Chongqing 2035 : Urban Growth Scenarios

The Chongqing 2035 scenario study compares the modeled outcomes of two different development paths, as represented by land use scenarios for projected growth of 5.8 million new urban residents and 4 million new jobs.A “Trend” scenario continues pas...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Technical Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/982491552388722240/Chongqing-2035-Urban-Growth-Scenarios-Technical-Report
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31387
id okr-10986-31387
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-313872021-06-14T10:04:33Z Chongqing 2035 : Urban Growth Scenarios World Bank URBAN PLANNING URBANIZATION LAND USE TRANSIT SCENARIOS ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY COMPETITIVENESS ENERGY DEMAND WATER DEMAND INFRASTRUCTURE NEEDS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS The Chongqing 2035 scenario study compares the modeled outcomes of two different development paths, as represented by land use scenarios for projected growth of 5.8 million new urban residents and 4 million new jobs.A “Trend” scenario continues past patterns of land development, characterized by continued centralization of high-level employment around the existing downtown core, and expansive superblock, office park, and industrial development throughout the central city area. For comparison, a “Compact Growth” scenario posits a polycentric regional structure created through focused, walkable, mixed use development around existing and planned transit nodes. While other possibilities exist on the spectrum between and around them, these two alternative futures embody the principal development choices facing Chongqing as it looks ahead, and serve to highlight the range of benefits and consequences that can be expected.Urban development patterns have substantial effects on laying the foundation for progress in climate mitigation and environmental sustainability. While policies that address the technological aspects of vehicle efficiency, building performance, and energy supply also play roles in conserving resources and reducing emissions, the impacts of land use on either increasing or reducing demand highlight the fundamental role of strategic development.This technical report describes the scenarios and their implications for Chongqing and its residents, and the methodology behind the RapidFire model as adapted for use in the city. Examining the comprehensive effects of growth on a range of performance indicators—including land consumption, transportation mode share and auto travel, infrastructure costs, energy use, and emissions—has shown how greatly Chongqing’s potential urban development patterns vary in their ability to support its growth as a global, sustainable city. 2019-03-14T15:39:51Z 2019-03-14T15:39:51Z 2019 Technical Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/982491552388722240/Chongqing-2035-Urban-Growth-Scenarios-Technical-Report http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31387 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: City Development Strategy East Asia and Pacific China
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic URBAN PLANNING
URBANIZATION
LAND USE
TRANSIT
SCENARIOS
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
COMPETITIVENESS
ENERGY DEMAND
WATER DEMAND
INFRASTRUCTURE NEEDS
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
spellingShingle URBAN PLANNING
URBANIZATION
LAND USE
TRANSIT
SCENARIOS
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
COMPETITIVENESS
ENERGY DEMAND
WATER DEMAND
INFRASTRUCTURE NEEDS
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
World Bank
Chongqing 2035 : Urban Growth Scenarios
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
description The Chongqing 2035 scenario study compares the modeled outcomes of two different development paths, as represented by land use scenarios for projected growth of 5.8 million new urban residents and 4 million new jobs.A “Trend” scenario continues past patterns of land development, characterized by continued centralization of high-level employment around the existing downtown core, and expansive superblock, office park, and industrial development throughout the central city area. For comparison, a “Compact Growth” scenario posits a polycentric regional structure created through focused, walkable, mixed use development around existing and planned transit nodes. While other possibilities exist on the spectrum between and around them, these two alternative futures embody the principal development choices facing Chongqing as it looks ahead, and serve to highlight the range of benefits and consequences that can be expected.Urban development patterns have substantial effects on laying the foundation for progress in climate mitigation and environmental sustainability. While policies that address the technological aspects of vehicle efficiency, building performance, and energy supply also play roles in conserving resources and reducing emissions, the impacts of land use on either increasing or reducing demand highlight the fundamental role of strategic development.This technical report describes the scenarios and their implications for Chongqing and its residents, and the methodology behind the RapidFire model as adapted for use in the city. Examining the comprehensive effects of growth on a range of performance indicators—including land consumption, transportation mode share and auto travel, infrastructure costs, energy use, and emissions—has shown how greatly Chongqing’s potential urban development patterns vary in their ability to support its growth as a global, sustainable city.
format Technical Paper
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Chongqing 2035 : Urban Growth Scenarios
title_short Chongqing 2035 : Urban Growth Scenarios
title_full Chongqing 2035 : Urban Growth Scenarios
title_fullStr Chongqing 2035 : Urban Growth Scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Chongqing 2035 : Urban Growth Scenarios
title_sort chongqing 2035 : urban growth scenarios
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/982491552388722240/Chongqing-2035-Urban-Growth-Scenarios-Technical-Report
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31387
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