Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study
This allocative efficiency analysis intended to assess Mozambique's progress towards TB strategic targets, and provide decision support for TB strategy using a combined TB epidemiological component and an economic and program analysis framewor...
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2020
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/576571591894623493/Optimizing-Investments-in-Mozambiques-Tuberculosis-Response-Results-of-a-Tuberculosis-Efficiency-Study http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33907 |
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okr-10986-339072021-05-25T09:54:53Z Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study Mozambique National TB Program World Bank Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences Burnet Institute TUBERCULOSIS EPIDEMIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS HIV ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY This allocative efficiency analysis intended to assess Mozambique's progress towards TB strategic targets, and provide decision support for TB strategy using a combined TB epidemiological component and an economic and program analysis framework (Optima TB). Input data were collected from NTP sources, the WHO, and various TB implementers. Our model indicates declining future trends in TB prevalence, incidence and related deaths. However, the case detection rate (52 percent) remains one of the biggest hurdles. Mozambique, however, could cut TB prevalence and TB deaths by 20 percent, and TB incidence by 11 percent by allocating resources optimally. Specifically, this would entail (i) doubling the rate of household contact tracing for notified cases, (ii) screening all PLHIV during their routine outpatient visits, and (iii) focusing on community outreach activities among key populations such as prisoners, cross-border miners and community health workers. In addition, scaling up ART coverage from 55 percent (current/ 2017) to 90 percent by 2035 is projected to reduce new TB cases among PLHIV by over 50 percent (in 2035). Furthermore, our analysis shows that higher levels of TB spending lead to more rapid reductions in TB incidence. However, the rates of reduction associated with large increases in expenditure (up to 200 percent of current spending levels) begin to slow in the medium term and it is unlikely that the national TB response can deliver on the 2025 milestones and 2035 End-TB targets. 2020-06-15T16:00:37Z 2020-06-15T16:00:37Z 2020 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/576571591894623493/Optimizing-Investments-in-Mozambiques-Tuberculosis-Response-Results-of-a-Tuberculosis-Efficiency-Study http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33907 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Other Health Study Africa Mozambique |
repository_type |
Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English |
topic |
TUBERCULOSIS EPIDEMIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS HIV ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY |
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TUBERCULOSIS EPIDEMIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS HIV ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY Mozambique National TB Program World Bank Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences Burnet Institute Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study |
geographic_facet |
Africa Mozambique |
description |
This allocative efficiency analysis
intended to assess Mozambique's progress towards TB
strategic targets, and provide decision support for TB
strategy using a combined TB epidemiological component and
an economic and program analysis framework (Optima TB).
Input data were collected from NTP sources, the WHO, and
various TB implementers. Our model indicates declining
future trends in TB prevalence, incidence and related
deaths. However, the case detection rate (52 percent)
remains one of the biggest hurdles. Mozambique, however,
could cut TB prevalence and TB deaths by 20 percent, and TB
incidence by 11 percent by allocating resources optimally.
Specifically, this would entail (i) doubling the rate of
household contact tracing for notified cases, (ii) screening
all PLHIV during their routine outpatient visits, and (iii)
focusing on community outreach activities among key
populations such as prisoners, cross-border miners and
community health workers. In addition, scaling up ART
coverage from 55 percent (current/ 2017) to 90 percent by
2035 is projected to reduce new TB cases among PLHIV by over
50 percent (in 2035). Furthermore, our analysis shows that
higher levels of TB spending lead to more rapid reductions
in TB incidence. However, the rates of reduction associated
with large increases in expenditure (up to 200 percent of
current spending levels) begin to slow in the medium term
and it is unlikely that the national TB response can deliver
on the 2025 milestones and 2035 End-TB targets. |
format |
Report |
author |
Mozambique National TB Program World Bank Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences Burnet Institute |
author_facet |
Mozambique National TB Program World Bank Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences Burnet Institute |
author_sort |
Mozambique National TB Program |
title |
Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study |
title_short |
Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study |
title_full |
Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study |
title_fullStr |
Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study |
title_full_unstemmed |
Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study |
title_sort |
optimizing investments in mozambique's tuberculosis response : results of a tuberculosis allocative efficiency study |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/576571591894623493/Optimizing-Investments-in-Mozambiques-Tuberculosis-Response-Results-of-a-Tuberculosis-Efficiency-Study http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33907 |
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1764479772418637824 |