Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence

This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in EMDEs are n...

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Main Authors: Kose, M. Ayhan, Matsuoka, Hideaki, Panizza, Ugo, Vorisek, Dana
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/723151553110873395/Inflation-Expectations-Review-and-Evidence
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31433
id okr-10986-31433
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-314332022-09-20T00:14:17Z Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence Kose, M. Ayhan Matsuoka, Hideaki Panizza, Ugo Vorisek, Dana INFLATION INFLATION EXPECTATIONS MONETARY POLICY EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES DEVELOPING ECONOMIES ECONOMIC SHOCKS This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in EMDEs are not as well anchored as those in advanced economies, despite notable improvements over the past two decades. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However, EMDEs tend to be more successful in anchoring inflation expectations in the presence of an inflation targeting regime, high central bank transparency, strong trade integration, and a low level of public debt. 2019-03-21T18:49:38Z 2019-03-21T18:49:38Z 2019-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/723151553110873395/Inflation-Expectations-Review-and-Evidence http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31433 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8785 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic INFLATION
INFLATION EXPECTATIONS
MONETARY POLICY
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
spellingShingle INFLATION
INFLATION EXPECTATIONS
MONETARY POLICY
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
Kose, M. Ayhan
Matsuoka, Hideaki
Panizza, Ugo
Vorisek, Dana
Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8785
description This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in EMDEs are not as well anchored as those in advanced economies, despite notable improvements over the past two decades. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However, EMDEs tend to be more successful in anchoring inflation expectations in the presence of an inflation targeting regime, high central bank transparency, strong trade integration, and a low level of public debt.
format Working Paper
author Kose, M. Ayhan
Matsuoka, Hideaki
Panizza, Ugo
Vorisek, Dana
author_facet Kose, M. Ayhan
Matsuoka, Hideaki
Panizza, Ugo
Vorisek, Dana
author_sort Kose, M. Ayhan
title Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence
title_short Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence
title_full Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence
title_fullStr Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence
title_full_unstemmed Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence
title_sort inflation expectations : review and evidence
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/723151553110873395/Inflation-Expectations-Review-and-Evidence
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31433
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