Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports : Evidence from Bangladesh

This paper studies how a positive export shock -- the sharp increase in garment-sector exports that began at the end of the Multifibre Arrangement (MFA) -- spread through Bangladesh's labor markets. Although the end of the MFA was arguably exo...

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Main Authors: Robertson, Raymond, Kokas, Deeksha, Cardozo, Diego, Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/545471583761343054/Short-and-Long-Run-Labor-Market-Effects-of-Developing-Country-Exports-Evidence-from-Bangladesh
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33425
id okr-10986-33425
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-334252022-09-20T00:12:43Z Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports : Evidence from Bangladesh Robertson, Raymond Kokas, Deeksha Cardozo, Diego Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys LABOR MARKET APPAREL EXPORTS WAGE INEQUALITY STOLPER-SAMUELSON MULTI-FIBRE ARRANGEMENT INFORMALITY EXPORT SHOCK TRADE SHOCK MULTI-FIBER ARRANGEMENT MFA GARMENT INDUSTRY This paper studies how a positive export shock -- the sharp increase in garment-sector exports that began at the end of the Multifibre Arrangement (MFA) -- spread through Bangladesh's labor markets. Although the end of the MFA was arguably exogenous to Bangladesh, the authors instrument export demand with OECD imports to ensure identification. The paper compares estimates of the local labor market effects (wages and informality) and estimates from wage equations that reflect the predictions from long-run, general-equilibrium neoclassical trade theory. As in other studies, this paper finds that the export shock was localized both in terms of sector and geography. Wages increased and informality decreased in sub-districts more exposed to the export shock. Unlike in other studies, these local labor market effects dissipate quickly. Furthermore, Bangladesh's export shock was sector specific, limited predominantly to the female-intensive garment and textile sector. The paper shows that, following the increase in exports of the female-intensive good, the male-female wage gap closes considerably throughout the country -- not just in the apparel sector. In relatively small Bangladesh, the national labor market seems to be more integrated compared to larger countries studied, possibly suggesting that labor adjustment costs are lower in smaller countries. 2020-03-12T15:08:27Z 2020-03-12T15:08:27Z 2020-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/545471583761343054/Short-and-Long-Run-Labor-Market-Effects-of-Developing-Country-Exports-Evidence-from-Bangladesh http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33425 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9176 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper South Asia Bangladesh
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic LABOR MARKET
APPAREL EXPORTS
WAGE INEQUALITY
STOLPER-SAMUELSON
MULTI-FIBRE ARRANGEMENT
INFORMALITY
EXPORT SHOCK
TRADE SHOCK
MULTI-FIBER ARRANGEMENT
MFA
GARMENT INDUSTRY
spellingShingle LABOR MARKET
APPAREL EXPORTS
WAGE INEQUALITY
STOLPER-SAMUELSON
MULTI-FIBRE ARRANGEMENT
INFORMALITY
EXPORT SHOCK
TRADE SHOCK
MULTI-FIBER ARRANGEMENT
MFA
GARMENT INDUSTRY
Robertson, Raymond
Kokas, Deeksha
Cardozo, Diego
Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys
Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports : Evidence from Bangladesh
geographic_facet South Asia
Bangladesh
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9176
description This paper studies how a positive export shock -- the sharp increase in garment-sector exports that began at the end of the Multifibre Arrangement (MFA) -- spread through Bangladesh's labor markets. Although the end of the MFA was arguably exogenous to Bangladesh, the authors instrument export demand with OECD imports to ensure identification. The paper compares estimates of the local labor market effects (wages and informality) and estimates from wage equations that reflect the predictions from long-run, general-equilibrium neoclassical trade theory. As in other studies, this paper finds that the export shock was localized both in terms of sector and geography. Wages increased and informality decreased in sub-districts more exposed to the export shock. Unlike in other studies, these local labor market effects dissipate quickly. Furthermore, Bangladesh's export shock was sector specific, limited predominantly to the female-intensive garment and textile sector. The paper shows that, following the increase in exports of the female-intensive good, the male-female wage gap closes considerably throughout the country -- not just in the apparel sector. In relatively small Bangladesh, the national labor market seems to be more integrated compared to larger countries studied, possibly suggesting that labor adjustment costs are lower in smaller countries.
format Working Paper
author Robertson, Raymond
Kokas, Deeksha
Cardozo, Diego
Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys
author_facet Robertson, Raymond
Kokas, Deeksha
Cardozo, Diego
Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys
author_sort Robertson, Raymond
title Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports : Evidence from Bangladesh
title_short Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports : Evidence from Bangladesh
title_full Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports : Evidence from Bangladesh
title_fullStr Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports : Evidence from Bangladesh
title_full_unstemmed Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports : Evidence from Bangladesh
title_sort short and long-run labor market effects of developing country exports : evidence from bangladesh
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/545471583761343054/Short-and-Long-Run-Labor-Market-Effects-of-Developing-Country-Exports-Evidence-from-Bangladesh
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33425
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