Trade Wars : What Do They Mean? Why Are They Happening Now? What Are the Costs?

How should economists interpret current trade wars and the recent U.S. trade actions that have initiated them? This paper offers an interpretation of current U.S. trade actions that is at once more charitable and less forgiving than that typically...

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Main Authors: Mattoo, Aaditya, Staiger, Robert W.
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/147771555968441512/Trade-Wars-What-Do-They-Mean-Why-Are-They-Happening-Now-What-Are-the-Costs
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31584
id okr-10986-31584
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-315842022-09-19T12:17:07Z Trade Wars : What Do They Mean? Why Are They Happening Now? What Are the Costs? Mattoo, Aaditya Staiger, Robert W. TRADE WARS TRADE POLICY WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION MULTILATERALISM INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION BARGAINING TACTICS How should economists interpret current trade wars and the recent U.S. trade actions that have initiated them? This paper offers an interpretation of current U.S. trade actions that is at once more charitable and less forgiving than that typically offered by economic commentators. More charitable, because under this interpretation it is possible to see a logic to these actions: the United States is initiating a change from "rules-based" to "power-based" tariff bargaining and is selecting countries with which it runs bilateral trade deficits as the most suitable targets of its bargaining tariffs. Less forgiving, because the main costs of these trade tactics cannot be avoided even if they happen to "work" and deliver lower tariffs. Rather, the paper shows that the main costs will arise from the use of the tactics themselves, and from the damage done by those tactics to the rules-based multilateral trading system and the longer-term interests of the United States and the rest of the world. 2019-04-25T16:01:18Z 2019-04-25T16:01:18Z 2019-04 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/147771555968441512/Trade-Wars-What-Do-They-Mean-Why-Are-They-Happening-Now-What-Are-the-Costs http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31584 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8829 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TRADE WARS
TRADE POLICY
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
MULTILATERALISM
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
BARGAINING TACTICS
spellingShingle TRADE WARS
TRADE POLICY
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
MULTILATERALISM
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
BARGAINING TACTICS
Mattoo, Aaditya
Staiger, Robert W.
Trade Wars : What Do They Mean? Why Are They Happening Now? What Are the Costs?
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8829
description How should economists interpret current trade wars and the recent U.S. trade actions that have initiated them? This paper offers an interpretation of current U.S. trade actions that is at once more charitable and less forgiving than that typically offered by economic commentators. More charitable, because under this interpretation it is possible to see a logic to these actions: the United States is initiating a change from "rules-based" to "power-based" tariff bargaining and is selecting countries with which it runs bilateral trade deficits as the most suitable targets of its bargaining tariffs. Less forgiving, because the main costs of these trade tactics cannot be avoided even if they happen to "work" and deliver lower tariffs. Rather, the paper shows that the main costs will arise from the use of the tactics themselves, and from the damage done by those tactics to the rules-based multilateral trading system and the longer-term interests of the United States and the rest of the world.
format Working Paper
author Mattoo, Aaditya
Staiger, Robert W.
author_facet Mattoo, Aaditya
Staiger, Robert W.
author_sort Mattoo, Aaditya
title Trade Wars : What Do They Mean? Why Are They Happening Now? What Are the Costs?
title_short Trade Wars : What Do They Mean? Why Are They Happening Now? What Are the Costs?
title_full Trade Wars : What Do They Mean? Why Are They Happening Now? What Are the Costs?
title_fullStr Trade Wars : What Do They Mean? Why Are They Happening Now? What Are the Costs?
title_full_unstemmed Trade Wars : What Do They Mean? Why Are They Happening Now? What Are the Costs?
title_sort trade wars : what do they mean? why are they happening now? what are the costs?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/147771555968441512/Trade-Wars-What-Do-They-Mean-Why-Are-They-Happening-Now-What-Are-the-Costs
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31584
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