Who Wins, Who Loses? Understanding the Spatially Differentiated Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative

This paper examines how cities and regions within countries are likely to adjust to trade openness and improved connectivity driven by large transport investments from China's Belt and Road Initiative. The paper presents a quantitative economi...

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Main Authors: Lall, Somik V., Lebrand, Mathilde
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/292161554727963020/Who-Wins-Who-Loses-Understanding-the-Spatially-Differentiated-Effects-of-the-Belt-and-Road-Initiative
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31535
id okr-10986-31535
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-315352022-09-19T12:16:50Z Who Wins, Who Loses? Understanding the Spatially Differentiated Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative Lall, Somik V. Lebrand, Mathilde TRANSPORT CORRIDORS TERRITORIAL DEVELOPMENT LABOR MOBILITY BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE CONNECTIVITY TRADE LIBERALIZATION ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY URBAN HUBS GEOSPATIAL ECONOMICS This paper examines how cities and regions within countries are likely to adjust to trade openness and improved connectivity driven by large transport investments from China's Belt and Road Initiative. The paper presents a quantitative economic geography model alongside spatially detailed information on the location of people, economic activity, and transport costs to international gateways in Central Asia to identify which places are likely to gain and which places are likely to lose. The findings are that urban hubs near border crossings will disproportionately gain while farther out regions with little comparative advantage will be relative losers. Complementary investments in domestic transport networks and trade facilitation are complementary policies and can help in spatially spreading the benefits. However, barriers to domestic labor mobility exacerbate spatial inequalities whilst dampening overall welfare. 2019-04-11T20:37:57Z 2019-04-11T20:37:57Z 2019-04 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/292161554727963020/Who-Wins-Who-Loses-Understanding-the-Spatially-Differentiated-Effects-of-the-Belt-and-Road-Initiative http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31535 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8806 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific China
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TRANSPORT CORRIDORS
TERRITORIAL DEVELOPMENT
LABOR MOBILITY
BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE
CONNECTIVITY
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
URBAN HUBS
GEOSPATIAL ECONOMICS
spellingShingle TRANSPORT CORRIDORS
TERRITORIAL DEVELOPMENT
LABOR MOBILITY
BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE
CONNECTIVITY
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
URBAN HUBS
GEOSPATIAL ECONOMICS
Lall, Somik V.
Lebrand, Mathilde
Who Wins, Who Loses? Understanding the Spatially Differentiated Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8806
description This paper examines how cities and regions within countries are likely to adjust to trade openness and improved connectivity driven by large transport investments from China's Belt and Road Initiative. The paper presents a quantitative economic geography model alongside spatially detailed information on the location of people, economic activity, and transport costs to international gateways in Central Asia to identify which places are likely to gain and which places are likely to lose. The findings are that urban hubs near border crossings will disproportionately gain while farther out regions with little comparative advantage will be relative losers. Complementary investments in domestic transport networks and trade facilitation are complementary policies and can help in spatially spreading the benefits. However, barriers to domestic labor mobility exacerbate spatial inequalities whilst dampening overall welfare.
format Working Paper
author Lall, Somik V.
Lebrand, Mathilde
author_facet Lall, Somik V.
Lebrand, Mathilde
author_sort Lall, Somik V.
title Who Wins, Who Loses? Understanding the Spatially Differentiated Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative
title_short Who Wins, Who Loses? Understanding the Spatially Differentiated Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative
title_full Who Wins, Who Loses? Understanding the Spatially Differentiated Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative
title_fullStr Who Wins, Who Loses? Understanding the Spatially Differentiated Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative
title_full_unstemmed Who Wins, Who Loses? Understanding the Spatially Differentiated Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative
title_sort who wins, who loses? understanding the spatially differentiated effects of the belt and road initiative
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/292161554727963020/Who-Wins-Who-Loses-Understanding-the-Spatially-Differentiated-Effects-of-the-Belt-and-Road-Initiative
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31535
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