Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through

The degree to which domestic prices adjust to exchange rate movements is key to understanding inflation dynamics, and hence to guiding monetary policy. However, the exchange rate pass-through to inflation varies considerably across countries and ov...

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Main Authors: Ha, Jongrim, Stocker, M. Marc, Yilmazkuday, Hakan
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/880231552490402888/Inflation-and-Exchange-Rate-Pass-Through
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31406
id okr-10986-31406
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-314062022-09-20T00:12:00Z Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through Ha, Jongrim Stocker, M. Marc Yilmazkuday, Hakan INFLATION EXCHANGE RATES MONETARY POLICY FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH CURRENCY RATES EXTERNAL SHOCKS The degree to which domestic prices adjust to exchange rate movements is key to understanding inflation dynamics, and hence to guiding monetary policy. However, the exchange rate pass-through to inflation varies considerably across countries and over time. By estimating structural factor-augmented vector-autoregressive models for 47 countries, this paper brings to light two fundamental factors accounting for these variations: the nature of the shock triggering currency movements and country-specific characteristics. The empirical results in this paper are three-fold. First, an empirical investigation demonstrates that different domestic and global shocks can be associated with widely different pass-through ratios. Second, country characteristics matter, including policy frameworks that govern monetary policy responses, as well as other structural features that affect an economy's sensitivity to currency fluctuations. Pass-through ratios tend to be lower in countries that combine flexible exchange rate regimes and credible inflation targets. Finally, the empirical results suggest that central bank independence can greatly facilitate the task of stabilizing inflation following large currency movements and allows fuller use of the exchange rate as a buffer against external shocks. 2019-03-14T21:18:48Z 2019-03-14T21:18:48Z 2019-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/880231552490402888/Inflation-and-Exchange-Rate-Pass-Through http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31406 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8780 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic INFLATION
EXCHANGE RATES
MONETARY POLICY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH
CURRENCY RATES
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
spellingShingle INFLATION
EXCHANGE RATES
MONETARY POLICY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH
CURRENCY RATES
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
Ha, Jongrim
Stocker, M. Marc
Yilmazkuday, Hakan
Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8780
description The degree to which domestic prices adjust to exchange rate movements is key to understanding inflation dynamics, and hence to guiding monetary policy. However, the exchange rate pass-through to inflation varies considerably across countries and over time. By estimating structural factor-augmented vector-autoregressive models for 47 countries, this paper brings to light two fundamental factors accounting for these variations: the nature of the shock triggering currency movements and country-specific characteristics. The empirical results in this paper are three-fold. First, an empirical investigation demonstrates that different domestic and global shocks can be associated with widely different pass-through ratios. Second, country characteristics matter, including policy frameworks that govern monetary policy responses, as well as other structural features that affect an economy's sensitivity to currency fluctuations. Pass-through ratios tend to be lower in countries that combine flexible exchange rate regimes and credible inflation targets. Finally, the empirical results suggest that central bank independence can greatly facilitate the task of stabilizing inflation following large currency movements and allows fuller use of the exchange rate as a buffer against external shocks.
format Working Paper
author Ha, Jongrim
Stocker, M. Marc
Yilmazkuday, Hakan
author_facet Ha, Jongrim
Stocker, M. Marc
Yilmazkuday, Hakan
author_sort Ha, Jongrim
title Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through
title_short Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through
title_full Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through
title_fullStr Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through
title_full_unstemmed Inflation and Exchange Rate Pass-Through
title_sort inflation and exchange rate pass-through
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/880231552490402888/Inflation-and-Exchange-Rate-Pass-Through
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31406
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