Uganda Economic Update, 14th Edition, February 2020 : Strengthening Social Protection to Reduce Vulnerability and Promote Inclusive Growth

Following the release of new GDP estimates, nominal GDP for FY18/19 increased and the structure of the economy has changed. In October 2019, the Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) released new GDP estimates, updating the base year for estimating ec...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/571011581515307951/Uganda-Economic-Update-14th-Edition-Strengthening-Social-Protection-to-Reduce-Vulnerability-and-Promote-Inclusive-Growth
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33323
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spelling okr-10986-333232021-05-25T09:32:33Z Uganda Economic Update, 14th Edition, February 2020 : Strengthening Social Protection to Reduce Vulnerability and Promote Inclusive Growth World Bank ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OUTLOOK PRIVATE INVESTMENT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT FISCAL TRENDS PUBLIC INVESTMENT RISKS MONETARY POLICY INCLUSIVE GROWTH POVERTY REDUCTION SOCIAL PROTECTION HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT STUNTING SCHOOL ENROLLMENT LEARNING OUTCOMES Following the release of new GDP estimates, nominal GDP for FY18/19 increased and the structure of the economy has changed. In October 2019, the Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) released new GDP estimates, updating the base year for estimating economic activity to 2016/17 from 2009/10. As a result, nominal GDP for FY18/19 was revised upwards from USh 109,945 billion to USh 128,499 billion. Furthermore, the share of industry in GDP has increased from about 20 percent to almost 30 percent. At the same time, there has been a drop in the share of services from about 58 percent to 46 percent. Manufacturing has doubled its share from about 8 percent to over 16 percent of GDP, whilst information and communications (IC) has fallen from 12 percent to just under 2 percent of GDP. Real GDP grew by 6.5 percent in FY18/19, maintaining the rebound in economic activity over the last two years. This has been driven by strong levels of domestic consumption and sustained levels of public and private investment. Net FDI inflows shot up to 5.1 percent of GDP in FY18/19 from 3 percent of GDP the previous year. The construction sector continues to grow at double-digit levels. There has been a jump in manufacturing growth supported by recent expansions in the sector, including investments in new factories. Agriculture was boosted by another decent harvest and a strong rebound in fisheries. Levels of GDP growth of about 6 percent and above are expected over the medium-term, driven by consumption spending, intensified private and public investments in infrastructure for industrialization, electricity transmission, and preparation for oil extraction. Still, this growth is not high enough for Uganda’s lower middle-income status and poverty reduction ambitions. 2020-02-13T17:07:32Z 2020-02-13T17:07:32Z 2020-02 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/571011581515307951/Uganda-Economic-Update-14th-Edition-Strengthening-Social-Protection-to-Reduce-Vulnerability-and-Promote-Inclusive-Growth http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33323 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Africa Uganda
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
FISCAL TRENDS
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
RISKS
MONETARY POLICY
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
SOCIAL PROTECTION
HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT
STUNTING
SCHOOL ENROLLMENT
LEARNING OUTCOMES
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
FISCAL TRENDS
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
RISKS
MONETARY POLICY
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
SOCIAL PROTECTION
HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT
STUNTING
SCHOOL ENROLLMENT
LEARNING OUTCOMES
World Bank
Uganda Economic Update, 14th Edition, February 2020 : Strengthening Social Protection to Reduce Vulnerability and Promote Inclusive Growth
geographic_facet Africa
Uganda
description Following the release of new GDP estimates, nominal GDP for FY18/19 increased and the structure of the economy has changed. In October 2019, the Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) released new GDP estimates, updating the base year for estimating economic activity to 2016/17 from 2009/10. As a result, nominal GDP for FY18/19 was revised upwards from USh 109,945 billion to USh 128,499 billion. Furthermore, the share of industry in GDP has increased from about 20 percent to almost 30 percent. At the same time, there has been a drop in the share of services from about 58 percent to 46 percent. Manufacturing has doubled its share from about 8 percent to over 16 percent of GDP, whilst information and communications (IC) has fallen from 12 percent to just under 2 percent of GDP. Real GDP grew by 6.5 percent in FY18/19, maintaining the rebound in economic activity over the last two years. This has been driven by strong levels of domestic consumption and sustained levels of public and private investment. Net FDI inflows shot up to 5.1 percent of GDP in FY18/19 from 3 percent of GDP the previous year. The construction sector continues to grow at double-digit levels. There has been a jump in manufacturing growth supported by recent expansions in the sector, including investments in new factories. Agriculture was boosted by another decent harvest and a strong rebound in fisheries. Levels of GDP growth of about 6 percent and above are expected over the medium-term, driven by consumption spending, intensified private and public investments in infrastructure for industrialization, electricity transmission, and preparation for oil extraction. Still, this growth is not high enough for Uganda’s lower middle-income status and poverty reduction ambitions.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Uganda Economic Update, 14th Edition, February 2020 : Strengthening Social Protection to Reduce Vulnerability and Promote Inclusive Growth
title_short Uganda Economic Update, 14th Edition, February 2020 : Strengthening Social Protection to Reduce Vulnerability and Promote Inclusive Growth
title_full Uganda Economic Update, 14th Edition, February 2020 : Strengthening Social Protection to Reduce Vulnerability and Promote Inclusive Growth
title_fullStr Uganda Economic Update, 14th Edition, February 2020 : Strengthening Social Protection to Reduce Vulnerability and Promote Inclusive Growth
title_full_unstemmed Uganda Economic Update, 14th Edition, February 2020 : Strengthening Social Protection to Reduce Vulnerability and Promote Inclusive Growth
title_sort uganda economic update, 14th edition, february 2020 : strengthening social protection to reduce vulnerability and promote inclusive growth
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/571011581515307951/Uganda-Economic-Update-14th-Edition-Strengthening-Social-Protection-to-Reduce-Vulnerability-and-Promote-Inclusive-Growth
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33323
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