Import Substitution with Labor Misallocation

This paper argues that relying on major policy distortions to create a domestic automotive industry through import substitution generates significant costs for the economy, in terms of foregone output, lower consumption, and reduced overall welfare...

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Main Authors: Martins, Marco A.C., Thompson Araujo, Jorge
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/208411533652637345/Import-substitution-with-labor-misallocation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30232
id okr-10986-30232
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-302322021-06-08T14:42:47Z Import Substitution with Labor Misallocation Martins, Marco A.C. Thompson Araujo, Jorge LABOR PRODUCTIVITY IMPORT SUBSTITUTION INDUSTRIALIZATION AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY MISALLOCATION COMPETITION POLICY INDUSTRIAL POLICY WELFARE IMPACT This paper argues that relying on major policy distortions to create a domestic automotive industry through import substitution generates significant costs for the economy, in terms of foregone output, lower consumption, and reduced overall welfare. To bring this issue into sharp relief, the paper focuses on the extreme case of an outright vehicle import ban (complemented by an export subsidy), which gives rise to a misallocation of resources that will ultimately reduce the overall productivity of labor. More specifically, a share of the labor force is diverted to the production of previously-imported vehicles, which would have not happened in the absence of import restrictions. In particular, the output of the final good goes down; consumption is lowered; and overall welfare is reduced. Importantly, the equilibrium stock of vehicles available in this economy is also reduced, defeating the purpose of the imposition of import substitution. Additionally, the creation of an automotive sector is not neutral with respect to factor prices: the resulting lower wages imply that revenues in the newly-created sector are generated at the expense of labor income. Technological change in the automotive industry might act as a countervailing force for labor misallocation, albeit only partially. 2018-08-15T19:12:06Z 2018-08-15T19:12:06Z 2018-08 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/208411533652637345/Import-substitution-with-labor-misallocation http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30232 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8542 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Caribbean Central America Latin America
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
IMPORT SUBSTITUTION INDUSTRIALIZATION
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
MISALLOCATION
COMPETITION POLICY
INDUSTRIAL POLICY
WELFARE IMPACT
spellingShingle LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
IMPORT SUBSTITUTION INDUSTRIALIZATION
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
MISALLOCATION
COMPETITION POLICY
INDUSTRIAL POLICY
WELFARE IMPACT
Martins, Marco A.C.
Thompson Araujo, Jorge
Import Substitution with Labor Misallocation
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Caribbean
Central America
Latin America
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8542
description This paper argues that relying on major policy distortions to create a domestic automotive industry through import substitution generates significant costs for the economy, in terms of foregone output, lower consumption, and reduced overall welfare. To bring this issue into sharp relief, the paper focuses on the extreme case of an outright vehicle import ban (complemented by an export subsidy), which gives rise to a misallocation of resources that will ultimately reduce the overall productivity of labor. More specifically, a share of the labor force is diverted to the production of previously-imported vehicles, which would have not happened in the absence of import restrictions. In particular, the output of the final good goes down; consumption is lowered; and overall welfare is reduced. Importantly, the equilibrium stock of vehicles available in this economy is also reduced, defeating the purpose of the imposition of import substitution. Additionally, the creation of an automotive sector is not neutral with respect to factor prices: the resulting lower wages imply that revenues in the newly-created sector are generated at the expense of labor income. Technological change in the automotive industry might act as a countervailing force for labor misallocation, albeit only partially.
format Working Paper
author Martins, Marco A.C.
Thompson Araujo, Jorge
author_facet Martins, Marco A.C.
Thompson Araujo, Jorge
author_sort Martins, Marco A.C.
title Import Substitution with Labor Misallocation
title_short Import Substitution with Labor Misallocation
title_full Import Substitution with Labor Misallocation
title_fullStr Import Substitution with Labor Misallocation
title_full_unstemmed Import Substitution with Labor Misallocation
title_sort import substitution with labor misallocation
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/208411533652637345/Import-substitution-with-labor-misallocation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30232
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