Comparison of Deep Regional Integration in the Melitz, Krugman and Armington Models : The Case of The Philippines in RCEP

This paper estimates the impacts on The Philippines of deep integration in a modern mega-preferential trade agreement, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership. The paper assesses how the results differ with three versions of market structur...

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Main Authors: Balistreri, Edward J., Tarr, David G.
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/926651537189809947/Comparison-of-Deep-Regional-Integration-in-the-Melitz-Krugman-and-Armington-Models-The-Case-of-The-Philippines-in-RCEP
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30440
id okr-10986-30440
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-304402022-08-08T00:19:02Z Comparison of Deep Regional Integration in the Melitz, Krugman and Armington Models : The Case of The Philippines in RCEP Balistreri, Edward J. Tarr, David G. HETEROGENEOUS FIRMS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DEEP INTEGRATION STRUCTURAL GRAVITY PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS MARKET STRUCTURE This paper estimates the impacts on The Philippines of deep integration in a modern mega-preferential trade agreement, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership. The paper assesses how the results differ with three versions of market structure: (i) perfect competition, Armington style; (ii) monopolistic competition Krugman style; and heterogeneous firms, Melitz style. The paper develops a new numerical model of foreign direct investment with heterogeneous firms where firms produce in the host country and demand corresponds to the “proximity burden,” and is the first to apply a heterogeneous-firms model of foreign direct investment to preferential trade analysis. It also develops an extension of the Krugman model that allows small countries to impact the number of varieties. Both of these model extensions, as well as market structure, are crucial to the results. The trade and foreign direct investment responses are held constant across the three market structures. Lowering trade costs is examined from: (i) the reducing non-tariff barriers in goods; (ii) lowering barriers against foreign services providers, from foreign direct investment and cross-border; and (ii) facilitating trade. The results show that in all three market structures, there are substantial gains from deep integration, but virtually no gains from preferential tariff reduction. Both Krugman and Melitz style models produce significantly larger welfare gains than the Armington structure, especially in the impacts of foreign direct investment or with wider spillover effects on non- Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership regions. The relationship between the welfare gains in the Krugman versus Melitz models is complex. 2018-09-25T17:13:37Z 2018-09-25T17:13:37Z 2018-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/926651537189809947/Comparison-of-Deep-Regional-Integration-in-the-Melitz-Krugman-and-Armington-Models-The-Case-of-The-Philippines-in-RCEP http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30440 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8587 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific Philippines
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic HETEROGENEOUS FIRMS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
DEEP INTEGRATION
STRUCTURAL GRAVITY
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
MARKET STRUCTURE
spellingShingle HETEROGENEOUS FIRMS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
DEEP INTEGRATION
STRUCTURAL GRAVITY
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
MARKET STRUCTURE
Balistreri, Edward J.
Tarr, David G.
Comparison of Deep Regional Integration in the Melitz, Krugman and Armington Models : The Case of The Philippines in RCEP
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Philippines
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8587
description This paper estimates the impacts on The Philippines of deep integration in a modern mega-preferential trade agreement, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership. The paper assesses how the results differ with three versions of market structure: (i) perfect competition, Armington style; (ii) monopolistic competition Krugman style; and heterogeneous firms, Melitz style. The paper develops a new numerical model of foreign direct investment with heterogeneous firms where firms produce in the host country and demand corresponds to the “proximity burden,” and is the first to apply a heterogeneous-firms model of foreign direct investment to preferential trade analysis. It also develops an extension of the Krugman model that allows small countries to impact the number of varieties. Both of these model extensions, as well as market structure, are crucial to the results. The trade and foreign direct investment responses are held constant across the three market structures. Lowering trade costs is examined from: (i) the reducing non-tariff barriers in goods; (ii) lowering barriers against foreign services providers, from foreign direct investment and cross-border; and (ii) facilitating trade. The results show that in all three market structures, there are substantial gains from deep integration, but virtually no gains from preferential tariff reduction. Both Krugman and Melitz style models produce significantly larger welfare gains than the Armington structure, especially in the impacts of foreign direct investment or with wider spillover effects on non- Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership regions. The relationship between the welfare gains in the Krugman versus Melitz models is complex.
format Working Paper
author Balistreri, Edward J.
Tarr, David G.
author_facet Balistreri, Edward J.
Tarr, David G.
author_sort Balistreri, Edward J.
title Comparison of Deep Regional Integration in the Melitz, Krugman and Armington Models : The Case of The Philippines in RCEP
title_short Comparison of Deep Regional Integration in the Melitz, Krugman and Armington Models : The Case of The Philippines in RCEP
title_full Comparison of Deep Regional Integration in the Melitz, Krugman and Armington Models : The Case of The Philippines in RCEP
title_fullStr Comparison of Deep Regional Integration in the Melitz, Krugman and Armington Models : The Case of The Philippines in RCEP
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of Deep Regional Integration in the Melitz, Krugman and Armington Models : The Case of The Philippines in RCEP
title_sort comparison of deep regional integration in the melitz, krugman and armington models : the case of the philippines in rcep
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/926651537189809947/Comparison-of-Deep-Regional-Integration-in-the-Melitz-Krugman-and-Armington-Models-The-Case-of-The-Philippines-in-RCEP
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30440
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