Identifying Gazelles : Expert Panels vs. Surveys as a Means to Identify Firms with Rapid Growth Potential

We conduct a business plan competition to test whether survey instruments or panel judges are able to identify the fastest growing firms. Participants submitted six- to eight-page business plans and defended them before a three- or four-judge panel. We surveyed applicants shortly after they applied...

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Main Authors: Fafchamps, Marcel, Woodruff, Christopher
Format: Journal Article
Published: Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31472
id okr-10986-31472
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-314722021-05-25T10:54:37Z Identifying Gazelles : Expert Panels vs. Surveys as a Means to Identify Firms with Rapid Growth Potential Fafchamps, Marcel Woodruff, Christopher BUSINESS PLANS COMPETITION POLICY COMPETITIVENESS ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT ENTERPRISE SURVEYS PANEL JUDGES EXPERT PANELS FIRM PERFORMANCE We conduct a business plan competition to test whether survey instruments or panel judges are able to identify the fastest growing firms. Participants submitted six- to eight-page business plans and defended them before a three- or four-judge panel. We surveyed applicants shortly after they applied and one and two years after the competition. We use follow-up surveys to construct measures of enterprise growth and baseline surveys and panel scores to construct measures of enterprise growth potential. We find that a measure of ability correlates strongly with future growth, but that the panel scores add to predictive power even after controlling for ability and other survey variables. The survey questions have more power to explain the variance in growth. Participants presenting before the panel were given a chance to win customized management training. Fourteen months after the training, we find no positive effect of the training on growth of the business. 2019-04-01T18:04:18Z 2019-04-01T18:04:18Z 2017-10-01 Journal Article World Bank Economic Review 1564-698X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31472 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Ghana
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
topic BUSINESS PLANS
COMPETITION POLICY
COMPETITIVENESS
ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT
ENTERPRISE SURVEYS
PANEL JUDGES
EXPERT PANELS
FIRM PERFORMANCE
spellingShingle BUSINESS PLANS
COMPETITION POLICY
COMPETITIVENESS
ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT
ENTERPRISE SURVEYS
PANEL JUDGES
EXPERT PANELS
FIRM PERFORMANCE
Fafchamps, Marcel
Woodruff, Christopher
Identifying Gazelles : Expert Panels vs. Surveys as a Means to Identify Firms with Rapid Growth Potential
geographic_facet Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
Ghana
description We conduct a business plan competition to test whether survey instruments or panel judges are able to identify the fastest growing firms. Participants submitted six- to eight-page business plans and defended them before a three- or four-judge panel. We surveyed applicants shortly after they applied and one and two years after the competition. We use follow-up surveys to construct measures of enterprise growth and baseline surveys and panel scores to construct measures of enterprise growth potential. We find that a measure of ability correlates strongly with future growth, but that the panel scores add to predictive power even after controlling for ability and other survey variables. The survey questions have more power to explain the variance in growth. Participants presenting before the panel were given a chance to win customized management training. Fourteen months after the training, we find no positive effect of the training on growth of the business.
format Journal Article
author Fafchamps, Marcel
Woodruff, Christopher
author_facet Fafchamps, Marcel
Woodruff, Christopher
author_sort Fafchamps, Marcel
title Identifying Gazelles : Expert Panels vs. Surveys as a Means to Identify Firms with Rapid Growth Potential
title_short Identifying Gazelles : Expert Panels vs. Surveys as a Means to Identify Firms with Rapid Growth Potential
title_full Identifying Gazelles : Expert Panels vs. Surveys as a Means to Identify Firms with Rapid Growth Potential
title_fullStr Identifying Gazelles : Expert Panels vs. Surveys as a Means to Identify Firms with Rapid Growth Potential
title_full_unstemmed Identifying Gazelles : Expert Panels vs. Surveys as a Means to Identify Firms with Rapid Growth Potential
title_sort identifying gazelles : expert panels vs. surveys as a means to identify firms with rapid growth potential
publisher Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
publishDate 2019
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31472
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