The Effect of Increasing Human Capital Investment on Economic Growth and Poverty : A Simulation Exercise

This paper examines the dynamic responses of income and poverty to increased investment in the human capital of new cohorts of workers, using a quantitative macroeconomic model with realistic demography. Compared to a baseline in which the rate of...

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Main Authors: Collin, Matthew, Weil, David
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786861537902769850/The-Effect-of-Increasing-Human-Capital-Investment-on-Economic-Growth-and-Poverty-A-Simulation-Exercise
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30463
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spelling okr-10986-304632022-09-13T12:21:41Z The Effect of Increasing Human Capital Investment on Economic Growth and Poverty : A Simulation Exercise Collin, Matthew Weil, David HUMAN CAPITAL ECONOMIC GROWTH POVERTY REDUCTION EDUCATION SPENDING This paper examines the dynamic responses of income and poverty to increased investment in the human capital of new cohorts of workers, using a quantitative macroeconomic model with realistic demography. Compared to a baseline in which the rate of human capital investment currently observed in every country remains constant, the paper examines two alternative scenarios: one in which each country experiences a rate of growth of human capital investment that is typical of what was observed in the decade ending in 2015, and one in which each country raises human capital investment at a rate corresponding to the 75th percentile of what was observed in the data. In the former, world GDP per capita is 5 percent higher than baseline in the year 2050, while the global rate of $1.90 poverty is 0.7 percentage points lower in that year. In the latter, world GDP per capita is 12 percent higher than baseline in 2050, while the rate of $1.90 poverty drops by 1.4 percentage points. These gains are concentrated in poor countries. The paper argues in the context of our model that investing in people is more cost effective than investing in physical capital as a means to achieve specified income or poverty goals. 2018-09-28T15:16:29Z 2018-09-28T15:16:29Z 2018-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786861537902769850/The-Effect-of-Increasing-Human-Capital-Investment-on-Economic-Growth-and-Poverty-A-Simulation-Exercise http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30463 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8590 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic HUMAN CAPITAL
ECONOMIC GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
EDUCATION SPENDING
spellingShingle HUMAN CAPITAL
ECONOMIC GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
EDUCATION SPENDING
Collin, Matthew
Weil, David
The Effect of Increasing Human Capital Investment on Economic Growth and Poverty : A Simulation Exercise
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8590
description This paper examines the dynamic responses of income and poverty to increased investment in the human capital of new cohorts of workers, using a quantitative macroeconomic model with realistic demography. Compared to a baseline in which the rate of human capital investment currently observed in every country remains constant, the paper examines two alternative scenarios: one in which each country experiences a rate of growth of human capital investment that is typical of what was observed in the decade ending in 2015, and one in which each country raises human capital investment at a rate corresponding to the 75th percentile of what was observed in the data. In the former, world GDP per capita is 5 percent higher than baseline in the year 2050, while the global rate of $1.90 poverty is 0.7 percentage points lower in that year. In the latter, world GDP per capita is 12 percent higher than baseline in 2050, while the rate of $1.90 poverty drops by 1.4 percentage points. These gains are concentrated in poor countries. The paper argues in the context of our model that investing in people is more cost effective than investing in physical capital as a means to achieve specified income or poverty goals.
format Working Paper
author Collin, Matthew
Weil, David
author_facet Collin, Matthew
Weil, David
author_sort Collin, Matthew
title The Effect of Increasing Human Capital Investment on Economic Growth and Poverty : A Simulation Exercise
title_short The Effect of Increasing Human Capital Investment on Economic Growth and Poverty : A Simulation Exercise
title_full The Effect of Increasing Human Capital Investment on Economic Growth and Poverty : A Simulation Exercise
title_fullStr The Effect of Increasing Human Capital Investment on Economic Growth and Poverty : A Simulation Exercise
title_full_unstemmed The Effect of Increasing Human Capital Investment on Economic Growth and Poverty : A Simulation Exercise
title_sort effect of increasing human capital investment on economic growth and poverty : a simulation exercise
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786861537902769850/The-Effect-of-Increasing-Human-Capital-Investment-on-Economic-Growth-and-Poverty-A-Simulation-Exercise
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30463
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