On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets : Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia

This paper studies the effects of enforcement on illegal behavior in the context of a large aerial spraying program designed to curb coca cultivation in Colombia. In 2006, the Colombian government pledged not to spray a 10 km band around the frontier with Ecuador due to diplomatic frictions arising...

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Main Authors: Mejía, Daniel, Restrepo, Pascual, Rozo, Sandra V.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30965
id okr-10986-30965
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-309652021-05-25T10:54:35Z On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets : Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia Mejía, Daniel Restrepo, Pascual Rozo, Sandra V. COCA CULTIVATION AERIAL SPRAYING LAW ENFORCEMENT ILLEGAL MARKETS INCENTIVES PENALTIES CRIME ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES ILLICIT DRUGS WAR ON DRUGS This paper studies the effects of enforcement on illegal behavior in the context of a large aerial spraying program designed to curb coca cultivation in Colombia. In 2006, the Colombian government pledged not to spray a 10 km band around the frontier with Ecuador due to diplomatic frictions arising from the possibly negative collateral effects of this policy on the Ecuadorian side of the border. We exploit this variation to estimate the effect of spraying on coca cultivation by regression discontinuity around the 10 km threshold and by conditional differences in differences. Our results suggest that spraying one additional hectare reduces coca cultivation by 0.022 to 0.03 hectares; these effects are too small to make aerial spraying a cost-effective policy for reducing cocaine production in Colombia. 2018-12-06T22:03:18Z 2018-12-06T22:03:18Z 2017-06-01 Journal Article World Bank Economic Review 1564-698X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30965 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Colombia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
topic COCA CULTIVATION
AERIAL SPRAYING
LAW ENFORCEMENT
ILLEGAL MARKETS
INCENTIVES
PENALTIES
CRIME
ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES
ILLICIT DRUGS
WAR ON DRUGS
spellingShingle COCA CULTIVATION
AERIAL SPRAYING
LAW ENFORCEMENT
ILLEGAL MARKETS
INCENTIVES
PENALTIES
CRIME
ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES
ILLICIT DRUGS
WAR ON DRUGS
Mejía, Daniel
Restrepo, Pascual
Rozo, Sandra V.
On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets : Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Colombia
description This paper studies the effects of enforcement on illegal behavior in the context of a large aerial spraying program designed to curb coca cultivation in Colombia. In 2006, the Colombian government pledged not to spray a 10 km band around the frontier with Ecuador due to diplomatic frictions arising from the possibly negative collateral effects of this policy on the Ecuadorian side of the border. We exploit this variation to estimate the effect of spraying on coca cultivation by regression discontinuity around the 10 km threshold and by conditional differences in differences. Our results suggest that spraying one additional hectare reduces coca cultivation by 0.022 to 0.03 hectares; these effects are too small to make aerial spraying a cost-effective policy for reducing cocaine production in Colombia.
format Journal Article
author Mejía, Daniel
Restrepo, Pascual
Rozo, Sandra V.
author_facet Mejía, Daniel
Restrepo, Pascual
Rozo, Sandra V.
author_sort Mejía, Daniel
title On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets : Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia
title_short On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets : Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia
title_full On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets : Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia
title_fullStr On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets : Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia
title_full_unstemmed On the Effects of Enforcement on Illegal Markets : Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Colombia
title_sort on the effects of enforcement on illegal markets : evidence from a quasi-experiment in colombia
publisher Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
publishDate 2018
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30965
_version_ 1764473286135119872