Investment Under Risks and Uncertainty in Afghanistan

This paper investigates the state of low investment in Afghanistan by studying how investment decisions interact with risks and uncertainty in the presence of underdeveloped financial markets. The analysis shows that investing firms experience a hi...

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Main Authors: Farazi, Subika, Rostom, Ahmed, Sinha, Rishabh
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/181341526388484842/Investment-under-risks-and-uncertainty-in-Afghanistan
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29849
id okr-10986-29849
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-298492021-06-08T14:42:46Z Investment Under Risks and Uncertainty in Afghanistan Farazi, Subika Rostom, Ahmed Sinha, Rishabh INVESTMENT INVESTMENT DECISIONS INVESTMENT CLIMATE RISKS UNCERTAINTY FINANCIAL FRICTION FINANCIAL MARKETS CRIME CORRUPTION FRAGILE STATES SECURITY FIRM BEHAVIOR This paper investigates the state of low investment in Afghanistan by studying how investment decisions interact with risks and uncertainty in the presence of underdeveloped financial markets. The analysis shows that investing firms experience a higher probability of being affected by events related to crime and corruption and spend more on security arrangements. Firms that participate in the formal financial sector are also subject to higher levels of risk and uncertainty. As more productive firms face higher risks and uncertainty, a model of resource allocation with heterogeneous firms is used to quantify the economic loss from crime and corruption. The estimated aggregate output loss of 12 percent is significantly higher than the 7 percent loss observed in the absence of the resource allocation channel. 2018-05-16T21:06:34Z 2018-05-16T21:06:34Z 2018-05 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/181341526388484842/Investment-under-risks-and-uncertainty-in-Afghanistan http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29849 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8443 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper South Asia Afghanistan
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic INVESTMENT
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
RISKS
UNCERTAINTY
FINANCIAL FRICTION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
CRIME
CORRUPTION
FRAGILE STATES
SECURITY
FIRM BEHAVIOR
spellingShingle INVESTMENT
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
RISKS
UNCERTAINTY
FINANCIAL FRICTION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
CRIME
CORRUPTION
FRAGILE STATES
SECURITY
FIRM BEHAVIOR
Farazi, Subika
Rostom, Ahmed
Sinha, Rishabh
Investment Under Risks and Uncertainty in Afghanistan
geographic_facet South Asia
Afghanistan
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8443
description This paper investigates the state of low investment in Afghanistan by studying how investment decisions interact with risks and uncertainty in the presence of underdeveloped financial markets. The analysis shows that investing firms experience a higher probability of being affected by events related to crime and corruption and spend more on security arrangements. Firms that participate in the formal financial sector are also subject to higher levels of risk and uncertainty. As more productive firms face higher risks and uncertainty, a model of resource allocation with heterogeneous firms is used to quantify the economic loss from crime and corruption. The estimated aggregate output loss of 12 percent is significantly higher than the 7 percent loss observed in the absence of the resource allocation channel.
format Working Paper
author Farazi, Subika
Rostom, Ahmed
Sinha, Rishabh
author_facet Farazi, Subika
Rostom, Ahmed
Sinha, Rishabh
author_sort Farazi, Subika
title Investment Under Risks and Uncertainty in Afghanistan
title_short Investment Under Risks and Uncertainty in Afghanistan
title_full Investment Under Risks and Uncertainty in Afghanistan
title_fullStr Investment Under Risks and Uncertainty in Afghanistan
title_full_unstemmed Investment Under Risks and Uncertainty in Afghanistan
title_sort investment under risks and uncertainty in afghanistan
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/181341526388484842/Investment-under-risks-and-uncertainty-in-Afghanistan
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29849
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