Dollarization Dilemma : Price Stability at the Cost of External Competitiveness in Cambodia

Cambodia has recorded both rapid economic growth and macroeconomic stability in recent decades despite (or thanks to) high levels of dollarization. Previous studies on dollarization in Cambodia have largely focused on examining its causes and estim...

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Main Authors: Samreth, Sovannroeun, Sanchez-Martin, Miguel Eduardo, Ly, Sodeth
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/249731560785850537/Dollarization-Dilemma-Price-Stability-at-the-Cost-of-External-Competitiveness-in-Cambodia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31906
id okr-10986-31906
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-319062022-09-19T12:16:27Z Dollarization Dilemma : Price Stability at the Cost of External Competitiveness in Cambodia Samreth, Sovannroeun Sanchez-Martin, Miguel Eduardo Ly, Sodeth MONETARY POLICY EXCHANGE RATE REGIME DOLLARIZATION EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS INTEREST RATE SHOCK Cambodia has recorded both rapid economic growth and macroeconomic stability in recent decades despite (or thanks to) high levels of dollarization. Previous studies on dollarization in Cambodia have largely focused on examining its causes and estimating seigniorage losses. As an attempt to further explore the effects of dollarization in Cambodia, this paper examines its impact on the competitiveness of the export sector. The main results, based on a vector autoregression estimation of quarterly data over 1994Q4-2016Q4, indicate that a positive US interest rate shock has a negative impact on Cambodia's trade balance with the European Union, its main trading partner, as it leads to appreciation of the US dollar. Furthermore, this shock also leads to a significant decrease in Cambodia's international reserve levels during the first two quarters following the shock. The surrendering of monetary and exchange rate independence seems to affect the competitiveness of the tradable sector negatively as well as exacerbate financial sector vulnerability to solvency and liquidity risks. 2019-06-19T17:06:29Z 2019-06-19T17:06:29Z 2019-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/249731560785850537/Dollarization-Dilemma-Price-Stability-at-the-Cost-of-External-Competitiveness-in-Cambodia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31906 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8893 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific Cambodia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic MONETARY POLICY
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
DOLLARIZATION
EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS
INTEREST RATE SHOCK
spellingShingle MONETARY POLICY
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
DOLLARIZATION
EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS
INTEREST RATE SHOCK
Samreth, Sovannroeun
Sanchez-Martin, Miguel Eduardo
Ly, Sodeth
Dollarization Dilemma : Price Stability at the Cost of External Competitiveness in Cambodia
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Cambodia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8893
description Cambodia has recorded both rapid economic growth and macroeconomic stability in recent decades despite (or thanks to) high levels of dollarization. Previous studies on dollarization in Cambodia have largely focused on examining its causes and estimating seigniorage losses. As an attempt to further explore the effects of dollarization in Cambodia, this paper examines its impact on the competitiveness of the export sector. The main results, based on a vector autoregression estimation of quarterly data over 1994Q4-2016Q4, indicate that a positive US interest rate shock has a negative impact on Cambodia's trade balance with the European Union, its main trading partner, as it leads to appreciation of the US dollar. Furthermore, this shock also leads to a significant decrease in Cambodia's international reserve levels during the first two quarters following the shock. The surrendering of monetary and exchange rate independence seems to affect the competitiveness of the tradable sector negatively as well as exacerbate financial sector vulnerability to solvency and liquidity risks.
format Working Paper
author Samreth, Sovannroeun
Sanchez-Martin, Miguel Eduardo
Ly, Sodeth
author_facet Samreth, Sovannroeun
Sanchez-Martin, Miguel Eduardo
Ly, Sodeth
author_sort Samreth, Sovannroeun
title Dollarization Dilemma : Price Stability at the Cost of External Competitiveness in Cambodia
title_short Dollarization Dilemma : Price Stability at the Cost of External Competitiveness in Cambodia
title_full Dollarization Dilemma : Price Stability at the Cost of External Competitiveness in Cambodia
title_fullStr Dollarization Dilemma : Price Stability at the Cost of External Competitiveness in Cambodia
title_full_unstemmed Dollarization Dilemma : Price Stability at the Cost of External Competitiveness in Cambodia
title_sort dollarization dilemma : price stability at the cost of external competitiveness in cambodia
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/249731560785850537/Dollarization-Dilemma-Price-Stability-at-the-Cost-of-External-Competitiveness-in-Cambodia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31906
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