The Transformative Effects of Privatization in China : A Natural Experiment Based on Politician Career Concern

The serious implications of privatizing state-owned enterprises for politicians, managers, and investors make such decisions highly contingent on firm characteristics and past performance, complicating the identification of the privatization effect...

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Main Authors: Huang, Zhangkai, Liu, Jinyu, Ma, Guangrong, Xu, Lixin Colin
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/684771590713191603/The-Transformative-Effects-of-Privatization-in-China-A-Natural-Experiment-Based-on-Politician-Career-Concern
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33845
id okr-10986-33845
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-338452022-09-20T00:11:24Z The Transformative Effects of Privatization in China : A Natural Experiment Based on Politician Career Concern Huang, Zhangkai Liu, Jinyu Ma, Guangrong Xu, Lixin Colin PRIVATIZATION POLITICIANS CAREER CONCERN PRODUCTIVITY STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES ECONOMIC TAKEOFF The serious implications of privatizing state-owned enterprises for politicians, managers, and investors make such decisions highly contingent on firm characteristics and past performance, complicating the identification of the privatization effects. A unique opportunity for this identification arises from a rule of promotion of local politicians based on age requirements in China. This paper finds that Chinese cities whose top officials were older than age 58 were 20 percent less likely to privatize local state-owned enterprises during the wave of state-owned enterprise restructuring starting in the late 1990s. Relying on the regression discontinuity design, the analysis finds that privatizations led to productivity gains of more than 170 percent, an order of magnitude larger than the traditional estimates based on the firm fixed effect specification (including its random-growth variant). The paper further finds that the privatization effects are significantly larger when the government is less involved in the affairs of local firms. The findings underscore the need to deal with the time-varying selectivity of privatizations and highlight the crucial role that state-owned enterprise privatizations played in China's economic takeoff. 2020-06-04T13:57:29Z 2020-06-04T13:57:29Z 2020-05 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/684771590713191603/The-Transformative-Effects-of-Privatization-in-China-A-Natural-Experiment-Based-on-Politician-Career-Concern http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33845 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9261 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific China
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic PRIVATIZATION
POLITICIANS
CAREER CONCERN
PRODUCTIVITY
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES
ECONOMIC TAKEOFF
spellingShingle PRIVATIZATION
POLITICIANS
CAREER CONCERN
PRODUCTIVITY
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES
ECONOMIC TAKEOFF
Huang, Zhangkai
Liu, Jinyu
Ma, Guangrong
Xu, Lixin Colin
The Transformative Effects of Privatization in China : A Natural Experiment Based on Politician Career Concern
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9261
description The serious implications of privatizing state-owned enterprises for politicians, managers, and investors make such decisions highly contingent on firm characteristics and past performance, complicating the identification of the privatization effects. A unique opportunity for this identification arises from a rule of promotion of local politicians based on age requirements in China. This paper finds that Chinese cities whose top officials were older than age 58 were 20 percent less likely to privatize local state-owned enterprises during the wave of state-owned enterprise restructuring starting in the late 1990s. Relying on the regression discontinuity design, the analysis finds that privatizations led to productivity gains of more than 170 percent, an order of magnitude larger than the traditional estimates based on the firm fixed effect specification (including its random-growth variant). The paper further finds that the privatization effects are significantly larger when the government is less involved in the affairs of local firms. The findings underscore the need to deal with the time-varying selectivity of privatizations and highlight the crucial role that state-owned enterprise privatizations played in China's economic takeoff.
format Working Paper
author Huang, Zhangkai
Liu, Jinyu
Ma, Guangrong
Xu, Lixin Colin
author_facet Huang, Zhangkai
Liu, Jinyu
Ma, Guangrong
Xu, Lixin Colin
author_sort Huang, Zhangkai
title The Transformative Effects of Privatization in China : A Natural Experiment Based on Politician Career Concern
title_short The Transformative Effects of Privatization in China : A Natural Experiment Based on Politician Career Concern
title_full The Transformative Effects of Privatization in China : A Natural Experiment Based on Politician Career Concern
title_fullStr The Transformative Effects of Privatization in China : A Natural Experiment Based on Politician Career Concern
title_full_unstemmed The Transformative Effects of Privatization in China : A Natural Experiment Based on Politician Career Concern
title_sort transformative effects of privatization in china : a natural experiment based on politician career concern
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/684771590713191603/The-Transformative-Effects-of-Privatization-in-China-A-Natural-Experiment-Based-on-Politician-Career-Concern
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33845
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