Taxing Tobacco in Georgia : Welfare and Distributional Gains of Smoking Cessation

This paper analyzes the welfare and distributional impacts of increasing taxes on cigarettes in Georgia. Increasing taxes on tobacco is an effective measure to reduce smoking. According to some estimates, increasing tobacco taxes could save more th...

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Main Authors: Fuchs Tarlovsky, Alan, Gonzalez Icaza, Maria Fernanda
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/752631580310103282/Taxing-Tobacco-in-Georgia-Welfare-and-Distributional-Gains-of-Smoking-Cessation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33266
id okr-10986-33266
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-332662022-09-20T00:13:30Z Taxing Tobacco in Georgia : Welfare and Distributional Gains of Smoking Cessation Fuchs Tarlovsky, Alan Gonzalez Icaza, Maria Fernanda TOBACCO TAX TOBACCO CONTROL DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT WELFARE EFFECTS CIGARETTE TAX COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS MORTALITY HEALTH CARE COST INEQUALITY This paper analyzes the welfare and distributional impacts of increasing taxes on cigarettes in Georgia. Increasing taxes on tobacco is an effective measure to reduce smoking. According to some estimates, increasing tobacco taxes could save more than GEL 3.6 billion and 53 thousand lives over a 15-year period. However, concerns over potentially regressive effects on the poor are often raised. An Extended Cost Benefit Analysis (ECBA) is applied to simulate the welfare and distributional impacts of raising prices on cigarettes. Decile-specific price elasticities of demand are estimated to account for heterogenous behavioral responses of different income groups. Empirical estimations confirm that poorer households in Georgia tend to reduce consumption more intensely when faced with higher tobacco prices. The estimated magnitude and distribution of elasticities are comparable to peer countries. The simulations based on household survey data suggest that the long-term net distributional effects of increasing taxes on cigarettes in Georgia are likely progressive. Incorporating the indirect benefits of reduced smoking -- reductions in medical expenses and earnings from adverted premature deaths -- could bring small, albeit positive, income gains for large sectors of the population. The magnitude of those benefits is most significant among lower-income households, potentially contributing to lift them out of poverty. 2020-01-30T20:47:44Z 2020-01-30T20:47:44Z 2020-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/752631580310103282/Taxing-Tobacco-in-Georgia-Welfare-and-Distributional-Gains-of-Smoking-Cessation http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33266 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9130 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Europe and Central Asia Georgia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TOBACCO TAX
TOBACCO CONTROL
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
WELFARE EFFECTS
CIGARETTE TAX
COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS
MORTALITY
HEALTH CARE COST
INEQUALITY
spellingShingle TOBACCO TAX
TOBACCO CONTROL
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
WELFARE EFFECTS
CIGARETTE TAX
COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS
MORTALITY
HEALTH CARE COST
INEQUALITY
Fuchs Tarlovsky, Alan
Gonzalez Icaza, Maria Fernanda
Taxing Tobacco in Georgia : Welfare and Distributional Gains of Smoking Cessation
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Georgia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9130
description This paper analyzes the welfare and distributional impacts of increasing taxes on cigarettes in Georgia. Increasing taxes on tobacco is an effective measure to reduce smoking. According to some estimates, increasing tobacco taxes could save more than GEL 3.6 billion and 53 thousand lives over a 15-year period. However, concerns over potentially regressive effects on the poor are often raised. An Extended Cost Benefit Analysis (ECBA) is applied to simulate the welfare and distributional impacts of raising prices on cigarettes. Decile-specific price elasticities of demand are estimated to account for heterogenous behavioral responses of different income groups. Empirical estimations confirm that poorer households in Georgia tend to reduce consumption more intensely when faced with higher tobacco prices. The estimated magnitude and distribution of elasticities are comparable to peer countries. The simulations based on household survey data suggest that the long-term net distributional effects of increasing taxes on cigarettes in Georgia are likely progressive. Incorporating the indirect benefits of reduced smoking -- reductions in medical expenses and earnings from adverted premature deaths -- could bring small, albeit positive, income gains for large sectors of the population. The magnitude of those benefits is most significant among lower-income households, potentially contributing to lift them out of poverty.
format Working Paper
author Fuchs Tarlovsky, Alan
Gonzalez Icaza, Maria Fernanda
author_facet Fuchs Tarlovsky, Alan
Gonzalez Icaza, Maria Fernanda
author_sort Fuchs Tarlovsky, Alan
title Taxing Tobacco in Georgia : Welfare and Distributional Gains of Smoking Cessation
title_short Taxing Tobacco in Georgia : Welfare and Distributional Gains of Smoking Cessation
title_full Taxing Tobacco in Georgia : Welfare and Distributional Gains of Smoking Cessation
title_fullStr Taxing Tobacco in Georgia : Welfare and Distributional Gains of Smoking Cessation
title_full_unstemmed Taxing Tobacco in Georgia : Welfare and Distributional Gains of Smoking Cessation
title_sort taxing tobacco in georgia : welfare and distributional gains of smoking cessation
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/752631580310103282/Taxing-Tobacco-in-Georgia-Welfare-and-Distributional-Gains-of-Smoking-Cessation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33266
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