Kyrgyz Republic Country Economic Memorandum

The Kyrgyz Republic has experienced modest and volatile economic expansion since the economy bottomed out from the transition recession in 1995, when GDP amounted to about half of its pre-independence levels. As a result of structural reforms at th...

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Main Authors: Izvorski, Ivailo, Mbowe, Appolenia, Dubashov, Bakyt, Gassner, Katharina, Ferrantino, Michael J., Islam, Roumeen, Sahovic, Tarik
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/679681585289928309/Kyrgyz-Republic-Country-Economic-Memorandum
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33494
id okr-10986-33494
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-334942021-09-17T05:11:36Z Kyrgyz Republic Country Economic Memorandum Izvorski, Ivailo Mbowe, Appolenia Dubashov, Bakyt Gassner, Katharina Ferrantino, Michael J. Islam, Roumeen Sahovic, Tarik ECONOMIC GROWTH MACROECONOMIC POLICY PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT TRADE POLICY ENERGY POLICY POVERTY ALLEVIATION YOUTH EMPLOYMENT GOVERNANCE INCLUSIVE GROWTH PUBLIC SECTOR REFORM FOREIGN AID DEBT FORGIVENESS VOLATILITY INSTITUTIONS The Kyrgyz Republic has experienced modest and volatile economic expansion since the economy bottomed out from the transition recession in 1995, when GDP amounted to about half of its pre-independence levels. As a result of structural reforms at the start of transition, the emergence of remittances and commodity exports, largely gold, as powerful new drivers of growth, and improvements in the macroeconomic management in the recent decade, per-capita real GDP grew by 3.1 percent a year on average since 1995. The Kyrgyz Republic is now a lower middle-income economy, as it was in 1990. Economic expansion has benefitted from fixed investment that has risen to 31 percent of GDP, one of the highest in Europe and Central Asia and well-above the threshold of 25 percent reached by the group of successful countries studied by the Growth Commission in 2007. Lower fiscal deficits and low inflation indicate the success of recent macroeconomic policies. These achievements notwithstanding, Kyrgyz Republic’s growth and productivity performance has lagged most relevant comparators, frustrating the needs of the poor and the young. As a result, while per-capita GDP in constant prices has doubled since 1995, it has still not caught up with pre-independence levels. Per-capita incomes in the Kyrgyz Republic have increased by 20 percent less than the average of lower middle-income countries since 2000 and 40 percent less than the average for the Caucasus and Central Asia. Productivity increases – proxied by changes in total factor productivity, have averaged half a percent since 2000, leaving largely factor accumulation as the driver of economic growth. And while ‘Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything’, highlighting one of the main challenges of the country’s current growth model.3 Poverty has declined, but modest growth has made a modest dent, leaving the poverty rate as high as 31 percent, with a substantial part of the population living in regions with more limited and lower quality government services than in Bishkek. 2020-03-30T16:22:56Z 2020-03-30T16:22:56Z 2020-03-26 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/679681585289928309/Kyrgyz-Republic-Country-Economic-Memorandum http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33494 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum Europe and Central Asia Kyrgyz Republic
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
TRADE POLICY
ENERGY POLICY
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
YOUTH EMPLOYMENT
GOVERNANCE
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
PUBLIC SECTOR REFORM
FOREIGN AID
DEBT FORGIVENESS
VOLATILITY
INSTITUTIONS
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
TRADE POLICY
ENERGY POLICY
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
YOUTH EMPLOYMENT
GOVERNANCE
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
PUBLIC SECTOR REFORM
FOREIGN AID
DEBT FORGIVENESS
VOLATILITY
INSTITUTIONS
Izvorski, Ivailo
Mbowe, Appolenia
Dubashov, Bakyt
Gassner, Katharina
Ferrantino, Michael J.
Islam, Roumeen
Sahovic, Tarik
Kyrgyz Republic Country Economic Memorandum
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Kyrgyz Republic
description The Kyrgyz Republic has experienced modest and volatile economic expansion since the economy bottomed out from the transition recession in 1995, when GDP amounted to about half of its pre-independence levels. As a result of structural reforms at the start of transition, the emergence of remittances and commodity exports, largely gold, as powerful new drivers of growth, and improvements in the macroeconomic management in the recent decade, per-capita real GDP grew by 3.1 percent a year on average since 1995. The Kyrgyz Republic is now a lower middle-income economy, as it was in 1990. Economic expansion has benefitted from fixed investment that has risen to 31 percent of GDP, one of the highest in Europe and Central Asia and well-above the threshold of 25 percent reached by the group of successful countries studied by the Growth Commission in 2007. Lower fiscal deficits and low inflation indicate the success of recent macroeconomic policies. These achievements notwithstanding, Kyrgyz Republic’s growth and productivity performance has lagged most relevant comparators, frustrating the needs of the poor and the young. As a result, while per-capita GDP in constant prices has doubled since 1995, it has still not caught up with pre-independence levels. Per-capita incomes in the Kyrgyz Republic have increased by 20 percent less than the average of lower middle-income countries since 2000 and 40 percent less than the average for the Caucasus and Central Asia. Productivity increases – proxied by changes in total factor productivity, have averaged half a percent since 2000, leaving largely factor accumulation as the driver of economic growth. And while ‘Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything’, highlighting one of the main challenges of the country’s current growth model.3 Poverty has declined, but modest growth has made a modest dent, leaving the poverty rate as high as 31 percent, with a substantial part of the population living in regions with more limited and lower quality government services than in Bishkek.
format Report
author Izvorski, Ivailo
Mbowe, Appolenia
Dubashov, Bakyt
Gassner, Katharina
Ferrantino, Michael J.
Islam, Roumeen
Sahovic, Tarik
author_facet Izvorski, Ivailo
Mbowe, Appolenia
Dubashov, Bakyt
Gassner, Katharina
Ferrantino, Michael J.
Islam, Roumeen
Sahovic, Tarik
author_sort Izvorski, Ivailo
title Kyrgyz Republic Country Economic Memorandum
title_short Kyrgyz Republic Country Economic Memorandum
title_full Kyrgyz Republic Country Economic Memorandum
title_fullStr Kyrgyz Republic Country Economic Memorandum
title_full_unstemmed Kyrgyz Republic Country Economic Memorandum
title_sort kyrgyz republic country economic memorandum
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/679681585289928309/Kyrgyz-Republic-Country-Economic-Memorandum
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33494
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