARIFFS
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
FREE TRADE AREA
FREE TRADE AREAS
FREE TRADE ASSOCIATION
FREE TRADE ZONES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL MARKET
GLOBAL TRADE
GRAVITY EQUATION
GRAVITY MODEL
GRAVITY MODELS
HARMONIZATION
IMPACT OF TRADE
INEQUALITY
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS
INTERNAL TRADE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LIBERALIZATIONS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MARKET ACCESS
MATURE MARKETS
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
MULTILATERAL TRADE
MULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
MULTIPLIERS
NATIONAL INCOME
OPPORTUNITY COST
OUTPUT
PARTICULAR COUNTRIES
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POTENTIAL BENEFITS
PREFERENTIAL AGREEMENTS
PREFERENTIAL TRADE
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENT
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
PREFERENTIAL TRADING ARRANGEMENTS
PROTECTIONIST
REAL GDP
RED TAPE
REGIONAL AGREEMENTS
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
REGIONAL TRADE ARRANGEMENTS
REGIONALISM
REGIONALIZATION
RESTRICTIVE RULES OF ORIGIN
SIGNATORY COUNTRIES
TARIFF SCHEDULES
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE AGREEMENTS
TRADE BARRIER
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE CONCESSIONS
TRADE COSTS
TRADE CREATION
TRADE DIVERSION
TRADE EFFECTS
TRADE FACILITATION
TRADE FLOWS
TRADE INTEGRATION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE MORE
TRADE PARTNERS
TRADE POLICY
TRADE POLICY REFORMS
TRADE VOLUME
TRADE VOLUMES
TRADING BLOCS
TRADING SYSTEM
TRANSFER OF TECHNOLOGY
TRANSPORT COSTS
UTILITY FUNCTION
VOLUME OF TRADE
WELFARE GAINS
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD ECONOMY
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
Behar, Alberto
Cirera i Criville, Laia
Does It Matter Who You Sign With? Comparing the Impacts of North-South and South-South Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5626
description Free trade agreements lead to a rise in bilateral trade regardless of whether the signatories are developed or developing countries. Furthermore, the percentage increase in bilateral trade is higher for South-South agreements than for North-South agreements. In this paper, the results are robust across a number of gravity model specifications in which the analysis controls for the endogeneity of free trade agreements (with bilateral fixed effects) and also takes account of multilateral resistance in both estimation (with country-time fixed effects) and comparative statics (analytically). The analytical model shows that multilateral resistance dampens the impact of free trade agreements on trade by less in South-South agreements than in North-South agreements, which accentuates the difference implied by the gravity model coefficients, and that this difference gets larger as the number of signatories rises. For example, allowing for lags and multilateral resistance, a four-country North-South agreement raises bilateral trade by 53 percent while the analogous South-South impact is 107 percent.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Behar, Alberto
Cirera i Criville, Laia
author_facet Behar, Alberto
Cirera i Criville, Laia
author_sort Behar, Alberto
title Does It Matter Who You Sign With? Comparing the Impacts of North-South and South-South Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade
title_short Does It Matter Who You Sign With? Comparing the Impacts of North-South and South-South Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade
title_full Does It Matter Who You Sign With? Comparing the Impacts of North-South and South-South Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade
title_fullStr Does It Matter Who You Sign With? Comparing the Impacts of North-South and South-South Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade
title_full_unstemmed Does It Matter Who You Sign With? Comparing the Impacts of North-South and South-South Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade
title_sort does it matter who you sign with? comparing the impacts of north-south and south-south trade agreements on bilateral trade
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110406081055
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3392
_version_ 1764386910053072896
spelling okr-10986-33922021-04-23T14:02:09Z Does It Matter Who You Sign With? Comparing the Impacts of North-South and South-South Trade Agreements on Bilateral Trade Behar, Alberto Cirera i Criville, Laia ABSOLUTE VALUE AGGREGATE TRADE AGRICULTURE BARRIERS TO IMPORTS BILATERAL TRADE BLOC TRADE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT CHANGES IN TRADE COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMON MARKET COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPETITION FRAMEWORK COMPETITION POLICY CONSUMERS COST REDUCTIONS COUNTRY DUMMIES CURRENCY CURRENCY UNION CUSTOMS CUSTOMS UNION CUSTOMS UNIONS DATE OF ENTRY INTO FORCE DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY ECONOMIC INTEGRATION ECONOMIC REFORM ECONOMIC RELATIONS ECONOMIC SIZE ECONOMIC THEORY ECONOMICS RESEARCH ECONOMIES OF SCALE ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EUROPEAN UNION EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES EXCHANGE RATES EXPORTS EXTERNAL TARIFF EXTERNAL TARIFFS FACTOR ENDOWMENTS FEDERAL RESERVE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK FINANCIAL SUPPORT FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENT FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS FREE TRADE AREA FREE TRADE AREAS FREE TRADE ASSOCIATION FREE TRADE ZONES FUTURE RESEARCH GDP GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL MARKET GLOBAL TRADE GRAVITY EQUATION GRAVITY MODEL GRAVITY MODELS HARMONIZATION IMPACT OF TRADE INEQUALITY INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS INTERNAL TRADE INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LIBERALIZATIONS LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MARKET ACCESS MATURE MARKETS MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES MULTILATERAL TRADE MULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION MULTIPLIERS NATIONAL INCOME OPPORTUNITY COST OUTPUT PARTICULAR COUNTRIES POLICY RESEARCH POLITICAL ECONOMY POTENTIAL BENEFITS PREFERENTIAL AGREEMENTS PREFERENTIAL TRADE PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENT PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS PREFERENTIAL TRADING ARRANGEMENTS PROTECTIONIST REAL GDP RED TAPE REGIONAL AGREEMENTS REGIONAL INTEGRATION REGIONAL TRADE REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS REGIONAL TRADE ARRANGEMENTS REGIONALISM REGIONALIZATION RESTRICTIVE RULES OF ORIGIN SIGNATORY COUNTRIES TARIFF SCHEDULES TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE AGREEMENT TRADE AGREEMENTS TRADE BARRIER TRADE BARRIERS TRADE CONCESSIONS TRADE COSTS TRADE CREATION TRADE DIVERSION TRADE EFFECTS TRADE FACILITATION TRADE FLOWS TRADE INTEGRATION TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE MORE TRADE PARTNERS TRADE POLICY TRADE POLICY REFORMS TRADE VOLUME TRADE VOLUMES TRADING BLOCS TRADING SYSTEM TRANSFER OF TECHNOLOGY TRANSPORT COSTS UTILITY FUNCTION VOLUME OF TRADE WELFARE GAINS WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLD ECONOMY WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION Free trade agreements lead to a rise in bilateral trade regardless of whether the signatories are developed or developing countries. Furthermore, the percentage increase in bilateral trade is higher for South-South agreements than for North-South agreements. In this paper, the results are robust across a number of gravity model specifications in which the analysis controls for the endogeneity of free trade agreements (with bilateral fixed effects) and also takes account of multilateral resistance in both estimation (with country-time fixed effects) and comparative statics (analytically). The analytical model shows that multilateral resistance dampens the impact of free trade agreements on trade by less in South-South agreements than in North-South agreements, which accentuates the difference implied by the gravity model coefficients, and that this difference gets larger as the number of signatories rises. For example, allowing for lags and multilateral resistance, a four-country North-South agreement raises bilateral trade by 53 percent while the analogous South-South impact is 107 percent. 2012-03-19T18:01:39Z 2012-03-19T18:01:39Z 2011-04-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110406081055 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3392 English Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5626 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region