Welfare Dynamics in Colombia : Results from Synthetic Panels
This study explores the short-run transitions between poverty, vulnerability, and middle class, using synthetic panels constructed from multiple rounds of Colombia's Integrated Household Survey (in Spanish Gran Encuesta Integrada de Hogares)....
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2018
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/212121526317738485/Welfare-dynamics-in-Colombia-results-from-synthetic-panels http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29847 |
| Summary: | This study explores the short-run
transitions between poverty, vulnerability, and middle
class, using synthetic panels constructed from multiple
rounds of Colombia's Integrated Household Survey (in
Spanish Gran Encuesta Integrada de Hogares). The paper
reports results from two approaches to define a
vulnerability line: the first one employs a nonparametric
and parsimonious model, while the second utilizes a fully
parametric regression model with covariates. The estimation
results suggest a range of between $8 to $13 per day per
person in 2005 purchasing power parity dollars as the
vulnerability line. Using an average daily vulnerability
line of $10 per day per person, subsequent estimates on
welfare dynamics suggest that, during the past decade, 20
percent of the Colombian population experienced downward
mobility, and 24 percent experienced upward mobility.
Furthermore, upward mobility increases with higher education
levels and is lower for female-headed households. |
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