Water Scarcity in Morocco : Analysis of Key Water Challenges
Morocco is expected to be faced with a major water shortfall prompted by either expansion in demand for water or reduction in precipitation induced by climate change. This paper examines the economywide impacts of these factors for Morocco. It uses...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2020
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/642681580455542456/Water-Scarcity-in-Morocco-Analysis-of-Key-Water-Challenges http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33306 |
| Summary: | Morocco is expected to be faced with a
major water shortfall prompted by either expansion in demand
for water or reduction in precipitation induced by climate
change. This paper examines the economywide impacts of these
factors for Morocco. It uses a computable general
equilibrium model augmented with submodules that trace
consumption of water by uses and land allocation across
sectors including crops, livestock, and forestry. Results
show that water scarcity and changes in crop yields induced
by climate change could reduce the GDP of Morocco up to 6.7
billion US dollars per year at 2016 constant prices and
eliminate many job opportunities, in particular in the rural
areas of this country. Only a portion of these negative
impacts can be removed with improvements in water use
efficiency. The factors mentioned above will reduce
productivity of Morocco’s cropland and have the potential to
reduce irrigated areas. Due to these changes, production of
crops and food products are expected to fall, with increases
in crop prices by up to 14.3 percent, assuming other factors
being equal. Investment in water use efficiency practices
that save water, in particular in agricultural activities,
and shifting toward more valuable and less water intensive
crops can help to partially mitigate these adverse impacts. |
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