Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study

This allocative efficiency analysis intended to assess Mozambique's progress towards TB strategic targets, and provide decision support for TB strategy using a combined TB epidemiological component and an economic and program analysis framewor...

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Main Authors: Mozambique National TB Program, World Bank, Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences, Burnet Institute
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/576571591894623493/Optimizing-Investments-in-Mozambiques-Tuberculosis-Response-Results-of-a-Tuberculosis-Efficiency-Study
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33907
id okr-10986-33907
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-339072021-05-25T09:54:53Z Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study Mozambique National TB Program World Bank Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences Burnet Institute TUBERCULOSIS EPIDEMIC DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS HIV ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY This allocative efficiency analysis intended to assess Mozambique's progress towards TB strategic targets, and provide decision support for TB strategy using a combined TB epidemiological component and an economic and program analysis framework (Optima TB). Input data were collected from NTP sources, the WHO, and various TB implementers. Our model indicates declining future trends in TB prevalence, incidence and related deaths. However, the case detection rate (52 percent) remains one of the biggest hurdles. Mozambique, however, could cut TB prevalence and TB deaths by 20 percent, and TB incidence by 11 percent by allocating resources optimally. Specifically, this would entail (i) doubling the rate of household contact tracing for notified cases, (ii) screening all PLHIV during their routine outpatient visits, and (iii) focusing on community outreach activities among key populations such as prisoners, cross-border miners and community health workers. In addition, scaling up ART coverage from 55 percent (current/ 2017) to 90 percent by 2035 is projected to reduce new TB cases among PLHIV by over 50 percent (in 2035). Furthermore, our analysis shows that higher levels of TB spending lead to more rapid reductions in TB incidence. However, the rates of reduction associated with large increases in expenditure (up to 200 percent of current spending levels) begin to slow in the medium term and it is unlikely that the national TB response can deliver on the 2025 milestones and 2035 End-TB targets. 2020-06-15T16:00:37Z 2020-06-15T16:00:37Z 2020 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/576571591894623493/Optimizing-Investments-in-Mozambiques-Tuberculosis-Response-Results-of-a-Tuberculosis-Efficiency-Study http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33907 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Other Health Study Africa Mozambique
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TUBERCULOSIS
EPIDEMIC
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
HIV
ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY
spellingShingle TUBERCULOSIS
EPIDEMIC
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
HIV
ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY
Mozambique National TB Program
World Bank
Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences
Burnet Institute
Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study
geographic_facet Africa
Mozambique
description This allocative efficiency analysis intended to assess Mozambique's progress towards TB strategic targets, and provide decision support for TB strategy using a combined TB epidemiological component and an economic and program analysis framework (Optima TB). Input data were collected from NTP sources, the WHO, and various TB implementers. Our model indicates declining future trends in TB prevalence, incidence and related deaths. However, the case detection rate (52 percent) remains one of the biggest hurdles. Mozambique, however, could cut TB prevalence and TB deaths by 20 percent, and TB incidence by 11 percent by allocating resources optimally. Specifically, this would entail (i) doubling the rate of household contact tracing for notified cases, (ii) screening all PLHIV during their routine outpatient visits, and (iii) focusing on community outreach activities among key populations such as prisoners, cross-border miners and community health workers. In addition, scaling up ART coverage from 55 percent (current/ 2017) to 90 percent by 2035 is projected to reduce new TB cases among PLHIV by over 50 percent (in 2035). Furthermore, our analysis shows that higher levels of TB spending lead to more rapid reductions in TB incidence. However, the rates of reduction associated with large increases in expenditure (up to 200 percent of current spending levels) begin to slow in the medium term and it is unlikely that the national TB response can deliver on the 2025 milestones and 2035 End-TB targets.
format Report
author Mozambique National TB Program
World Bank
Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences
Burnet Institute
author_facet Mozambique National TB Program
World Bank
Optima Consortium for Decision Sciences
Burnet Institute
author_sort Mozambique National TB Program
title Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study
title_short Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study
title_full Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study
title_fullStr Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study
title_full_unstemmed Optimizing Investments in Mozambique's Tuberculosis Response : Results of a Tuberculosis Allocative Efficiency Study
title_sort optimizing investments in mozambique's tuberculosis response : results of a tuberculosis allocative efficiency study
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/576571591894623493/Optimizing-Investments-in-Mozambiques-Tuberculosis-Response-Results-of-a-Tuberculosis-Efficiency-Study
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33907
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