Why South Africa Is Cheap for the Rich and Expensive for the Poor : Reconsidering the Balassa-Samuelson Effect

This paper investigates cross-sectoral productivity differentials in South African industry and their distributional consequences. The analysis shows that typically, traded sectors have experienced low productivity growth over the past decade, whil...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dadam, Vincent, Hanusch, Marek, Viegi, Nicola
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/575681563799522817/Why-South-Africa-Is-Cheap-for-the-Rich-and-Expensive-for-the-Poor-Reconsidering-the-Balassa-Samuelson-Effect
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32126
id okr-10986-32126
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-321262022-08-16T00:24:05Z Why South Africa Is Cheap for the Rich and Expensive for the Poor : Reconsidering the Balassa-Samuelson Effect Dadam, Vincent Hanusch, Marek Viegi, Nicola EXCHANGE RATE PRODUCTIVITY ECONOMIC OPENNESS TRADED SECTOR PROTECTIONISM REAL EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION INCOME DISTRIBUTION This paper investigates cross-sectoral productivity differentials in South African industry and their distributional consequences. The analysis shows that typically, traded sectors have experienced low productivity growth over the past decade, while skill intensive service sectors have had significant productivity growth. This is the inverse of the traditional Balassa-Samuelson sectoral transformation hypothesis, where high wages in high-productivity traded sectors increase wages throughout the economy, thus increasing prices on non-traded goods and revaluing the country's real exchange rate. Instead, the higher productivity of non-traded sectors experienced in South Africa induces a devaluation of the real exchange rate and a contraction of the traded sectors. The results of the estimation show evidence of this "inverse" Balassa-Samuelson effect for agriculture and manufacturing and in particular mining. This "inverse" Balassa-Samuelson effect has important distributional consequences: the high-productivity sectors are associated with cheaper goods and services for wealthy households. This in turn burdens poor households, which are more dependent on traded goods, with higher prices, which are a consequence of low productivity and high markups. 2019-07-29T17:36:04Z 2019-07-29T17:36:04Z 2019-07 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/575681563799522817/Why-South-Africa-Is-Cheap-for-the-Rich-and-Expensive-for-the-Poor-Reconsidering-the-Balassa-Samuelson-Effect http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32126 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8942 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa South Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic EXCHANGE RATE
PRODUCTIVITY
ECONOMIC OPENNESS
TRADED SECTOR
PROTECTIONISM
REAL EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
spellingShingle EXCHANGE RATE
PRODUCTIVITY
ECONOMIC OPENNESS
TRADED SECTOR
PROTECTIONISM
REAL EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
Dadam, Vincent
Hanusch, Marek
Viegi, Nicola
Why South Africa Is Cheap for the Rich and Expensive for the Poor : Reconsidering the Balassa-Samuelson Effect
geographic_facet Africa
South Africa
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8942
description This paper investigates cross-sectoral productivity differentials in South African industry and their distributional consequences. The analysis shows that typically, traded sectors have experienced low productivity growth over the past decade, while skill intensive service sectors have had significant productivity growth. This is the inverse of the traditional Balassa-Samuelson sectoral transformation hypothesis, where high wages in high-productivity traded sectors increase wages throughout the economy, thus increasing prices on non-traded goods and revaluing the country's real exchange rate. Instead, the higher productivity of non-traded sectors experienced in South Africa induces a devaluation of the real exchange rate and a contraction of the traded sectors. The results of the estimation show evidence of this "inverse" Balassa-Samuelson effect for agriculture and manufacturing and in particular mining. This "inverse" Balassa-Samuelson effect has important distributional consequences: the high-productivity sectors are associated with cheaper goods and services for wealthy households. This in turn burdens poor households, which are more dependent on traded goods, with higher prices, which are a consequence of low productivity and high markups.
format Working Paper
author Dadam, Vincent
Hanusch, Marek
Viegi, Nicola
author_facet Dadam, Vincent
Hanusch, Marek
Viegi, Nicola
author_sort Dadam, Vincent
title Why South Africa Is Cheap for the Rich and Expensive for the Poor : Reconsidering the Balassa-Samuelson Effect
title_short Why South Africa Is Cheap for the Rich and Expensive for the Poor : Reconsidering the Balassa-Samuelson Effect
title_full Why South Africa Is Cheap for the Rich and Expensive for the Poor : Reconsidering the Balassa-Samuelson Effect
title_fullStr Why South Africa Is Cheap for the Rich and Expensive for the Poor : Reconsidering the Balassa-Samuelson Effect
title_full_unstemmed Why South Africa Is Cheap for the Rich and Expensive for the Poor : Reconsidering the Balassa-Samuelson Effect
title_sort why south africa is cheap for the rich and expensive for the poor : reconsidering the balassa-samuelson effect
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/575681563799522817/Why-South-Africa-Is-Cheap-for-the-Rich-and-Expensive-for-the-Poor-Reconsidering-the-Balassa-Samuelson-Effect
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32126
_version_ 1764475870849794048